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201  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Cognitive Dissonance of the left, Justin Trudeau, Prime Minister of Canada on: March 15, 2017, 01:17:57 PM
“No country would find 173 billion barrels of oil in the ground and just leave them there. The resource will be developed."
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2017/03/oh-trudeau.php
--------------------------------
A liberal favors the Keystone XL Pipeline.  Favors exploration, drilling, extracting and transporting a CO2 producing fossil fuel.  

Previously from Trudeau:
Canada must "phase out" Alberta's oil sands and end the country's dependence on hydrocarbons, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said.
https://phys.org/news/2017-01-trudeau-canada-oil-sands-phased.html
Oops.

Makes me wonder if man-made, catastrophic, global warming is a farce.  Isn't Canada dangerously close to the melting Arctic?  )   Actually, I can see Canada from my living room and can tell you that a warming planet might be the best thing that could ever happen to Canada!

This reminds me of President Obama continuing a campaign of drone strikes against al Qaida targets.  Imagine his opposition to that kind of warfare if he was not in power.  Every once in a while, being elevated to the highest position of power and authority causes a person to do the right thing.  

And so often it doesn't.
202  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / European matters, Dutch elections today on: March 15, 2017, 12:58:52 PM
The incumbent, Mark Rutte, is considered to be from the free market conservative party.  I don't think of the Netherlands as a free market country so I don't really know what that means.  "Our ability to create jobs, our future growth, is built on the free market. It's built on open borders." - Mark Rutte
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/People's_Party_for_Freedom_and_Democracy

 The top challenger is Geert Wilders of the 'Freedom' party who has made a name with bold talk against Muslim immigration.  They have been coalition partners as well as rivals.  I can't comment on the Dutch immigration problem without bias; I was knifed by "immigrants" on my last Holland visit.  I came out of it better than Theo Van Gogh did: http://www.nytimes.com/2004/11/03/world/europe/dutch-filmmaker-an-islam-critic-is-killed.html

Regarding Wilders, it's about time someone spoke up about the problem. Whether he is the best candidate, I don't know.   Wilders has lost support in the last poll, but everyone seems to know after Brexit and Trump, polls on these matters have been amazingly unreliable.

This will be interesting to watch.

https://www.ft.com/content/6bc14dee-0909-11e7-97d1-5e720a26771b
203  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Modi's Chance to Reshape India's Economy on: March 15, 2017, 12:19:20 PM
This editorial from Bloomberg sums up the opportunity pretty well.  Prime Minister Narandra Modi ran on economic reform, has been working to turn the tide against corruption in government, has won a large number of seats in Parliament in recent election, is poised to win his own reelection next time around, giving him an extraordinary opportunity to implement real economic reforms.  India is the world's most populous democracy with relatively youthful demographics and need to create one million jobs per month.  This is not a table set for splitting up a fixed size pie.  Like us, they need to grow their economy, big time.  And if they do, what and important development that would be for the world economy and geo-politics and US foreign policy.  For another post, India is a natural ally of the US IMO but that relationship keeps getting distracted and deterred by other rivalries and forces.

"The only way to do so at the pace and scale required -- with nearly a million new job-seekers entering the market every month -- is to get private investment flowing again and to crack open India’s ossified land, labor and other factor markets."

Private investment is the key to widespread employment growth.  Who knew?
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-03-13/modi-s-chance-to-reshape-india-s-economy

Modi's Chance to Reshape India's Economy,   Bloomberg editors, MARCH 13, 2017

After his party’s triumph in the state of Uttar Pradesh, India’s largest and most politically important, Prime Minister Narendra Modi now wields greater power than any Indian leader in a generation. He will need it if he wants to continue to reshape India’s economy.

True, the results don’t drastically alter the math in the upper house of Parliament in New Delhi, where previous reform efforts have stalled, and the polls themselves were hardly a referendum on market liberalization. Yet Modi’s popularity is also inseparable from the pledge that won him office in 2014: to deliver the jobs India’s burgeoning population desperately needs (and thus far, isn’t getting). The only way to do so at the pace and scale required -- with nearly a million new job-seekers entering the market every month -- is to get private investment flowing again and to crack open India’s ossified land, labor and other factor markets.

Some of this should now be more possible at the national level. Modi could, for instance, begin cleaning up and selling off inefficient state-run banks in order to unclog the investment pipeline. The opposition Congress Party could perhaps afford to be obstructionist when swathes of the electorate had real doubts about Modi’s agenda. Facing a clear consensus in favor of good governance and faster economic development, and lacking any credible leader to rival Modi, the party will have a harder time blocking reforms.

More important, Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party now controls territories comprising more than 60 percent of India’s population. That grouping presents an ideal testing ground for difficult land and labor reforms. While some measures have been attempted thus far, they haven’t been as far-reaching or as coordinated as they could be. Modi can change that by pressing state leaders to combine their efforts and resources into a more ambitious liberalizing agenda.

None of this is to say that Modi’s recent focus on cleaning up politics and the economy isn’t worthwhile, or that smaller reforms -- opening up more sectors to foreign direct investment, say -- aren’t welcome. It’s critical that the rollout of an already approved nationwide goods-and-services tax proceed swiftly and smoothly. Modi will have to be careful, too, to keep a check on more extreme voices in the BJP, who may take the party’s electoral success as license to promote a more hard-line religious agenda.

But with this victory, and facing the great likelihood of a second term in 2019, Modi has a renewed chance to give India the future its young and eager population deserves. He needs to seize it.
204  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Science, Culture, & Humanities / The math and science behind capitalism on: March 15, 2017, 11:52:01 AM
I like this article, it goes part way to explaining what capitalism is and why it works.  

'capitalism...is individual freedom expressed in an economic system'

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2017/03/the_science_behind_capitalism.html#ixzz4bPjQNiaa
March 14, 2017
The science behind capitalism
By John Conlin
The economic system called capitalism has been described in many ways, but at its core, it is quite simply free people freely interacting with other free people.  Capitalism has transformed the world by producing more wealth than any other economic system in the history of civilization.

But how does it produce such wealth?  Some have said freedom is the magic potion – that left to their own devices, free people will outperform any other economic system.  

That is true, but the ultimate reason is deeper and firmly based in science and fact.  In the past few decades, a great deal of research has been done on what is called swarm intelligence.  Swarm intelligence attempts to explain and understand the collective behavior of group animals.  Think of honeybees, schools of fish, herds of bison, flocks of birds, etc.

The intelligence of the swarm is a significant multiplier.  Rather than relying solely on individual intelligence, these groups create a collective intelligence that is orders of magnitudes beyond that of any individual member.

They do so without any leader, with no management of any sort, with no one "seeing the big picture."  In fact, having no one in charge is a key ingredient to swarm intelligence.  This incredible increase in intelligence is driven by countless interactions among individual members, with each following simple rules of thumb and reacting to their local environment and those members around them.  That's it.

Perhaps counterintuitively, if an individual member did attempt to become a leader, the group intelligence would drop precipitously.  And although it may be difficult to grasp, this self-organizing behavior has no cause and effect.  It simply is.

Think of the intelligence of one of the members of these swarms versus the intelligence of the group.  We are talking about not adding a few group I.Q. points, but rather increases in intelligence by orders of magnitude.

My hypothesis is this same process is the scientific basis for the success of capitalism, and in fact the success of the human race.  This swarm intelligence has always been at work, but with our highly developed communication skills and the ability to record and store knowledge our collective swarm intelligence is truly astounding.  Just like the honeybee, our swarm is orders of magnitude more intelligent than even the brightest among us.

And thus capitalism, which is just individual freedom as expressed in an economic system, is absolutely certain to "work."  It is a scientific fact just as certain as gravity.  And just like the swarm, it does so with no leader, no management, and no one seeing the big picture – no cause and effect.  It just is.  

And just like the swarm, when we attempt to place leaders in this process, the collective intelligence plummets.  This explains why governments and their activities are always going to be far stupider than free individuals going about their daily lives.  This isn't a political statement, but a factual one.

Again, we aren't talking about knocking off a couple group I.Q. points, but rather magnitudinal increases in stupidity.  This stupidity multiplier isn't restricted to governments; it applies to all organizations, the larger the worse.  Anyone who has worked in government, the military, or other large organizations has seen it every day.

Some economists have noted that during the Soviet Union's existence, the central planners had to daily determine the prices of literally hundreds of thousands of things, and thus the system was terribly inefficient, as they had no way to accurately determine this.  My hypothesis is that even if they could have accurately determined each and every one of those prices, they still would have failed.  The stupidity multiplier of their command-and-control economy ensured this.

The science on this is clear.  If we want to maximize our collective well-being and wealth, if we want to maximize our freedom, if we want to maximize our collective odds for survival, we must allow human swarm intelligence to do its magic.  And governments are not the solution, but are rather the destroyer.

John Conlin is an expert in organizational design and change.  He also holds a B.S. in Earth sciences and an MBA and is the founder and president of E.I.C. Enterprises, www.eicenterprises.org, a 501(c)(3) non-profit dedicated to spreading the truth here and around the world, primarily through K-12 education.

The economic system called capitalism has been described in many ways, but at its core, it is quite simply free people freely interacting with other free people.  Capitalism has transformed the world by producing more wealth than any other economic system in the history of civilization.

But how does it produce such wealth?  Some have said freedom is the magic potion – that left to their own devices, free people will outperform any other economic system.  

That is true, but the ultimate reason is deeper and firmly based in science and fact.  In the past few decades, a great deal of research has been done on what is called swarm intelligence.  Swarm intelligence attempts to explain and understand the collective behavior of group animals.  Think of honeybees, schools of fish, herds of bison, flocks of birds, etc.

The intelligence of the swarm is a significant multiplier.  Rather than relying solely on individual intelligence, these groups create a collective intelligence that is orders of magnitudes beyond that of any individual member.

They do so without any leader, with no management of any sort, with no one "seeing the big picture."  In fact, having no one in charge is a key ingredient to swarm intelligence.  This incredible increase in intelligence is driven by countless interactions among individual members, with each following simple rules of thumb and reacting to their local environment and those members around them.  That's it.

Perhaps counterintuitively, if an individual member did attempt to become a leader, the group intelligence would drop precipitously.  And although it may be difficult to grasp, this self-organizing behavior has no cause and effect.  It simply is.

Think of the intelligence of one of the members of these swarms versus the intelligence of the group.  We are talking about not adding a few group I.Q. points, but rather increases in intelligence by orders of magnitude.

My hypothesis is this same process is the scientific basis for the success of capitalism, and in fact the success of the human race.  This swarm intelligence has always been at work, but with our highly developed communication skills and the ability to record and store knowledge our collective swarm intelligence is truly astounding.  Just like the honeybee, our swarm is orders of magnitude more intelligent than even the brightest among us.

