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201  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Trump Administration agenda - The Penny Plan on: November 09, 2016, 08:18:52 PM

Cut one cent out of each dollar each year in all programs other than Defense, Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.
202  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The US Congress; Congressional races on: November 09, 2016, 08:12:38 PM
I cannot tell.  Do Repubs have 51 or 52 Senate seats?  Every time I look it up it says 51 to 48.

Does anyone know what is going on?

I believe it's 51.  Kelly Ayotte conceded today in NH.  The 48 probably excludes an 'independent' Dem.
203  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 Presidential, Maine District goes to Trump on: November 09, 2016, 11:54:47 AM

Maine splits its electoral votes for the first time. 

Michigan also called for Trump, thin margin.  Hillary conceded.  Updating electoral count: 308-231. (?)   

Hillary still leads the popular vote by 0.2% with many votes left to count.  Let's hope that doesn't become a footnote to this historic event.
204  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 Presidential on: November 09, 2016, 09:13:39 AM
   I TOLD YOU SO!!!   

Yes you did!   )

And Rubio won in Trump's most important swing state -  with 8 times the margin.  This didn't have to be so hard!
205  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Trump Presidency, Trump Administration on: November 09, 2016, 09:06:10 AM
New thread?

Today the Trump administration begins, getting ready to start work.  The Trump analogy to Reagan begins too.  Trump starts with a huge advantage over Reagan by having the House and Senate in his own party.  He also starts with a 5th vote Supreme Court vacancy to be filled.  It is almost too good to be true.  (Don't screw it up!) He does not have and never will have 60 votes in the Senate.  The broken filibuster and reconciliation vote issues are the hurdles to enacting change; He also has to work well with congress - after he ran largely against them. 

Hugh Hewitt says Trump should appoint and get confirmed 100 judges in 100 days, including a Supreme Court justice from his list.

He promised to cancel executive orders, get over-regulation repealed, overhaul the tax code, re-open TPP and other agreements.  He needs great cabinet members.  He needs to sweep the corruption and ethical issues out the door.  He can't have scandal or make serious unforced errors.  He needs to move first and strongest in the areas that have the widest agreement with the people and with congress.  He needs to work quickly and boldly on healthcare.  What an opportunity.
206  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 Presidential - DDF was Right! ) on: November 09, 2016, 08:40:39 AM

276 Electoral Votes with perhaps 30 more coming from Alaska and close races in Michigan and Arizona making it 307-232.

Final tallies aside, Trump won a close election.  Also Republicans won huge Senate races, held the Senate and the House, which all effects at least the start of the Trump administration. 

The consensus of the polls was wrong.  This election was a tie in the popular vote, Clinton up by a hair, but Trump won Iowa by 10, Ohio by 8 and Wisconsin by 1, where the polls had him down by 6.

Clinton won Virginia roughly by the number of felons and illegals voting and she won Minnesota roughly by the number of peaceful, unvetted Somalis that have settled here.  She won Colorado and New Mexico with margins that come from population influxes there too. 

The Obama-Clinton (and Bush) years are coming to an end.  A new chapter is beginning.  God Bless America.

207  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Tea Party, Glen Beck and related matters on: November 08, 2016, 07:04:43 PM
These latest stories seem small and partly out of context.  I listen some and he hasn't changed much IMHO.  He and some others have to answer for not making a simple choice in this binary election.
208  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 Presidential predictions, Nate Silver, 538, Drudge on: November 08, 2016, 03:32:17 PM
Nate Silver's predicts 70% chance of Clinton victory, spends his final blog post writing about unprecedented uncertainty.

Clinton up by 3.  Error of 3% is "common".  If it moves 3 points, that easily could change the outcome.  Trump polls better in swing states than nationally.  Swing states contain more swing voters.  (Go figure.)  Error of 6-10% also possible - either way.  More undecideds than ever, could break one way (or the other) rather than down the middle.  More third party supporters than usual; some will tend to move to their binary choice.  12% of the vote unknown by poll takers even if they are right on the rest.

Polling errors are correlated across states, not random.