And thus capitalism, which is just individual freedom as expressed in an economic system, is absolutely certain to "work."  It is a scientific fact just as certain as gravity.  And just like the swarm, it does so with no leader, no management, and no one seeing the big picture – no cause and effect.  It just is.  

And just like the swarm, when we attempt to place leaders in this process, the collective intelligence plummets.  This explains why governments and their activities are always going to be far stupider than free individuals going about their daily lives.  This isn't a political statement, but a factual one.

Again, we aren't talking about knocking off a couple group I.Q. points, but rather magnitudinal increases in stupidity.  This stupidity multiplier isn't restricted to governments; it applies to all organizations, the larger the worse.  Anyone who has worked in government, the military, or other large organizations has seen it every day.

Some economists have noted that during the Soviet Union's existence, the central planners had to daily determine the prices of literally hundreds of thousands of things, and thus the system was terribly inefficient, as they had no way to accurately determine this.  My hypothesis is that even if they could have accurately determined each and every one of those prices, they still would have failed.  The stupidity multiplier of their command-and-control economy ensured this.

The science on this is clear.  If we want to maximize our collective well-being and wealth, if we want to maximize our freedom, if we want to maximize our collective odds for survival, we must allow human swarm intelligence to do its magic.  And governments are not the solution, but are rather the destroyer.
205  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The electoral process, vote fraud, SEIU/ACORN et al, etc. on: March 14, 2017, 06:32:59 PM
DDF: The importance of Al Franken is that he won his US Senate seat by a very small margin, all on a (failed and uneven) recount, and became the 60th vote in the Senate necessary to pass Obamacare, affecting everyone.  He had previous national fame for playing a (not-funny) comedian role on Saturday Night Live on NBC-TV.  People are impressed that he now plays the role of a serious and sober liberal in Senate committees.  He asked the question that got Jeff Sessions in trouble.  He is a Harvard educated, New York liberal that moved back to Minnesota for the Senate run and then to Washington.

http://www.conservapedia.com/Al_Franken#cite_note-2
206  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Science, Culture, & Humanities / Pathological Science, more updates to measured and published data, NY Times 1989 on: March 14, 2017, 06:13:58 PM
Published before the advent of adjusted data.

http://www.nytimes.com/1989/01/26/us/us-data-since-1895-fail-to-show-warming-trend.html
New York Times
U.S.
U.S. Data Since 1895 Fail To Show Warming Trend
By PHILIP SHABECOFF, Special to the New York Times
Published: January 26, 1989

WASHINGTON, Jan. 25— After examining climate data extending back nearly 100 years, a team of Government scientists has concluded that there has been no significant change in average temperatures or rainfall in the United States over that entire period.

While the nation's weather in individual years or even for periods of years has been hotter or cooler and drier or wetter than in other periods, the new study shows that over the last century there has been no trend in one direction or another.

The study, made by scientists for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration was published in the current issue of Geophysical Research Letters. It is based on temperature and precipitation readings taken at weather stations around the country from 1895 to 1987.

Dr. Kirby Hanson, the meteorologist who led the study, said in a telephone interview that the findings concerning the United States do not necessarily ''cast doubt'' on previous findings of a worldwide trend toward warmer temperatures, nor do they have a bearing one way or another on the theory that a buildup of pollutants is acting like a greenhouse and causing global warming. He said that the United States occupies only a small percentage of Earth's surface and that the new findings may be the result of regional variations.

Readings taken by other scientists have suggested a significant warming worldwide over the last 100 years. Dr. James E. Hansen, director of National Aeronautic and Space Administration's Institute for Space Studies in Manhattan, has reported that average global temperatures have risen by nearly 1 degree Fahrenheit in this century and that the average temperatures in the 1980's are the highest on record.

Dr. Hansen and other scientists have said that that there is a high degree of probability that this warming trend is associated with the atmospheric buildup of carbon dioxide and other industrial gases that absorb and retain radiation.

But other scientists, while agreeing with this basic theory of a greenhouse effect, say there is no convincing evidence that a pollution-induced warming has already begun.

Dr. Michael E. Schlesinger, an atmospheric scientist at Oregon State University who studies climate models, said there is no inconsistency between the data presented by the NOAA team and the greenhouse theory. But he said he regarded the new data as inconsistent with assumptions that such an effect is already detectable. More Droughts Predicted

Many of the computer models that predict global warming also predict that certain areas, including the Midwest in the United States, would suffer more frequent droughts.

Dr. Hanson of NOAA said today that the new study does not in any way contradict the findings reported by the NASA scientists and others. He said that his study, in which he was joined by George A. Maul and Thomas A. Karl, also of NOAA, looked at only the 48 contiguous states.

Dr. Hanson said that global warming caused by the greenhouse effect might have been countered by some cooling phenomenon that has not yet been identified and that the readings in his study recorded the net effect.

''We have to be careful about interpreting things like this,'' he said. What About Urbanization? One aspect of the study that Dr. Hanson said was interesting was the finding that the urbanization of the United States has apparently not had a statistically significant effect on average temperature readings. A number of scientists have theorized that the replacement of forests and pastures by asphalt streets and concrete buildings, which retain heat, is an important cause of rising temperatures.

Dr. Hansen of NASA said today that he had ''no quarrel'' with the findings in the new study. He noted that the United States covered only 1.5 percent of Earth. ''If you have only one degree warming on a global average, how much do you get at random'' when taking measurements in such a relatively small area, he asked rhetorically.

''We are just arguing now about whether the global warming effect is large enough to see,'' he added. ''It is not suprising we are not seeing it in a region that covers only 1.5 percent of the globe.''

Dr. Hansen said there were several ways to look at the temperature readings for the United States, including as a ''statistical fluke.'' Possibililty of Countereffects

Another possibility, he said, was that there were special conditions in the United States that would tend to offset a warming trend. For example, industrial activity produces dust and other solid particles that help form liquid droplets in the atmosphere. These droplets reflect radiation away from Earth and thus have a cooling influence.

Dr. Hansen suggested that at some point there could be a jump in temperature readings in the United States if the measurements in the new study were a statistical aberration or the result of atmospheric pollutants reflecting heat away from Earth. He noted that anti-pollution efforts are reducing the amount of these particles and thus reducing the reflection of heat.

Several computer models have projected that the greenhouse effect would cause average global temperatures to rise between 3 and 8 degrees Fahrenheit in the next century. But scientists concede that reactions set off by the warming trend itself could upset these predictions and produce unanticipated changes in climate patterns. Legislative Action Sought

Coincidentally with the new report, legislation was introduced in the Senate today prescribing actions for addressing the threat of global warming. Senator Al Gore, Democrat of Tennessee, introduced a bill that calls for creating a Council on World Environmental Policy to replace the White House's Council on Environmental Quality. This change would emphasize the international aspects of environmental issues.

The bill would also require a ban on industrial chemicals that not only are depleting the atmosphere's ozone layer, which blocks harmful ultraviolet radiation, but are believed to be contributing to the warming trend. It would also require stricter fuel-economy standards for automobiles to reduce the consumption of gasoline to reduce carbon dioxide.

graphs of temperatures and rainfall from 1895 to 1987 (Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)
207  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Science, Culture, & Humanities / Pathological Science, Arctic Ocean levels on: March 14, 2017, 05:41:29 PM
http://dogbrothers.com/phpBB2/index.php?topic=1118.msg33227#msg33227
DougMacG
Environmental issues - re: Sea Levels
« Reply #193 on: November 25, 2009, 11:34:16 PM »
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/5076322.stm
Arctic dips as global waters rise
By Jonathan Amos
Science reporter, BBC
Arctic sea level has been falling by a little over 2mm a year - a movement that sets the region against the global trend of rising waters.

A Dutch-UK team made the discovery after analysing radar altimetry data gathered by Europe's ERS-2 satellite.

It is well known that the world's oceans do not share a uniform height; but even so, the scientists are somewhat puzzled by their results.

----------------------------------
"Indian Ocean - sea levels falling
In 2003, Nils-Axel Mörner and his colleagues (see below) pub-
lished a well-documented paper showing that sea levels in the
Maldives have fallen substantially – fallen! – in the last 30 years.
I find it curious that we haven't heard about this.

"The Maldives in the central Indian Ocean consist of some 1,200
individual islands grouped in about 20 larger atolls," says Mörner.
In-as-much as the islands rise only three to seven feet above sea
level, they have been condemned by the IPCC to flooding in the
near future.

Mörner disagrees with this scenario. "In our study of the coastal
dynamics and the geomorphology of the shores," writes Mörner,
"we were unable to detect any traces of a recent sea level rise.
On the contrary, we found quite clear morphological indications
of a recent fall in sea level."

Mörner’s group found that sea levels stood about 60 cm higher
around A.D. 1150 than today, and more recently, about 30 cm
higher than today."

  - http://www.iceagenow.com/Indian_Ocean_sea_levels_are_falling.htm

Update, now rising:  https://phys.org/news/2016-09-indian-ocean-sea.html

Once again, why aren't these clear, cause and effect measurements in a straight line with CO2?
-----
Besides drought and flood, warming and cooling, not surprisingly, the United Nations also says that climate change also causes prostitution:

"The effects of climate change have driven women in communities in coastal areas in poor countries like the Philippines into dangerous work, and sometimes even the flesh trade, a United Nations official said."
http://www.gmanews.tv/story/177346/climate-change-pushes-poor-women-to-prostitution-dangerous-work
----------
Arctic update:  Ocean rising 2.2 mm/yr +or- 1.1. 

an improved version of the Arctic Ocean sea level record for the region 66°N–82°N covering the period 1993–2015. The dataset was modified to account for an unknown error...
http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fmars.2016.00076/full
208  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Politics of Health Care on: March 14, 2017, 05:30:36 PM
My understanding is that as part of its "nonpolitical" mission, CBO as a matter of policy does not do dynamic scoring.

Deniers of science.  CBO will tell you they do figure in dynamic, macroeconomic effects,
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/50919
yet they understate the real effects every single time.
209  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The electoral process, vote fraud, SEIU/ACORN, Franken recount on: March 14, 2017, 05:26:45 PM
"...it is good to have these URLs on tap."

With older links going bad, and some in a conspiratorial way, we need to be saving more than just links on the important stuff whenever possible.

With a bias detected in google, searches of information on one side of an issue are often difficult to impossible.  Try finding the Arctic Ocean levels.  And google owns youtube...

Without the conspiracy, some forum searches are failing too.
--------------------------------------------------------------------

http://dogbrothers.com/phpBB2/index.php?topic=1709.msg33292#msg33292
DougMacG
Power User
***
Posts: 8569


   
How they got the 60th vote
Reply #139 on: November 29, 2009, 11:20:42 AM
Al Franken couldn't hold a 14 point Obama margin against popular centrist Republican incumbent Norm Coleman, but he did hold his election to a zero point margin, and that was enough because of the victory guarantee program his party had put in place ahead the election.

The near sweep of 2006 included replacing a competent (R) Secretary of State with one that was hand-picked by and heavily supported by the left-wing activist group moveon.org.  At the tiime no one outside of the Bush-Gore inner fight understood the significance.  Simultaneous to state change and even preceding it was the takeover of the inner city election process by ACORN.

Twin Cities ABC affiliate KSTP-5 just ran an extensive investigative report concluding that whether or not your questionable or clearly defective ballot was accepted or rejected depended wholly on what jurisdiction you lived in.  In the outlying areas, state law was followed.  In the liberal inner cities of Minneapolis and St. Paul, ballots without signatures, witnesses or addresses were commonly accepted.

They interviewed the MN Sec. of State for 90 minutes and he refused to break out his reading glasses to look at any of the material they presented, sticking to generalities that prevailed in the court challenge to the end result.
210  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Interesting analysis of the CBO analysis on: March 14, 2017, 05:03:42 PM

Interesting - for as far as it goes.  CBO is scoring part one of a three part plan. 

"[AHCA cuts taxes, cuts spending, cuts the deficit...] And that’s before you take into account the macroeconomic effects that those tax cuts would have on economic growth, and thereby on greater tax revenues."

It's 2017 and a multimillion dollar study cost and they can't even attempt dynamic scoring?

Score part of a plan without considering the benefits of the legislation?  Yes, that is their mission, incomplete and therefore false scoring. 

Obamacare was written to score under one trillion in cost over ten years.  Is there one honest observer who believes that was true?

Repealing 24 Obamacare taxes on the economy will grow the economy and increase employment and incomes, all not considered in the numbers.   Removing the largest shackle in the economy on employment won't increase jobs and incomes?  Increased income is not a factor in affordability?  I thought it was the denominator.  To CBO, it margin of error, or in this case, just error.

The cost to be covered will not go down when simpler, catastrophic plans are legalized?  Other reforms will also not have downward pressure on prices, such as allowing plans sold across state lines, malpractice reform, etc.?  Cost of plans is not a factor in affordability?  I thought it was the numerator.  Who that is working a good, full time job would not choose to pay a small or reasonable and affordable amount for coverage against an unaffordable health catastrophe?  The more you make, the more you save, the more you are worth, the more likely you are to insure against a severe financial setback, I would think.  Oddly, not figured in the numbers.

If you are CBO, increasing incomes, increasing the size of the workforce, increasing per capita incomes and lowering the costs of coverage, these are not factors of significance when calculating how many people will purchase healthcare policies.
211  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Prosecuting Cases of Voter Fraud on: March 14, 2017, 04:06:04 PM
Nice work DDF.

The question to me is not the prosecuted cases, and those are low numbers, it is the unknown and unprosecuted ones.

Interesting that MN leads the list of prosecuted voter fraud cases.  With the exception of the Al Franken theft, Minnesota used to be among the leaders in perception of clean elections.  Now we are a home to Chicago gunfire, Somali terror and Keith Ellison ethics.
Still, most prosecuted cases probably means least fraud.  Inverse relationship.

Documentary on the Al Franken recount, link gone blank.  http://kstp.com/article/stories/S1222327.shtml?cat=5  
I asked the television station for help on this.

https://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/peter-roff/2010/07/20/al-franken-may-have-won-his-senate-seat-through-voter-fraud
At least 341 convicted felons voted in Minneapolis's Hennepin County, the state's largest, and another 52 voted illegally in St. Paul's Ramsey County, the state's second largest. Dan McGrath, head of Minnesota Majority, says that only conclusive matches were included in the group's totals. The number of felons voting in those two counties alone exceeds Mr. Franken's victory margin.

MN Gov vetoes 80% voter ID bill:
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2011/05/029110.php
212  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / NYTimes bias on: March 14, 2017, 01:12:24 PM
In discussions with liberal friends, it came up that the NY Times has no bias.  If an admitted liberal sees no bias, maybe the paper's bias matches his or her own.

Meanwhile, conservatives say they don't need to open to the opinion page of the NY Times, the opinions are all over the front page!

One part of bias is when media select stories to support their own narrative, the narrative that supports their person or agenda.  An easier way for a liberal to see that is to turn to the Drudge Report or Brietbart and look at which stories tend to go to print, often stories that support Trump.   But Brietbart and Drudge aren't held up by anyone as  mainstream, unbiased, professional sources, the way that the NY Times, Washington Post, CBS News etc. are.

The other component of bias is to look at what doesn't get covered in 'mainstream media' such as the NY Times.  The most recent examples of the last 8 years would be almost any scandal of the Obama administration.  I am amazed by how many liberals who follow national news closely everyday have never heard of Fast and Furious or think IRS targeting didn't happen.

Fast and Furious to them, if it existed at all, was a botched law enforcement operation.  Law enforcement? Botched?  'ya think?

You won't find a report in so-called mainstream media that doesn't mention that Eric Holder was exonerated.  
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/21/opinion/fast-furious-and-foolish.html
Holder exonerated??  It was a major operation in his department, inexplicable, that happened under his watch, and he was 'exonerated' because he had no knowledge of it??  All while being held in Contempt of Congress for blocking inquiry.  

But who cares about Eric Holder.  The US government under President Obama sold and placed arms across national borders for no good reason with no controls on it and that killed people in Mexico and came back to kill us.  If this happened today, every story would point to Trump and the "Trump Administration", front page, and he would face impeachment and resignation pressures.  Does anyone doubt that?

Then there was Benghazi talking points and after the election we learn they deserve 'investigation'.  Investigation??  Did they look at Hillary's emails or the President's unsecured messages to her unsecured server?  No.  They had no clue and the administration had no investigation, only blocked the ones in Congress.   http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/19/us/politics/feinstein-to-investigate-benghazi-talking-points.html
The Monday morning headline after the Sunday morning talk show episode should have read:
"Obama Administration lied to the Nation About Terror Attack That Killed Ambassador"
That is, unless the NY Times really didn't know what really happened a week after the attack. We know who put Susan Rice up to that; the President and Secretary of State made the same false insinuations.

Skip to the largest scandal of the Obama administration, IRS targeting.  Since at least 1791, equal treatment under the law has been the law of the land and that liberty may not be denied without due process. (cf. 5th amendment)  And yet it was - without consequence.  I hate Hitler and Nazi analogies but who else, maybe the communists ruling China, forcibly stops their political opponents from organizing and participating in opposition to their own reelection.   Nowhere is this allowed in the world of countries we consider to have consent of the governed, except in the US, under Obama, and under the watchful eye if our mainstream media.  Again, the head of the department and the head of the nation are exonerated for having no knowledge of what happened under their direction, and that was determined by having no investigation.  

Hundreds and hundreds of conservative groups were blocked from equal political participation by force of law while the IRS commissioner was cleared for visits to the White House 157 times, compared with his predecessor visiting twice - yet no one had any knowledge.  And no one paid a price.  Lois Lerner plead the 5th, meaning what?  The answers to the questions would all incriminate her.  And the scandal died there.

The IRS admitted it (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/irs-admits-targeting-conservatives-for-tax-scrutiny-in-2012-election/2013/05/10/3b6a0ada-b987-11e2-92f3-f291801936b8_story.html?utm_term=.9ba5c260fbbc) and the NY Times prints this:
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/13/us/politics/republicans-call-for-irs-inquiry-after-disclosure.html
"I.R.S. Focus on Conservatives gives G.O.P an Issue to Seize on"

The GOP may gain some political advantage from having been victim of the worst political crime of our republic?  That's the story?? And it's in the "politics" section of the NY Times?!  Is that what deprivation of unalienable fundamental rights is, political?

Did they then go out and interview ANYONE about what it felt like to be inside one of the 426 groups admittedly blocked?  NO.
http://thehill.com/policy/finance/282307-irs-targeted-426-groups-report

I wonder if the New York Times covered the Japanese-American internment camp chapter in our history with a headline about what political advantage these victims might gain from it?!
213  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / 13% of illegal aliens vote? on: March 14, 2017, 11:39:28 AM
The voting age is too low considering how little these young people know about life, politics and economics beyond what their liberal teachers have taught them.  That said, 17 year olds participating in the caucuses and primaries that will be 18 by election time is not any major part of the vote fraud problem.  It is legal in 22 states:  http://occasionalplanet.org/2014/02/11/voting-news-17-year-olds-can-vote-in-primaries-and-caucuses-in-20-states/

Illegals voting activists voting multiple times and live people voting for the dead would be the problems I would like to see investigated.  Also FELON voting.  Oddly, property owners tend to Republican and burglars tend to be Democrat.  Felons vote Dem by a margin of 6 to 1.  http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0002716213502931

We give driver's licenses to illegals - even though they don't need one to vote.  They can get utility bills and neighbors to vouch for them.  We let them live here and most workers in the neighborhoods where they live think they should be able to vote.  

But it's against the law and undermining our democracy in treason.IMHO.

13% of illegals admit they vote.  
http://www.capoliticalreview.com/capoliticalnewsandviews/poll-13-of-illegal-aliens-admit-they-vote-2015-report/  
http://thefederalist.com/2016/10/13/voter-fraud-real-heres-proof/
Maybe that number is high; maybe that number is low.
Where is the investigation, where are the prosecution, where are the deportations?
214  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: second post on: March 14, 2017, 09:06:34 AM
I submit Royal jerks is best:
http://www.thecollegefix.com/post/31649/
I nominate Al Franken and Amy Klobuchar for the title of "royal" jerks

Yes, those two are as close as we will find to genderless.

My alma mater will get no discretionary money from me, just the 250/qtr I already gave them and a billion a year in taxes.  No more.

The public university was not good enough for these elites.  Klobuchar went to Yale, Franken went to Harvard.  Neither wanted to study social justice with common folk.
215  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: US Economics, the stock market , and other investment/savings strategies on: March 10, 2017, 08:55:22 PM
"The Volcker tightening was in the context of 12% inflation."  

"Keep in mind the implications of this in the context of baseline budgeting i.e. if inflation falls quicker than anticipated (as was the case) then the spending "cuts" have a larger % of real cuts in relation to nominal cuts."   -

"Are you agreeing with the Keynesian notion that the low rates have stimulated the economy?"
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
QE, in my view, was like adding gas when the problem was flat tires.  I think that QE and low rates were partly stimulative (it's easier to buy a house, car or appliance when interest rates are at zero), but it was not the right solution to the right problem - and it did cause immeasurable other damage (savings rate, etc).

Low rates and QE aren't exactly the same thing.  They were injecting money in other ways too.  

Unlike Grannis and Wesbury, I think QE and low rates contributed to the run-up of the stock market during the slow growth Obama years.  The S&P 500 went up 235% over 8 years while the economy was growing at 1.9% /yr.  Was it stimulative for the market to surge?   Not noticeably.  It didn't address what was wrong (taxes and regulations).