Polls understated 2015 UK conservative victory by 6 points.
Republicans beat the polls in 2014 by 3-4 points.
Polls missed Brexit 2016 by 4%.
Polls missed Reagan's win in 1980 by 8 points.
Drudge at this hour:



Did YOU vote?
209  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 Presidential - Election Day on: November 08, 2016, 11:10:30 AM
I voted.  Please vote and do everything else you can to make a difference today.   At least 15 states are close (list below) and will decide this election and the future (or end) of this nation.   Hillary polls above 50% in none of these states, nor in any national poll.

RCP final with no tossups has Trump at 266, 4 electoral votes short with the 4 tossup votes in NH scored for Clinton.  Some of those in the Trump column are vulnerable and some states where Clinton's lead is thin are winnable.  Trump must hold where he leads, FL and NC especially.   Then a win in NH, PA, CO, NM, MI or VA could put him over the top.

Somehow I have the feeling this is all going to turn against us today, toward Hillary and the people who want to rule us rather than let us live mostly in freedom.  (Please don't let that happen!)

Hillary and the Dems have the lists of all Americans likely to vote liberal sorted by demographic group and government benefit programs.  They have been out contacting door to door in person with paid workers to get out their vote.  (Our side has virtually none of that, relying on individuals to read through the distorted news and make the right choice.)  Their best groups include felons, illegals, people dependent on government programs and people most susceptible to the race and class warfare promise.  

All we can do at this point is reach out one by one and try to make the smallest of differences.

This is the moment. Don't wish later that you had done more now.  If you agree this election is crucial, then think of everyone like minded you know and check in with them today, now.  Who do you know in one of the following places that might appreciate having someone they know contact them about how important their vote is?

North Carolina
New Hampshire
New Mexico

All of these states matter!

A short time ago I watched Al Franken become the 60th liberal vote in the Senate enabling a historic takeover by big government.  They did that with a margin (312 questionable votes) that could have been overcome with just a little more effort from all the people opposed to that agenda and philosophy.
210  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 Presidential predictions PP, RCP on: November 07, 2016, 05:45:55 PM
Our Pat (surprisingly) thinks the polls are wrong and it will be Trump in a landslide.

RCP Average is currently Clinton +2.9%   Assuming a 2-3 point under-count, this is going to be close and the Republican is the underdog.  Prove them wrong! 

There are a number of ways they can be wrong. 

1. People vote differently in the privacy of the polling booth than they tell pollsters.  Each percent of that has a 2 point swing.  A few Hispanics who already have jobs, citizenship and good lives might fall into into this group, not wanting to say they support Trump.
2. Turnout models turn out false.  Blacks aren't excited about Hillary.  Women aren't excited.  The young aren't excited. 
3. Polling methods have worsened since people abandoned home phones.
4. Polling firms tweak their results to fall in line with other polls.

Republicans have been winning non-Presidential year elections and state races.  Perhaps this election year will have more in common with those years.

211  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Janet Reno on: November 07, 2016, 03:39:13 PM

Janet Reno came into the Clinton administration with a reasonably good reputation.  She was unanimously confirmed by the Senate.  She never fully became a Clinton insider but perhaps someone who should have stood up to them a little more.  I remember her noting that as the Attorney General of the United States she was communicating with the President through Web Hubbell and assistant attorney General during the Waco crisis.  Hubbell was a former Hillary Rose Law firm partner and a Clinton insider.

Web Hubbell, later a convicted and jailed felon, could not have been confirmed as Attorney General but was the Clinton de facto overseer of the Dept. 

Reno the outsider appointed special prosecutors to investigate Clinton scandals.  She was a notch above Obama's Attorneys General.
212  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / 2016 Election Predictions on: November 07, 2016, 09:57:44 AM
DDF made the most bold prediction calling it Trump in a landslide long before he was closing the gap.  I will post Wed that 'DDF was Right' if Trump wins the popular vote by anything that rounds to 3 points or more and he wins the electoral count.

My predictions, subject to update with so much time left between now and tomorrow...