Will a move toward tightening of money now will have some contractionary effect?  I think slightly yes, but not the main factor.  The economy could easily grow past a little tightening if we would simultaneously correct our other policy mistakes.  

My pessimism mostly comes from the tax reform that is delayed or not happening. I don't see how you bump growth from 2% to 4% without fixing the screwed up tax code.  We are expecting different results from doing the same things.  The delay in lowering rates makes people put off transactions and taxable income whenever they can.  Inaction from employers and investors is the enemy of growth.  And if/when expectations fall, the positive economic effect we see now is gone.

On the other side of it, Trump was right to go bold on removing excess regulations early.  If those were well chosen they may already be having a positive effect.
216  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Immigration issues on: March 10, 2017, 02:12:36 PM
Relating to the US-mexico question, Islamophobia in America, etc, our (illegal?) immigration application should offer the choice: Want to assimilate.  Don't want to assimilate. Choose one.
217  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Politics of Health Care on: March 10, 2017, 01:57:31 PM
http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/323092-trump-courts-former-foe-ted-cruz
Paul Ryan got a lot of time on Tucker Carlson tonight and did a good job of explaining/defending the House's bill.

This bill is part one of a three-part plan. Only what can go through reconciliation is included.  Otherwise willl be filibustered. 

Part 2 goes through the full Senate process, includes things like selling across state lines.

Part 3 is the executive branch implementing the law.

Amazing how this issue is splitting the right.  Hard to know who to believe. One negative indicator is Paul Krugman saying positive things about it today (?). 
218  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Mexico-US war revisited on: March 10, 2017, 01:49:09 PM
Map of how that might look here:
https://www.google.com/amp/io9.gizmodo.com/a-map-of-the-u-s-if-there-had-never-been-a-mexican-am-1613264384/amp

I wonder if they would like to restart the war or have the affected territories take a new voice of self-determination?
219  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: US Economics, the stock market , and other investment/savings strategies on: March 10, 2017, 11:45:30 AM
"...Weirdest Moment In Economic History?"

It is not political that Democrat Janet Yellen would raise interest rates up on Donald Trump's election. Near zero interest rate policy is wrong and needs correcting. What is political is that she did not do it 8 years ago!

Right now we risk a repeat of the Volcker recession of 81-82. We have the tightening of money preceding the stimulus of tax rate cut reform.

Are we really stupid or ignorant enough to repeat this catastrophic error?   Yes.  Why wouldn't we? We repeat and continue all of our other economic errors.
220  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Immigration issues, Costs of "resettlement", (free sh*t) on: March 10, 2017, 11:36:40 AM
Some pro-immigration people accidentally publishing information about the costs. See if this link comes up.

http://m.startribune.com/what-we-know-and-what-we-don-t-about-resettlement-related-costs/415827654/
221  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / DID THE ATTORNEY GENERAL COMMIT PERJURY? Not Jeff Sessions. Eric Holder on: March 08, 2017, 04:16:32 PM
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2017/03/did-the-attorney-general-commit-perjury.php
POSTED ON MARCH 7, 2017 BY JOHN HINDERAKER
DID THE ATTORNEY GENERAL COMMIT PERJURY?
No, not Jeff Sessions. Sessions was asked whether representatives of the Trump campaign had been in contact with Russian officials on behalf of the campaign, and Sessions said he didn’t know anything about that. He hadn’t had such contact on behalf of the campaign. His answer was completely and fully accurate. No one asked Sessions whether he had ever met a Russian.

I am talking about Eric Holder, who almost certainly did commit perjury when testifying under oath before the House Judiciary Committee. We wrote about it here.  http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2013/05/perjury-may-not-be-such-a-tough-rap-to-prove-in-the-eric-holders-case.php  The story is worth remembering. Holder was asked whether DOJ could prosecute reporters under the Espionage Act:

Two weeks ago, testifying under oath before the House Judiciary Committee, Holder was asked whether the Justice Department could prosecute reporters under the Espionage Act of 1917. His response (emphasis added) was:

In regard to potential prosecution of the press for the disclosure of material — this is not something I’ve ever been involved in, heard of, or would think would be wise policy.

When he gave this testimony, Holder had personally signed a request to a court to authorize a wiretap on Fox News reporter James Rosen. The request stated that Rosen may have acted as “an aider, abettor and/or co-conspirator” by obtaining national security materials from a government official also under investigation.

I followed up on this post, pointing out that the affidavit that Holder submitted in order to obtain a search warrant for James Rosen’s email accounts specifically said that Rosen was a potential criminal defendant:

As has been widely reported, the affidavit says repeatedly that there is probable cause to believe that Rosen is guilty of a crime, and that his email account will provide evidence of a crime, as well as “fruits of crime, or other items illegally possessed.” But the affidavit goes even beyond that. It specifically says that the FBI is looking for evidence of both Kim’s and Rosen’s guilt:

Mr. Kim’s missing responses to the Reporter’s emails would materially assist the FBI’s investigation as they could be expected to establish further the fact of the disclosures, their content, and Mr. Kim’s and the Reporter’s intent in making them, and could be expected to constitute direct evidence of their guilt or innocence.

Emphasis added. But the real clincher is Paragraph 45, which states in part:

Because of the Reporter’s own potential criminal liability in this matter, we believe that requesting the voluntary production of the materials from Reporter would be futile and would pose a substantial threat to the integrity of the investigation and of the evidence we seek to obtain by warrant.

Emphasis added. Paragraph 46 sums up:

Based on the above, there is probable cause to believe that the Reporter (along with Mr. Kim) has committed a violation of 18 U.S.C. § 793(d) either as Mr. Kim’s co-conspirator and/or aider and abettor, and that evidence of that crime is likely contained within the _______@gmail.com account.

So the issue is rather squarely posed: Holder testified that he had never “been involved in” or even “heard of” any “potential prosecution of the press for the disclosure of material.” And yet, he participated in “extensive deliberations,” “discussed” and approved of the filing of an application for a search warrant that specifically represented to the court that a reporter has “potential criminal liability in this matter.” It is hard to imagine a more direct contradiction.

Either Eric Holder was suffering from acute memory loss at a young age, or he committed perjury. But, because the press was slavishly devoted to Barack Obama and his minions, no matter how corrupt or dishonest they may be, hardly anyone knows about this shameful episode.
222  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Trump-Russia Accusations and the possible Silent Coup on: March 08, 2017, 12:26:11 PM
Internet tech stuff is not my forte, but as best as I can tell, with the Vault 7 Wikileaks we learn that the CIA has the hacking programs that the Russians use and can use them to imitate the Russians-- and how is it that we are told that the CIA knows it was the Russians who hacked Podesta and the DNC? By the programs that were used.
What a curious coincidence!


What we really know about all this is - nothing.  Could be the Russians.  Could be others trying to implicate the Russians.

Podesta technically was not hacked; he was tricked.  He gave up his log in information voluntary.  That could have been committed by a Russian intelligence mastermind - or a 5th grader here.

The election itself was not hacked in the sense of voting machines and tabulations.  Much of what is said and written about Russian involvement is aimed at making it sound bigger than it was.

Content learned was mostly, already under subpoena.  What was supposed to come to light, came to light.

We got a few extra tidbits from hackers, such as the 'journalists' and DNC rigging the debates in favor of Hillary.  The biggest lesson is stop cheating.  Your emails are never secure.

Wikileaks denies that leaks came from the Kremlin.  Strangely, they have more credibility than the CIA, the DNI and those leaking inside our agencies, never-Trumpers on the right and left.

The leaks on Flynn were felonies committed by dozens of high level intelligence 'professionals' who were acting illegally, also unprofessionally.  Does that weaken their credibility or reputation for accuracy or non-bias?  Yes.

Dems called the best American intelligence worthless and political when it suited their purposes to say that, cf. Iraq WMD.  If true, why is it outrageous to question anonymous assertions of the intelligence community now.

On FISA, Clapper offered us the non-denial denial.  No one at Trump Tower was the "target" of an investigation.  That tells us nothing about whether Trump's wires were tapped by the Obama administration.  

For context, former AG Eric Holder was "exonerated" for Fast and Furious because he 'credibly' had no idea what was happening in his own department.  What Clapper or Obama had no knowledge of has no positive correlation with truth.  Clapper and Obama also famously found no connection between the Muslim Brotherhood and Islam.  After Benghazi, the same administration intentionally chose the official who knew the least to tell [the opposite of] what they knew.

Add to all that, Trump has his own loose association with the truth.  He owns Trump Tower, so to him, wire tapping of his campaign or administration is a wire tap of him.  He makes some statements out of ignorance and some out of clever gamesmanship and strategery.  It is not easy (or possible) to know which is happening at any particular time.  

For my money, this is a shiny object on both sides.  Yes, Pres Obama might have committed the most cynical political crime in our nation's history with the wiretap of a political opponent.  If not in this case, he still holds that title for IRS targeting of his political opponents.  And no one cared.
223  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Kevin Brady,, A look at the thinking behind tax reform - while we wait on: March 07, 2017, 09:43:30 AM
http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/3/3/14772242/republicans-tax-cuts-reform-kevin-brady-corporate-border-adjustment
224  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Bush Presidency; GW Bush; the Bush Family on: March 04, 2017, 08:40:50 PM
W is in the news a lot lately ...

I have not seen him but my understanding is that he is on a book tour and trying to be responsive to the leading questions asked after a long period of silence.  Answers in the clips are very generally out of context but there is no love of Trump after what he did to his brother.

The better time to have broken his silence might have been during the last two years of his Presidency.
225  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Islam in Europe, Sweden, Germany on: March 03, 2017, 05:31:25 PM
"immigrants are flowing to Sweden, in part, because the government benefits they receive there are all-encompassing — including housing, food, and education. In interviews, the immigrants say that in large part because of these benefits “life is good” for them in Sweden."

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/443073/rape-violence-sweden-immigration-refugees-ami-horowitz-video


"Sweden doesn’t allow refugees to seek work until they know the language"
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/swedens-rape-crisis-isnt-what-it-seems/article30019623/


Questions have arisen about why officials had not made those documents public, and police officials in Germany and elsewhere in Europe have been accused of trying to cover up crimes committed by refugees (authorities have denied the allegations). Criticism has also targeted media outlets, which are not allowed to specify the nationalities of criminals under Germany's press regulations.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2016/08/16/trump-says-german-crime-levels-have-risen-and-refugees-are-to-blame-not-exactly/?utm_term=.fd4ee4764252
226  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: An Active-Duty National Security Advisor: Myths and Concerns on: March 03, 2017, 01:02:37 PM
Nice find, BD.  This President seems to make great appointment picks.
227  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Science, Culture, & Humanities / Pathological Science, The Broken Hockey Stick, MIT Tech Review, Oct. 2004 on: March 03, 2017, 12:56:13 PM
Interesting that Michael Mann's famous hockey stick of global temperature change charts was proven false 2 years before the release of "An Inconvenient Truth".