1.  Clinton by 1% popular vote and by at least a state or two electorally.   (

2. Republicans hold the Senate 51-49.  If I am wrong by one here, the tie goes to the winner of the White House.

3.  Republicans hold the House, lose 10 seats but keep a solid majority.

In the early returns, if Virginia is near even instead of Clinton up by 6 as the polls suggest, this race turns on its ear.  If Trump wins Pennsylvania, start the math over.  If Trump wins Indiana by way more than 11, this race is different than predicted.  But if Clinton wins Florida, it's over.
213  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Where's the $20M? on: November 07, 2016, 09:40:00 AM

Remember the Dem Congressman caught with $100,000 in cash in his freezer?  This amount would pay off 200 people at that level. (Instead of feeding an island full of hungry children...)  Yet I doubt anyone leaning Hillary or defending Obama cares about $20 million lost.  It wasn't lost.  They are paying off people, including themselves, all over the world.  By the time we get the facts on this they will say it's an old story that no one cares about.

It seems futile but I'm glad we are logging Clinton misdeeds here.
214  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Way Forward for the American Creed on: November 07, 2016, 09:30:12 AM
For all our foresight about the Clintons, and our anger at her supporters and the pravdas who deceive them, we must also remember too what a profoundly flawed messenger Trump has been for the American Creed.

Watching Hillary and Dem closing commercials, Trump is quite the flawed messenger based on these clips of un-Presidential utterances.  We warned Pat and others about that.  Commercials show children watching a TV with Trump saying nasty, bleeped things.  Clinton is worse but not on the surface level.

On policy, he is partly right and partly wrong.  A muddled message for me but he is connecting with other people on other levels, anger about globalization etc.

We still don't have a candidate who can explain why capitalism is better than socialism and freedom better than tyranny.

Wrong direction polls 2:1 over right course and we have a toss up election running against more of the same - at best.

It's an easy call for me to vote for him versus a crook who has her policies all wrong.  But it's a hard time to our use influence with others, moderate and liberal, to persuade them this is the time to jump to our side.
215  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: DDF's post #579 Part Two on: November 05, 2016, 02:30:53 PM

Hard to follow the details but they are saying that in a day when everything is getting hacked, from Home Depot and Target to the Secretary of State and President, our electronic voting system can be hacked.

We learned in the Chavez recall that you can observe all the local polling places and still completely miss centralized tampering.  It wasn't long ago that it was Democrats suspecting Republicans of owning voting machine companies and controlling their mis-use.  As far as I know, all the large scale cheating is on the Dem side, the MN/Al Franken/60th Senator race is a case in point.  Illegal votes were greater than the margin of victory, allowing for Obamacare's passage and other havoc.

People on our side (both sides) need to volunteer to be poll watchers, election judges and observers.  Conservatives watching conservative districts is not enough.  The larger cheating IMHO happens in the larger Dem polling places.  The most obvious infractions include allowing votes from those not eligible, people who are illegals, felons, dead or already voted perhaps somewhere else.

Less visible is the centralized hack.  Preventing that requires central scrutiny by well-placed and well-trained observers and investigators with the right access.  I doubt that is happening.  Instead our chief of federal law enforcement denies there is any problem and calls anyone who believes otherwise "dangerous".

We need enforcement and penalties that are scary.  To me, undermining our electoral system in any way is akin to treason.  If not the death penalty, we need punishment that is truly not worth risking and enforcement mechanism that makes each potential cheater believe they will be caught.
216  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Obama Admin illegally diverting $5B to insurance companies on: November 05, 2016, 01:21:01 PM

The laws that regulate me all seem to have an enforcement mechanism and penalty attached to them.

'Obama administration broke the law' is how almost every sentence about them could begin.  Yet no one pays a price for it.
217  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 Presidential on: November 02, 2016, 12:09:36 PM
Trump at 265 on 'No Toss up' map.  (Needs 270 to win and 269 to put it in the House of Representatives.)

He needs to win all of his plus steal ONE of hers, New Mexico or Colorado or Virginia or Pennsylvania or NH/Maine2, or Michigan or Wisconsin.  None of these are low hurdles to clear, and several of his are well within the margin of error.

America, this is not over until the fat (corrupt, socialist) lady sings.

I must admit, Trump sounds Presidential in the final stretch and Hillary sounds like an angry defendant.