"This improper normalization procedure tends to emphasize any data that do have the hockey stick shape, and to suppress all data that do not."

https://www.technologyreview.com/s/403256/global-warming-bombshell/
http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/fallupdate04/update.fall04.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9tkDK2mZlOo

MIT Technology Review

Sustainable Energy

Global Warming Bombshell

A prime piece of evidence linking human activity to climate change turns out to be an artifact of poor mathematics.

by Richard Muller  October 15, 2004
 
Progress in science is sometimes made by great discoveries. But science also advances when we learn that something we believed to be true isnt. When solving a jigsaw puzzle, the solution can sometimes be stymied by the fact that a wrong piece has been wedged in a key place.

In the scientific and political debate over global warming, the latest wrong piece may be the hockey stick, the famous plot (shown below), published by University of Massachusetts geoscientist Michael Mann and colleagues. This plot purports to show that we are now experiencing the warmest climate in a millennium, and that the earth, after remaining cool for centuries during the medieval era, suddenly began to heat up about 100 years ago–just at the time that the burning of coal and oil led to an increase in atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide.

I talked about this at length in my December 2003 column. Unfortunately, discussion of this plot has been so polluted by political and activist frenzy that it is hard to dig into it to reach the science. My earlier column was largely a plea to let science proceed unmolested. Unfortunately, the very importance of the issue has made careful science difficult to pursue.

But now a shock: Canadian scientists Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick have uncovered a fundamental mathematical flaw in the computer program that was used to produce the hockey stick. In his original publications of the stick, Mann purported to use a standard method known as principal component analysis, or PCA, to find the dominant features in a set of more than 70 different climate records.

But it wasn't so. McIntyre and McKitrick obtained part of the program that Mann used, and they found serious problems. Not only does the program not do conventional PCA, but it handles data normalization in a way that can only be described as mistaken.

Now comes the real shocker. This improper normalization procedure tends to emphasize any data that do have the hockey stick shape, and to suppress all data that do not. To demonstrate this effect, McIntyre and McKitrick created some meaningless test data that had, on average, no trends. This method of generating random data is called Monte Carlo analysis, after the famous casino, and it is widely used in statistical analysis to test procedures. When McIntyre and McKitrick fed these random data into the Mann procedure, out popped a hockey stick shape!

That discovery hit me like a bombshell, and I suspect it is having the same effect on many others. Suddenly the hockey stick, the poster-child of the global warming community, turns out to be an artifact of poor mathematics. How could it happen? What is going on? Let me digress into a short technical discussion of how this incredible error took place.

In PCA and similar techniques, each of the (in this case, typically 70) different data sets have their averages subtracted (so they have a mean of zero), and then are multiplied by a number to make their average variation around that mean to be equal to one; in technical jargon, we say that each data set is normalized to zero mean and unit variance. In standard PCA, each data set is normalized over its complete data period; for key climate data sets that Mann used to create his hockey stick graph, this was the interval 1400-1980. But the computer program Mann used did not do that. Instead, it forced each data set to have zero mean for the time period 1902-1980, and to match the historical records for this interval. This is the time when the historical temperature is well known, so this procedure does guarantee the most accurate temperature scale. But it completely screws up PCA. PCA is mostly concerned with the data sets that have high variance, and the Mann normalization procedure tends to give very high variance to any data set with a hockey stick shape. (Such data sets have zero mean only over the 1902-1980 period, not over the longer 1400-1980 period.)

The net result: the principal component will have a hockey stick shape even if most of the data do not.

McIntyre and McKitrick sent their detailed analysis to Nature magazine for publication, and it was extensively refereed. But their paper was finally rejected. In frustration, McIntyre and McKitrick put the entire record of their submission and the referee reports on a Web page for all to see. If you look, youll see that McIntyre and McKitrick have found numerous other problems with the Mann analysis. I emphasize the bug in their PCA program simply because it is so blatant and so easy to understand. Apparently, Mann and his colleagues never tested their program with the standard Monte Carlo approach, or they would have discovered the error themselves. Other and different criticisms of the hockey stick are emerging (see, for example, the paper by Hans von Storch and colleagues in the September 30 issue of Science).

Some people may complain that McIntyre and McKitrick did not publish their results in a refereed journal. That is true–but not for lack of trying. Moreover, the paper was refereed–and even better, the referee reports are there for us to read. McIntyre and McKitricks only failure was in not convincing Nature that the paper was important enough to publish.

How does this bombshell affect what we think about global warming?

It certainly does not negate the threat of a long-term global temperature increase. In fact, McIntyre and McKitrick are careful to point out that it is hard to draw conclusions from these data, even with their corrections. Did medieval global warming take place? Last month the consensus was that it did not; now the correct answer is that nobody really knows. Uncovering errors in the Mann analysis doesnt settle the debate; it just reopens it. We now know less about the history of climate, and its natural fluctuations over century-scale time frames, than we thought we knew.

If you are concerned about global warming (as I am) and think that human-created carbon dioxide may contribute (as I do), then you still should agree that we are much better off having broken the hockey stick. Misinformation can do real harm, because it distorts predictions. Suppose, for example, that future measurements in the years 2005-2015 show a clear and distinct global cooling trend. (It could happen.) If we mistakenly took the hockey stick seriously–that is, if we believed that natural fluctuations in climate are small–then we might conclude (mistakenly) that the cooling could not be just a random fluctuation on top of a long-term warming trend, since according to the hockey stick, such fluctuations are negligible. And that might lead in turn to the mistaken conclusion that global warming predictions are a lot of hooey. If, on the other hand, we reject the hockey stick, and recognize that natural fluctuations can be large, then we will not be misled by a few years of random cooling.

A phony hockey stick is more dangerous than a broken one–if we know it is broken. It is our responsibility as scientists to look at the data in an unbiased way, and draw whatever conclusions follow. When we discover a mistake, we admit it, learn from it, and perhaps discover once again the value of caution.
228  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Rules of the Road/Fire Hydrant on: March 03, 2017, 11:33:40 AM
Looking for:

a) pregnancy rates among US women serving in "former Yugoslavia" during US intervention there in the '90s.

As of late June[1996], 62 pregnancies were reported among the 2,000 or so women serving in Bosnia. That is something else doctors say they did not expect, although the pregnancy rate does not exceed the average for women in the Army overall.
http://www.nytimes.com/1996/07/03/world/bosnia-s-a-safe-and-healthy-place-for-the-gi-s-anyway.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1996/07/23/pregnancy-rate-of-unit-in-bosnia-hits-army-average/018879d2-4fe8-4850-a332-de37ab2cb41c/?utm_term=.5f08c49d6c14
Whether in peace or war -- or Bosnia -- the U.S. Army is discovering that about 5 percent of its female soldiers tend to get pregnant.

Latest statistics from Tuzla, headquarters for U.S. forces in Bosnia, show 68 of the 1,500 Army women deployed in the peace enforcement operation dispatched back to bases in Germany because of pregnancies.


b) pregnancy rates on a certain US ship in the Gulf around the time of the Gulf War.
[/quote]

http://militarymedicine.amsus.org/doi/full/10.7205/MILMED.172.5.511
Looking at the Navy during the Persian Gulf War, the repair ship Arcadia had 36 of its 360 women redeployed secondary to pregnancy during the first Persian Gulf War.3 In other conflicts such as Somalia, there were 72 women that became pregnant while using prophylactic mefloquine. They suffered an unexpectedly high rate of spontaneous abortion.10 And in Bosnia, it was reported that one female was evacuated every 3 days for pregnancy.
Barry J, Thomas E: At war over women. Newsweek, May 12, 1997, p 48
229  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Islam in Europe, 'The Truth About Sweden' on: March 03, 2017, 11:10:39 AM
Failure to assimilate. 
"Sweden has accepted more refugees per capita in recent years than any other country in Europe." 
"Crime in these areas is not just new in scope, but also in kind."
A ticking time bomb - in addition to the explosion of hand grenades.
Most of these facts cited are contained in a previous post.
-------------------------------
The Truth About Sweden
MAR 13, 2017 | By PAULINA NEUDING
 
"I often use Sweden as a deterring example.”

The words are not those of Donald Trump, but Anders Fogh Rasmussen. In an interview with Swedish public television in January, the former NATO secretary general and Danish prime minister described Sweden's immigration policy as a failure and a warning to other countries. But it was President Trump's unclear and slightly confused reference to Sweden during his February 18 rally in Florida that has turned attention to the Scandinavian country of 10 million and the details of its migrant experience. Sweden has accepted more refugees per capita in recent years than any other country in Europe. "Sweden, who would believe this? Sweden. They took in large numbers. They're having problems like they never thought possible," Trump said. Since then, Swedes have seen facts about their country, and many exaggerations and misconceptions, used as arguments in an American domestic debate.


But there are, in fact, good reasons for Americans to care about Sweden's problems. First, because Sweden's failure to integrate its immigrants, in line with Rasmussen's observation, carries lessons for other countries; second, because Swedish news reporting and public discourse on immigration and integration are restricted by taboos. Swedish journalists and public figures who have been outspoken about the problems—and transgressed what the Swedes call the "opinion corridor"—have risked being labeled xenophobes or racists.

This peculiarity of Swedish public discourse has often allowed politicians and public authorities to deny the problems caused by the country's migration and integration policies, without being seriously challenged. The Swedish foreign ministry, for instance, launched a PR campaign in response to the debate following Donald Trump's remarks about the country. It tweeted last week, as part of the campaign:
"Does Sweden actually have 'No-Go Zones'? No, we don't.
You think that Swedish police have lost control? The 'no-go zones' are in fact 'go-go zones'. #FactCheck
"

But no-go zones cannot simply be dismissed as a myth. Gordon Grattidge, chairman of a Swedish ambulance trade union, explained to me that no-go zones are a reality for paramedics in Sweden. There are areas where first responders can't enter without police escort. Grattidge's assessment is that ambulances are forced to retreat from such areas on a weekly basis.

Yet the government's use of taxpayer money to deny the existence of no-go zones has not been met with protests from Swedish journalists.

How, then, should we understand the connection between crime and immigration in Sweden? Former Swedish prime minister Carl Bildt had the facts right when he tweeted in response to Trump: "Last year there were app 50% more murders only in Orlando/Orange in Florida, where Trump spoke the other day, than in all of Sweden. Bad." That comparison, while correct, misses the point. Of course Sweden has not turned into Orlando or, for that matter, Chicago. But in a short time—maybe as short as two decades—Sweden has gone from a nation rightly considered a model of social cohesion, equality, low crime, and political stability to a society with growing enclaves of social unrest.

In 1990, Sweden had three so-called "areas of social exclusion," characterized by socioeconomic problems—and high numbers of immigrants. According to Swedish economist Tino Sanandaji, the number of such areas had risen to 186 by 2012. Swedish police authorities have identified 53 with persistently high crime rates. Here, police officers risk assaults, while ambulance drivers and firefighters often have to wait for police escort before answering calls from people in distress. It's no surprise they're often described as no-go zones.

Crime in these areas is not just new in scope, but also in kind. Systematic attacks on paramedics and firefighters were an unknown phenomenon in Sweden only a generation ago. The same goes for extensive use of guns and hand grenades in a country where most homicides historically followed from stabbings, blunt force trauma, and unarmed violence. Today, Sweden is extreme with respect to violence from guns and explosives, compared with the country's Scandinavian neighbors: In Stockholm, the capital, 189 victims suffered gunshot injuries during the period 2010-2015. During the same period in Copenhagen, the capital of Denmark, only 30 people fell victim to such crimes.

Most hand grenades in Sweden come from the former Yugoslavia, where one can buy them for one or two euros or get them free when buying other weapons. They're easy to smuggle, since they're small and difficult to detect. In Sweden, they're plentiful and cheap—available for less than $150 in Malmö, according to the newspaper Sydsvenska Dagbladet. In the first six months of 2015 alone, 30 explosions took place in Malmö, Sweden's third-largest city. More bombings and explosions have been reported in the city than in any other in Scandinavia. Malmö links Sweden to the rest of Europe: It lies in southern Sweden, a short train or car ride across the bridge to Copenhagen. It has a high proportion of immigrants—in 2015, 43 percent of Malmö's population consisted of first- or second-generation immigrants, compared with 22 percent in Sweden overall.

An additional change in the Swedish crime landscape is the fact that gang shootings and explosions increasingly take place during the daylight, in public, as well as in residential areas. Here is a recent example: On February 27, a Malmö resident suffered injuries in the leg after a hand grenade detonated outside a house in a residential area. Earlier on the same day, a sharp hand grenade was found outside a police station in the Stockholm suburb Kista. Police investigated a connection between the grenade and the riots in neighboring Rinkeby the week before. Violence was sparked there when police arrested a 17-year-old criminal on the run from a juvenile home. Police were eventually forced to shoot and spent three hours retreating from the area after losing control over the situation. Rioters looted, torched cars, and threw rocks; a newspaper photographer was beaten by at least 15 men.

In a report to the government last week, the Swedish Police Authority stated that the use of hand grenades in Sweden is without parallel in the world among countries not at war. In 2015, the police handled 45 cases involving hand grenades. In 2016, the number grew to 52. Hand grenades, according to the report, are used in attacks against business facilities and homes "without regard for whether there are people there or not."

On several occasions, foreign journalists reporting from Swedish areas of social exclusion have been driven out by violent youths. When the Norwegian public TV network NRK tried to report from a housing project area in Stockholm, its team was forced to leave the neighborhood under duress. Australian 60 Minutes visited Rinkeby in March this year, only to have its camera crew attacked by rock throwers. "We've all been assaulted and insulted," the reporter declared on air.

Journalists have also documented how religious minorities are being persecuted in immigrant neighborhoods. When Swedish public television accompanied a Somali woman who has converted to Christianity to Rinkeby—the scene of last month's riots—she was immediately threatened because of her conversion and forced to run. A similar case occurred in Malmö, when a TV reporter entered the area of Rosengård wearing a yarmulke. Text messages circulated among residents that a Jew had entered the neighborhood, and he was forced out of Rosengård in a collective effort. Residents threw eggs at him from windows.

Social unrest has brought threats and violence close to previously peaceful public community institutions such as libraries and swim centers. A survey I conducted myself revealed that several public libraries in Sweden have had to close down temporarily, change their opening hours, engage security guards, or equip their staff with personal assault alarms, as a consequence of harassment by groups of youths.

In December, I visited two libraries in the town of Västerås. Both had been forced to change their opening hours. One librarian told me that gangs of young criminals had taken over her library, and that she was always tense and often frightened at work. The staff were equipped with assault alarms.

Many hospitals and emergency rooms have new security routines: At Sahlgrenska hospital in Gothenburg, security was tightened after gunshots were fired close to the emergency room entrance in 2012. In an interview with a manager at Sahlgrenska in 2015, I was told: "Security has been increased, both because of threats and violence against the staff, and because of the increasing amount of shootings in recent years."

Similarly, a spokesperson for the ER in Malmö explained: "Since 2013, it's mandatory for all staff at the ER to carry personal assault alarms. That year there was unrest here in town with shootings, and we had problems with large groups of relatives who caused unrest at the ER." At one time a mob of some hundred people tried to break into the ER following a shooting—a dramatically new phenomenon in Sweden.

As far as sex crime, it is obviously preposterous to call Sweden a "rape capital." Yet evidence suggests that immigration has had an impact on sexual violence in Sweden.

The latest report on crime among immigrants from the Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention (BRÅ) was published in 2005. The report, which covers the years 1997-2001, shows that immigrants from the Middle East and Africa were heavily overrepresented among suspects of violent crime, particularly for sexual offenses. Another study of gang rapes in Sweden in the 1990s indicated that a majority of group rapes in Sweden were committed by first- and second-generation immigrants.

There are, unfortunately, no more recent studies. Data are still being collected but are not compiled and made publicly available. The Swedish justice minister, Morgan Johansson, explained in an interview recently that there is no need to publish any new reports, because the facts are well-known from earlier studies.

But if the overrepresentation has not changed since the 2005 survey, the influx of the overrepresented demographic could offer an explanation for the recent rise in the proportion of women who report that they have been victims of sex crimes: Between 2012 and 2015, self-reported sex crimes doubled from 1.4 to 3 percent of the female population—an "alarming" increase, according to the Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention. Whether this is caused by increased immigration from the Middle East and Africa we don't know, since the government refuses to release the data.

At the same time, Sweden has experienced a new phenomenon with group abuse of women and children in public swimming pools and at music festivals. Police noted in a report last spring:

The suspects of crimes carried out by a large group of offenders, in public, were mostly people with foreign citizenship. Regarding crimes reported in public swimming pools, the alleged perpetrators were mainly asylum seeking boys. .  .  . In 80 percent of the complaints from swimming pools alleged perpetrators were of claimed or established foreign origin. Most of them did not have a Swedish social security number, and reports indicated that they belonged to groups of asylum seeking boys.

Finally, another radically new phenomenon in modern Swedish history is oppression of women in the general public sphere with reference to religion or "honor." As far back as 2010, a local newspaper reported that women were not visible on the main square in Rinkeby. Authorities tried to solve the problem by placing three pink benches on the square, designated for women. The benches were eventually removed, since they, too, were taken over by men. Female writers for the local newspaper tried to sit down and have coffee at a Rinkeby coffeehouse, but were verbally abused by male patrons.

The situation has not improved since then. Nalin Pekgul, a Social Democratic Swedish-Kurdish former MP and well-known feminist, explained in an interview February 27: "Everyone must understand that it is not acceptable that men and women do not sit together in cafés in 2017." She went on: "For women in Sweden to win their freedom it is crucial what politicians say and do, and what journalists cast light on. The debate must continue."

She is right. It is also the reason why international media should continue to report—and uncover the facts—from Sweden.

Paulina Neuding is a columnist with the Swedish center-right daily Svenska Dagbladet.
http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-truth-about-sweden/article/2007071
230  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Immigration issues, 4300 (so far) came in that were banned on: March 03, 2017, 09:22:52 AM
I wonder what crimes or acts of terror will be committed by the thousands coming in to the US because of the unconstitutional block on the President's proper ban on entry from named, terrorist countries.  Blood I would not want on my hands.

http://dailycaller.com/2017/03/02/over-4300-refugees-have-arrived-in-the-us-since-judge-blocked-trumps-travel-ban/

Facts on the ground keep supporting this President's stand on immigration.

Regarding the wall and the border, it is strange that enforcing existing law is so controversial.
231  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Islam in Europe and pre-emptive dhimmitude on: March 03, 2017, 08:44:44 AM
Strange, the countries where muslims come from are such nice places, I wonder what happens to them in europe.


We call them 'Muslims', but Swedish media calls them "immigrants and recent immigrants". 

Funny that that trained professionals need more words to be less precise in their description.
232  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Treas Sec Mnuchin: Significant tax reform by August recess, Crisis, What Crisis? on: March 03, 2017, 08:07:13 AM
First this,  GM: "If you live in a blue state, it's past time to leave."

Tax prison:  If I move to the moon, the inflation-only "gains" on my holding of MN property for decades are still taxable in MN and the US at punitive personal rates.  I don't plan to earn much more for our lousy government at these rates.  I just want back whatever I can get of what I already earned.

---------------------------------------------------------------
Treasury Secretary Mnuchin says: We're committed to 'very significant' tax reform by August recess
http://www.cnbc.com/2017/02/23/treasury-sec-mnuchin-says-were-committed-to-very-significant-tax-reform-by-august-recess.html

I know they have a lot on their plate and this is hard but I don't understand why this isn't ready to go now, retroactive to the first of THIS YEAR.  The so-called 'unified' Republican government told the American people they were ready to govern.  I did not understand that to mean, ready to govern using the Obama-Pelosi-Reid-Schumer-Durbin-Ellison tax code!

The delay in implementing tax rate cuts under Reagan cost us two years of extreme economic calamity:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_1980s_recession
A human tragedy of measurable proportions.  See the graph below.

The current economic miss is avoidable.  As Scott Grannis might say, close the gap, and do it before $3 trillion lost of GDP becomes 4, 5 and 6 trillion!



Look at the flat line stagnation before the Reagan tax rate cuts took effect and the steep recovery that closed that gap.  Then look at the gaping hole caused by our 1.9% Obama "growth" and ask why we want to wait to August, or never(?), to try to close it.  We are going on 10 years of lost economic growth.  Some of those millions leaving the work force aren't ever coming back.  What part of crisis and disaster don't they understand.  Do we need to become Venezuela eating zoo animals before we take decisive action?  http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/08/19/hungry-venezuelans-break-into-caracas-zoo-and-butcher-a-horse/

As I wrote before inauguration, skip the endzone dance and PLEASE get to work.  This isn't some B or C level priority!

 Crisis, What Crisis?

233  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: US-China (& Japan, South China Sea-- Vietnam, Philippines, etc) on: March 02, 2017, 03:53:27 PM
MSM is playing catch up with the forum on their coverage of the Singapore to Taiwan Sea

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-military-commentary-idUSKBN1684OW

Is Beijing outflanking the United States in the South China Sea?

    - 'ya think?
234  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / sweden on: March 02, 2017, 03:48:31 PM
Thanks for the nice words.

"Funny, I was told this (Sweden dangerous) was a myth from right wing h8ors!!!!!!"