Trump objectifies women but this (below) passes for acceptable, family entertainment from Hillary's invited guest (J-Lo)performing at her rally:

Too explicit to post in our Presidential thread.
218  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 Presidential, Holman Jenkins article on: November 02, 2016, 11:05:55 AM
There are so many truths in that Holman Jenkins piece:

"Mrs. Clinton is a screw-up. And when a trait takes such trouble to announce itself, note must be taken."

"The emails that Mrs. Clinton and her aides deleted would seem the ones most likely to contain evidence of improper activity."

"The federal machinery trying so hard to give her a pass is the same federal machinery that writes millions of rules for the rest of us. It doesn’t give us a pass."

Yes, yes and yes.  The whole apparatus of Obamacare restructures America with a system of rules and punishment that applies to all the rest of us just as we watch them clearly operate outside the rules and without punishment.  Does the government ever give us a pass?

Does one have to be a political opponent to recognize and be offended by all this?
219  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 election, what if Trump and the Republicans win? on: November 02, 2016, 09:01:21 AM
I have been silent on DDF's prediction of a Trump landslide only because of the failure of my own predictions, that Hillary won't run, won't win the nomination if she does run and won't win if nominated.  That bet seemed well hedged yet I already lost on 2 counts, owing significant meal tabs (canned food from my bunker?) to my friend ccp.

The analysis of this election outside of DDF has focused on what will come of the Republicans Party if they lose it all this year.  20 million new Democrat voters will change things forever.  So will the Court.  The pendulum won't swing back and forth again when we keep adding large weights to one side.

Not mentioned it seems is that the Republicans could win it all next week.

Yes Trump could win.  RCP says Trump already has more than 260 electoral votes if the average of recent polls equal the result.  He has the momentum.  She has disaster, has lost momentum and offense, but has not fully imploded.

Black Vote:  Democrat weakness is reaching critical mass.  When 98% of everyone you know or identify with thinks and votes one way, you don't consider it necessary to think through your own position.  When a number of people whose opinions you respect start to turn the other way, it frees people to consider alternatives and make a different choice.  It may start in the privacy of the polling booth, not in what people tell family, friends and pollsters.  

A 20 point collapse on Hillary's side and a 20 point surge on Trump side of a significant group is a big deal.
Bigger than that is that it frees other to make a free choice.  Democrat policies have brought failure after failure.  What have you got to lose is a weak argument, but hey, what have you got to lose by re-shuffling the deck and dealing again?  (Meanwhile he polls worse with Hispanics and needs to soften that.)

Women Vote:  Nearly all women I know were disgusted by Trump's words on the secret recording.  Maybe Hillary and the Times or Post came out with that too early.  Now people have had time to consider that it was mostly talk.  Putting someone in the White House who is not disgusting is not the alternative to Trump.  A criminal married to a rapist or a guy who talked dirty years ago in private?  Call it a draw and go back to policy, failed policies versus real change and drain the swamp.  Wong direction outpolls right course by more than 2 to 1.

Never Trumpers:  Conservatives who can't make this choice are crazy and wrong.  I expected most of them to come around.  I still do.  Kasich did a write in.  George W Bush will abstain.  That is two votes lost.  Losing the vote of Republican establishment power has been a net-positive for Trump.  He didn't choose a conventional path.

House and Senate:  The distance between the Republican House and the Republican presidential nominee is also turning into a good thing.  They can work together on policy yet would feel quite free to buck him or even impeach him if warranted.  The removes the need to split the ballot which centrist voters often do to hedge their bet.

Senate race polling has been very close to 50-50 all along.  At 50-50, the Presidential win controls the Senate.  More likely the Presidential win will comes with a surge that also carries one or two Senators the same way, hopefully to the right from my point of view.

Hillary Clinton wins this election in a tie with the big blue wall of electoral votes.  (Gore was the last exception.)  I have believed all along that the Republican needs nearly a 3 point win in the national popular vote to decisively win the electoral college.  That is still possible.  Trump needs to run the table on ALL the swing states and take one or two more that were not believed to be in play about a minute ago.  But that is what happens in a late, national surge.  It is still possible but I make no prediction.