Now this, probably just internet hoax:
https://heatst.com/world/german-government-issues-travel-warning-for-sweden/
German Government Issues Travel Warning for Sweden Because of Terrorism Risk
By Joe Simonson | 2:16 pm, March 1, 2017
It looks like Germany doesn’t believe refugee violence is merely a right-wing talking point: That government on Wednesday released a statement warning its citizens about travel to Sweden due to the “increased threat levels of terrorism.”
-----------------------------------
More links, more stories, more riots.  Nothing to see, really.


http://www.expressen.se/nyheter/polis-skot-varningsskott-mot-stenkastare/
via translate.google.com
Police in Rinkeby shot to hit
published February 20, 2017 at 21:50
During the night's violent riots in Rinkeby threw several masked stones at police.
The police felt then so constricted that they fired shots that were not intended to warn.
- You fired a shot that is designated as for effect, said police spokesperson Lars Bystrom.
A photographer at the Daily News was in connection with the riots beaten and had to spend the night at the hospital, he says to DN.
Now increase police staffing in Rinkeby.
The alarm came to the police at 20:18 on Monday evening. A police patrol should then have been in the area for disposing of a wanted person.
In connection with this began several people at the subway throwing stones at police.
Police patrol on the site must have felt so constricted that they were forced to fire shots before being pulled back from the site of the wanted person.

Initially it was said that it was warning shots, but in the morning, police announced that they fired for effect.
Unlike the warning shot for effect means that the police service weapon fires to hit the target.
- Our staff was attacked by a number of people, some of them were masked and threw stones. It felt so constricted that it fired a shot that is designated as for effect, said police spokesperson Lars Bystrom.

During the night, the police had a large number of patrols in place in Rinkeby, something they will continue on Tuesday.
- We are increasing our staffing and will remain as long as necessary to provide security and order, says Ulf Johansson, regional police chief on the police website.

A witness at the site reports that the police retreated to a gas station in connection with the stone-throwing began. Up to 30 young people have participated, and according to the witness, they have blocked the road to the fire department would not be able to get through.
Classified as rioting
Several police officers had stones thrown at them. A police got a stone on his arm, but it is unclear how seriously injured he was.
Police headlining the event as assaulting a police officer and rioting. No person should even have been arrested in connection with the stoning.
- A person who was in the square were beaten, and one person who was on his way home was beaten and robbed, says Sylvia Oldin.

One of those assaulted was a photographer on the DN.
- I've met a lot of punches and kicks on both the body and the head. I have spent the night in the hospital, he told the newspaper.
A witness at the site reports that the police retreated to a gas station in connection with the stone-throwing began. Up to 30 young people have participated, and according to the witness, they have blocked the road to the fire department would not be able to get through.
SL, following a decision by the police shortly before 22 o'clock, set the bus services in the area. Among other stops bus 179 and bus 514 is not at five stops, including Rinkeby center.

In the morning, the police announced that it is about a dozen cars have been burned.
A second attack
Photos of the site, one can see how many cars are on fire, and emergency services are on site to extinguish them.
- Seven or eight cars burned in the area. We move back and forth, it never stands still at such incidents but we have good resources in place, says Lars Bystrom.

Now increases police bemanninge in Rinkeby. Photo: FREDRIK SANDBERG / TT / TT NEWS AGENCY
In the morning, the police announced that it is about a dozen cars have been burned. Vandalism is otherwise at a couple of storefronts in Rinkeby center that has been crushed.
According to information are about the emergency services have requested reinforcements from Sollentuna and Brännkyrka.
At 22:20 the police attacked a second time by the youth gang. It was about a planned, concerted attack where the young people rushed towards the police and threw stones.
 Police tackled to the ground during emergency
"Have helmets and protective equipment"
Expressen's reporter on the scene, Kim Malmgren says Monday evening that the atmosphere in the city center, where a hundred people are located, has been quite calm and not particularly excited.
- There is still burning in two cars. The rescue has gone into the center to start putting out the fires. Even the police are there with helmets and protective gear. Altogether, I have seen 4-5 police buses in the area, he says.
At 23:30 o'clock they had positioned themselves at the underground station in Rinkeby. According to Lars Bystrom have gone in with more resources in the area.
Burnt out cars in Rinkeby. Photo: FREDRIK SANDBERG / TT / TT NEWS AGENCY
- We go in for it to be peace and quiet in there. Unfortunately, we have received reports that several stores have been looted in the area. Once in place, we will certainly control the people and in the best case we can resort to anyone concerned.
"Very serious"
- Of course it is very serious that the police officers are attacked when it does its job. What we see may be a result of our increased pressure on criminals in the area. But I can assure that we are resilient and will not leave, rather intensify our work, says Ulf Johansson, the regional police chief on the police website.
A large number of reports have been prepared including: Three violent rioting, assaulting a police officer, two cases of assault, criminal damage and aggravated thefts.
------------------------------------
http://www.dagbladet.no/nyheter/opptoyer-i-stockholm-politiet-skjot-for-a-treffe--nbspdet-ser-ut-som-en-krigssone-her/67274529
-----------------------------------
http://www.dn.se/sthlm/nya-upplopp-i-rinkeby/
For the second night in a row Rinkeby shaken by violent riots. 50s youths threw stones at police and attacked the fire department. At least eleven fires started, most serious of which led to Rinkeby Academy burned.
Already on Tuesday evening, police had indications that something was going on in Rinkeby in western Stockholm. Young people had broken up paving stones laid in heaps. It all looked to be a repeat of the riots last night.
- They did everything to get our attention, says the county officer in charge of police officer Mats Brännlund in Stockholm.
- I would be able to understand the violence against the police, but why do they threaten and attack the emergency services I do not understand at all.
Despite the police escort could not rescue work close enough to extinguish the large fire in Rinkeby School annex, where Rinkeby Academy is housed. The group of young people gathered was deemed too threatening and police officers were met by stone-throwing.
A witness who wishes to remain anonymous tells the newspaper Metro that the area resembled a war zone.
- It rained down stones.
-----------------------------------
http://www.nordstjernan.com/news/sweden/1897/
Swedes answer call for Somali jihad.
An al-Qaida-linked group is busy recruiting anti-government fighters among Somali youths living in the Stockholm suburb Rinkeby, according to a recent AP report.
The problems Sweden faces integrating large numbers of Muslim immigrants is a subject on which Nordstjernan columnist Ulf Nilson has written many times. His warnings of increasing radicalization among Sweden’s Muslims – warnings he started to broadcast a decade ago – now seem eerily prophetic in light of an Associated Press investigation that found Stockholm to be a breeding ground for jihadists among Swedish Somalis.
According to the AP report, which first ran Jan. 24, an al-Qaida-linked group is busy recruiting anti-government fighters among Somali youths living in Rinkeby. A suburb of Stockholm, Rinkeby has earned the nickname of “Little Mogadishu” because of the number of Somalis living there. Rinkeby is also the center of the recruiting efforts of al-Shabab, a group with ties to al-Qaida.
The most disquieting aspect of this effort is who al-Shabab is targeting – second-generation Somali immigrants. According to AP, about 20 Rinkeby residents have joined a bloody insurgency against Somalia's government. According to SÄPO, the Swedish state security police, five of them have been killed and 10 are still at large in Somalia.
The issue has gained notice at a time of worsening fears of Islamic radicalism in the Scandinavian countries, home to more than 40,000 Somalis who have fled their war-ravaged homeland. These fears sharpened with the Jan. 1 attack by a Somali immigrant in Denmark on a cartoonist who caricatured the Prophet Muhammad.
----------------------------
http://www.cnn.com/2017/02/21/europe/sweden-stockholm-riots/
Sweden: Riots erupt in Stockholm neighborhood
Lauren Said-Moorhouse
By Ivan Watson and Lauren Said-Moorhouse, CNN
Updated 10:59 AM ET, Wed February 22, 2017
sweden stockholm riots immigration watson pkg_00014506
 Riots spark immigration debate in Sweden 03:26
Trouble flared in Stockholm's Rinkeby neighborhood as police arrested a suspect
Calm was restored to the area by midnight, Swedish authorities say
US President Donald Trump earlier suggested immigrants in Sweden were to blame for an increase in crime
Stockholm, Sweden (CNN)Riots broke out in a predominantly immigrant neighborhood of Stockholm Monday night, as residents clashed with police officers and set vehicles on fire, Swedish police say.

Officers were forced to call in reinforcements when a crowd began to gather in the suburb of Rinkeby during the arrest of a suspect, according to a statement from Stockholm police.
Stockholm regional police chief Ulf Johansson said the clashes may have been a result of their "increased pressure on criminals in the area."


http://www.cnn.com/2013/05/24/world/europe/sweden-riots-fifth-night/index.html
Swedish capital hit by fifth night of riots
By Per Nyberg and Bryony Jones, CNN
Updated 12:29 PM ET, Fri May 24, 2013
Police in the Swedish capital, Stockholm, have called in reinforcements after the city's suburbs were hit by a fifth night of riots.
Gangs set fire to two schools and a police station in the city on Thursday, police spokesman Kjell Lindgren told CNN.
About 30 cars were also torched, with the blaze from one vehicle spreading to a nearby shop.
"Police and firemen were also attacked again with rocks overnight, but no one was severely hurt," Lindgren said. "The level of violence has decreased," he added, "but the problem remains."
Extra police have been called in to help officers deal with the riots and a number of other events, including football matches, planned to take place in the city over the weekend.
Third night of riots hits Sweden

Third night of riots hits Sweden 01:31
Read more: Swedish suburbs shaken by violence
"Our resources are very stretched, so we need additional officers to make sure we cope with all the events and this violence," Lindgren said.
The riots broke out after days of rising tensions following the death of a 69-year-old man who was shot by police earlier this month while wielding a machete in the Stockholm suburb of Husby.
However, police say they are not sure what sparked the outbreak of violence.
The area is blighted by high unemployment and crime levels.
A total of 29 people have so far been arrested in connection with the riots, Stockholm Police said in a statement on their website.
The city's police chief pledged that more culprits would likely be arrested in the coming days.
"Initially we encountered a lot of violence, so our priority was to ensure the safety of the firemen," Mats Lofving said in a statement. "Now we are gearing up our ambition to start arresting more people.
"We have a lot of filmed material that we will be studying closely. We hope to arrest more of those who may think that they have gotten away with it because the worst is over."
Earlier this week, Swedish Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt vowed to take a stand against the rioters.
"We have to show that we won't allow a group of young men who believe in the use of violence to run society," Reinfeldt said.
-----------------------------------
http://www.dn.se/sthlm/ungdomsgang-angrep-banklokal-i-rinkeby-1.1118091
Rinkeby, June 2010
The police told DN.se [Sweden’s largest daily newspaper] that hundreds of youths caused problems and vandalism throughout Monday night.
“As soon as the police showed themselves, stones were thrown at them,” said Thomas Persson, spokesman of the Stockholm police, to DN.se.
------------------------------------
http://www.dagbladet.no/nyheter/opptoyer-i-stockholm-politiet-skjot-for-a-treffe--nbspdet-ser-ut-som-en-krigssone-her/67274529
-------------------------------------
http://www.news.com.au/national/nsw-act/masked-men-attack-60-minutes-crew-in-sweden/news-story/cbeea138a8c48bd81280d9d659474eda
Masked men attack 60 Minutes crew in Sweden
MARCH 1, 2016 6:46PM

60 Minutes reporter Liz Hayes and her film crew were attacked by a group of masked men in Sweden.
ANNETTE SHARP
News Corp Australia Network
Share on FacebookShare on TwitterShare on Google+Share on RedditEmail a friend
TWO 60 Minutes production crew were assaulted in Stockholm, Sweden, this week reporting on the refugee crisis effecting Europe.
Veteran reporter Liz Hayes and a small Australian crew were travelling through the Rinkeby district of Västerort, Stockholm, one of the poorer neighbourhoods in which 89.1 per cent are first or second generation migrants, when a group of unnamed assailants turned on the television crew.
Channel Nine last night confirmed early reports out of Stockholm that the group was confronted by a group of locals, some reportedly masked, who had objections to 60 Minutes filming in the region.
“Liz Hayes and a 60 Minutes crew are currently on assignment in Europe where they are reporting a story about the migrant crisis,” a Nine spokesman said.
235  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Cognitive Dissonance of His Glibness, book deal, tens of millions on: March 01, 2017, 02:59:38 PM
I can't believe he would sell his experience serving the American people for massive, personal financial gain, just kidding.

http://thehill.com/homenews/news/321679-barack-and-michelle-obama-sign-book-deals
236  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Sweden: 2014 on: February 27, 2017, 09:41:37 PM
Five years ago in Sweden, Israel’s Davis Cup team had to play its matches in an empty tennis stadium because the authorities could not guarantee the Israelis’ safety from the mob. The most brazen display of rising anti-Semitism today is the spread of the “quenelle,” a reverse Nazi salute, popularized by the openly anti-Semitic French entertainer, Dieudonné M’Bala M’Bala

Documented on these pages:   

http://dogbrothers.com/phpBB2/index.php?topic=977.msg26295#msg26295
DougMacG
Re: Islam in Europe - Davis Cup without Spectators
« Reply #268 on: February 24, 2009, 02:45:06 PM »
I had the opportunity to see a Davis Cup semifinal years ago featuring USA v. Sweden in Minneapolis.  There were no riots in the streets or car burnings.  This story in Malmo is amazing, they are host to Israel v. Sweden and the show just won't go on.  I would be very interested in hearing from people who have witnessed the unrest in places like France and Sweden.
---------------------------------
 Anyone for tennis in Malmo?
February 24, 2009 Powerlineblog.com

The AP reports that spectators will be barred from the Sweden-Israel Davis Cup match next month in Malmo. There appears to be a vague concern about controlling Swedish youth in Malmo:

    The Davis Cup matches between Sweden and Israel will be played without spectators in Malmo next month. Attempts to move the venue to Stockholm fell through.

    Officials have cited security concerns for the World Group series, which will be played March 6-8. Several anti-Israeli demonstrations have been planned in Malmo.

    Stockholm had offered to host the matches, saying it was better prepared to guarantee security arrangements. But that possibility ended when Stockholm officials said they couldn't get organized in time for Sunday's arrival of the Israeli team.

What's the problem in Malmo? Interested readers are left to fill in the blanks for themselves.   (It's a Muslim immigrant controlled city.)


http://dogbrothers.com/phpBB2/index.php?topic=977.msg28248#msg28248

The video I posted of the riots in Malmo on March 8, 2009 is now blocked.  Eurasia vs. oceania?

Try these: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eWol4qA3Yjw
What immigrant crime wave in Sweden?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zb1q7KzJBbE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zo90U3uqKBo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ppbK8fExvo8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pM8Ed9gIi_0
237  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Tax Policy on: February 27, 2017, 08:21:44 PM
Yes, but it's a nice way to hammer the blue states.

Right, but also (further) punishing the red voters in the blue states.

I wrote about this earlier, that NJ ad MN among others were going to get hammered.

Yes it makes sense, but it could be a partial exclusion or have a  phase in period.

One thing about extreme ideas like this is that it most likely isn't going to happen.  Why not propose tax reform they can pass and pass it now, instead of talking like a think tank while they have a most certainly temporary governing majority.
238  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Representative Keith Ellison loses DNC chair race on: February 25, 2017, 05:11:37 PM
So I became the Keith Ellison expert for nothing and know almost nothing about Perez, except that the party that chose him is nuts.

I wonder if Ellison believing the Germans invaded Pearl Harbor hurt him.  His call for violence against police and citizens wasn't a negative to the far left.
239  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: I'm leaving the CIA because of Trump on: February 22, 2017, 07:58:00 AM

Is he one of the leakers or did he merely forget to condemn his nine colleagues who committed espionage felonies in order to sabotage the new president and his new staff?

 Good Riddance, deep state.  Clean house, drain the swamp.
240  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: McMaster on: February 22, 2017, 07:49:49 AM
No matter other issues, Trump has picked some great people.

Agreed, starting with Pence, Gorsuch, Mattis, DeVos, Pruitt (EPA).  Tilleson looks good.  Haley is doing great at the UN. https://www.unwatch.org/u-n-obsess-israel-nikki-haley/

I feel frustrated at the pace of things but that all changes fast if they get the next two things right, healthcare and tax reform.
241  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Milo on: February 20, 2017, 12:13:27 PM

His angry denial here:

http://dailycaller.com/2017/02/19/milo-angrily-denies-defending-sex-abuse-a-vile-and-disgusting-crime/

I don't want to defend him and I don't know all the outrageous things he's said, but where was this outrage about man boy 'love' when it surfaced on the left?

 I was searching to find out the connection between Breitbart news and alleged white Supremacy.  It seems there are people on the right who lament that Britain is no longer British, Denmark no longer Danish, Sweden no longer Swedish etc.

I'm not sure if that is a phobia, unreasonable fear, when the rape rate goes up a thousand fold and none of the new residents seek employment.  Oops, there I go ...
242  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Venezuela on: February 19, 2017, 10:18:55 AM
It sure is a refreshing change to see the US stand for good and against evil.
243  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Sen. Feinstein's husband (13 months old article) on: February 19, 2017, 10:14:55 AM

Small world. I would have guessed Pelosi's husband. He must not have a rail company.
244  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Representative Keith Ellison - DNC chair race on: February 19, 2017, 10:12:08 AM
DNC chair race comes down to Ellison or not Ellison.

If it's Perez we can move this to another thread.

Successful candidate needs 224 votes out of 447 on Feb 25.

All say this is about competing in all 50 states, blah, blah, blah.

Or is this really about saying what activists want to hear and energizing the base?  We will see.

245  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: Math: Five Questions on: February 19, 2017, 09:06:54 AM

I like these Crafty. A 6th question for you and Connor and all from the book, A Beautiful Mind:

Two bicycles are twenty miles apart and start toward each other at ten mph each until their front tires meet.  Meanwhile, a fly starts on the front edge of the front tire of the first bike and flies at 15 mph to the second bike and back and forth and back and forth shorter and shorter distances until it is squished in the middle when the two front tires meet.

How far did the fly fly?

246  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Bureaucracy and Regulations in action: The Fourth Branch of the US Govt. on: February 15, 2017, 04:17:28 PM
A fair point!

That said, isn't this sort of thing revealed in the credit check you run on prospective tenants?  Or filtered out in great part by requiring first and last month, etc.?

The Tesla dealership and the salesman of new construction in Palo Alto can weed out the riff raff but a good part of America has to deal with the people as they come in.
247  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Bureaucracy and Regulations The Fourth Branch. Consumer protection on: February 15, 2017, 06:01:16 AM
How about starting with super simple disclosure of the annualized rate?

Agreed. Disclose the interest rate in font as big as your name, on the front page . I would be surprised to learn there isn't already a requirement, pre-feuxcahontas, for basic consumer loan disclosure as there is with mortgages.

Makes sense that to charge and collect interest you need to provide a reasonably clear contract.

And how about the other side of this? People with bad credit are doing what? Taking products and services from people and stores without paying by the agreed terms. Repo is the car dealers fault?? Taken as a group, this is RICO level organized crime and Bernie Madoff level fraud.  Does anybody care about that?

As a landlord might say to a normal person, have YOU ever made someone go to court to get you out of a place you aren't paying for? Have you ever moved out of a place and left all the doors and windows broken? Have you had eight or 10 car purchases in a row end in repo? If this kind of thing isn't illegal, maybe it ought to be.  Why does government protection have to be one-sided?
248  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Science, Culture, & Humanities / Just like AGW, Fukushima radiation was overstated by 6-7 times on: February 15, 2017, 05:39:39 AM
The lesson Fukushima daiichi in my humble opinion is that we most certainly now, in hindsight, can build a nuclear reactor to withstand the worst natural disasters.

http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/01/fukushima-residents-exposed-far-less-radiation-thought
 
Fukushima residents exposed to far less radiation than thought.

https://pjmedia.com/trending/2017/02/10/relax-that-scary-fukushima-headline-was-fake-news/
249  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Bureaucracy and Regulations in action: The Fourth Branch of the US Govt. on: February 14, 2017, 07:03:47 PM
I get all that.

OTOH there is something about sophisticated loan shark operators fukking those teetering on the edge , , ,

Let's say there should be a legal limit on the financial rape of those  desperate with bad credit, what should the law be?
250  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Tax Reform "coming in weeks" Big League on: February 10, 2017, 10:50:06 AM
We talked about the details, I've been wondering about the timing.  I have been telling people that the tax reform will be retroactive to Jan 1.  My prediction record around has not been so good...

I realize he has cabinet officials to get through, a porous border to stop up and a Supreme Court pick of the highest priority.  Not to mention healthcare and he is already being accused of presenting change in shock and awe fashion.  In addition to all that and regulatory reform that is equally urgent, he will be judged a complete failure if his economic growth record is not FAR above Obama's, and tax reform is the most direct way to get at that.

I can only hope they are taking their time in order to get it right.  It has to be good.  It has to pass.  It has to work, and it has to have some cover to answer the completely predictable complaints that will come from his opponents.  But everyday he waits, we are giving away revenues and delaying the surge of growth that most of us want.

Why would investment pick up based on unannounced new rates and how do you split the calendar year into a two system return.  e.g. How much of your 2017 income was earned before March 3rd or April 7th??!  Delay it a year or phase it in and certain recession sets in while people postpone transactions and investments decisions in waiting.  See 1981-1982.

http://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/2017/02/09/trump-says-big-league-tax-reform-details-coming-in-weeks.html
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