IF IF IF Republicans win the White House, Senate and House of Representatives, which is possible...  Where does that leave
the Democratic Party?  Their last two DNC chairs lost in scandal, wrongly steered the nomination to a crook, liar and a loser.  Both Clintons done.  Obama leaving, and leaving on a loss and with repeal of his agenda coming and also possible investigations into his governance.  Pelosi likely out.  Reid out.  Biden out.  No outside of Washington Dem governors elevated.  Control of state legislatures lost.  Border security in.  Citizenship for illegals out.  Tax reform in.  Economic growth returning.  TPP style sovereignty losses out.  New security agreements with allies coming.  Peace through strength, back.  Respect for law enforcement returns.  Individual responsibility back.  This is a disaster if you are a Democrat who makes a living telling people they are nothing without big government.
220  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Politics on: November 02, 2016, 08:19:23 AM
Colin Powell's Presidential choices of Obama, Obama and Hillary just tell us where he sits politically.  We thought he picked Obama because he is black but he picked him because he is liberal.  Powell never was a conservative or a Republican beyond name only.  He was a great military strategist and is a person quite successful in advancing his own power, influence and money.  As Elizabeth Warren would say, good for him.  But a constitutionalist he is not.  Nowhere in the constitution does it say we can right racial wrongs with reverse discriminatory schemes or that a woman has the right to slaughter her young.  These are merely liberal political views.
221  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Huma and Anthony's computer on: November 02, 2016, 08:08:43 AM
A friend writes:


There is another reason for concern about all these emails being found on the laptop jointly owned by Weiner and Abedin.  I have not yet seen this aspect discussed publicly.

If Weiner were sending and receiving porn (underage or otherwise) from that laptop, then he was most likely frequenting unsecured file sharing services.

This is how child porn and other illegal porn is distributed outside of the usual pay internet sites.  (Not to mention what gets attached to those
files)  I know this from , , , .  You get porn by allowing others to access your files directly from your computer storage via these file sharing sites for porn- especially underage porn.

Thus, if Huma's files from to her Yahoo account were all stored on the same laptop that Weiner was using to share porn, then all those emails were subject to easy discovery by any interested party who would troll those boards for ways to hack into other peoples' computers and take them over for various purposes.  The FBI trolls those boards in order to impersonate and catch child porn users and distributors.  So, her IP address was known.  Access to the file storage on the laptop was enabled.

Who knows what was attached to any of the files that Weiner would have accessed?  

Not to mention that Yahoo was hacked and was likely compromised.  

Just saying that there is a lot more potential security exposure here including a way for outside agencies to access everything on that laptop and cover their tracks inside Weiner's file sharing services.

Besides setting up a culture of corruption, Hillary's leadership at State comprised and careless and reckless culture of disregard for security of national security information, each incident a felony.

The key here is to note that the motive for lax security, operating outside the government security, was an integral part of the premeditated corruption syndicate.  They knew before the pay for play communications were sent and received what they intending to do with the Secretary of State's office.  And Huma worked concurrently for both operations, not some inadvertent overlap of duties.  All this the idea of Hillary unless she doesn't run her own operations.

This was an planned and organized crime operation, not a mistake.  They knew these communications would not hold up to public or law enforcement scrutiny.  Even when totally and completely busted they act like nothing is wrong.  With the evidence all over the internet, they say the FBI Director has nothing, just out to get her!

We need the voters to speak on this.
222  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Hillbillary Clintons long, sordid, and often criminal history on: November 02, 2016, 07:53:59 AM
This could easily be a crock of excrement.

BTW, NE is run by Trump crony who planted a crap story for Donald against Cruz IIRC. 

National Enquirer is occasionally right.  This story about Hillary flings might be true and the Chelsea thing is possible, but as a practical and political matter it is better to stay on what we know for sure about her, especially between now and the election.

The seven felonies story should be front and center, electing a criminal just to pardon herself.  Even the story about Hillary's first felony is still relevant in that it matches her current and recent behavior and proves she has no regard for the law or her victims.  She chose personal enrichment over Arkansas pollution protection then; now she chooses personal enrichment over American control of American Uranium assets, hiding from oversight over national security, hiding facts over complying with and assisting an FBI criminal inquiry.

The way should went after Bill's victims is horrible.  It makes his transgressions, sexual assault and rape, hers.

There is also room to oppose her on policy!
223  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Whose fault is the FBI surprise? on: November 01, 2016, 10:05:43 AM
Democrats knowingly nominated someone under FBI investigation.
Democrats willfully looked the other way.
224  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Hillbillary Clintons long, sordid, and often criminal history on: November 01, 2016, 09:34:46 AM
225  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Politics on: November 01, 2016, 09:30:48 AM
Interesting article with a peek into the world of the "elites".

I watch how CNN fired Donna Brazille but we all know her disease is short lived.  She will simply mover around the revolving door to another lucrative opportunity somewhere else among the elites and not miss a heartbeat. 

The Clinton Podesta machine will find some other way to reward her for being a "soldier" among them.

I hate it when all our conspiracy theories are proven right.

She still is the head of the DNC, serving in place of someone who was caught doing the same thing, using her power wrongly to advantage one side, the Clintons.

226  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Schlafly on voter fraud on: October 31, 2016, 11:56:14 PM

Nice to see Phyllis Schlafly's sons carrying on her good work.
227  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: blame the cause not the messenger on: October 31, 2016, 10:53:36 AM

I still have major doubts the world will finally be rid of these miscreants. 

Yes, the candidate and these miserable surrogates blaming Comey and the process.  THESE DCOUMENTS WERE UNDER SUBPAENA.  She is the one who tried to stretch this issue out to the election and beyond.

Someone other than National Review and Fox call her out on it!
228  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Media, Ministry of Truth Issues on: October 31, 2016, 10:50:52 AM
"Bigdog unavailable for comment on the professional journalists, with credentials!"
Possible taunting violation here.  I have known Bigdog to update his view in the face of new information.  Let's be nice and get him back.  )

Were any of these pretend journalists fired, suspended or shamed or are we now to the point where being thought of as in bed with the campaign is worn as a badge of honor?

Is there one person on that leftist list that the other side, Trump or a Republican, would also believe they could plant a story or narrative?

91% of mainstream stories on Trump are negative.
Given the view of the general electorate, that proportion should be no worse that 70%. 

Do they ever go beyond the shiny object lead story and pick an issue like Obamacare failing, ISIS strategy failing, China policy failing, economic policy failing?  Do they on their own cover the fact we have the highest corporate business tax rates in the world and one candidate wants to raise them further, kill off businesess and jobs, and one candidate wants to fix that?  Or run a story that in a time of black lives matter awareness the abortion issue is killing black babies at 5 times the rate white babies,, one candidate wants that to continue that, no problem, and the other's policies would curb it, sent back to the states.  Is it partisan to report on life and death stories or real consequences of policies based on facts that no one else is talking about?

Instead, because of the above, we get these planted story, planted wordings, repeat chamber montages where 2 or 3 dozen outlets and analysts are saying the exact same thing as if it's true and it's their own original thought.  It's worse than real Soviet Pravda where they only had one outlet.

Remember 'gravitas', what Bush lacked and had to acquire:

Trump's rigged talk is dangerous, media montage:

Trump has a narrow path to victory, the planted media narrative one day,
Narrow path, narrow path, Trump has a narrow path, narrow path, narrow path... ... ...

Dozens of outlets, same biased BS.  Now we know exactly how it gets started and spreads.  ABC heard it from Podesta, not from CBS, CNN, Washington Post, etc. nor did they come up with it on their own.

It used to be called PLAGIARISM when you put something out there as your own without giving credit to the source.  Do they still teach THAT in journalism school or do they openly teach, advance the narrative, ends justify means?
229  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Hillbillary Clintons long, sordid, often criminal history, Huma Weiner on: October 29, 2016, 02:44:24 PM
In deserving fashion, didn't Huma and Weiner meet through the Clintons?

What kind of people did they expect to meet there?

And it turns out she's the sleazier one??
230  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Let them eat cake on: October 27, 2016, 03:28:03 PM
At the very beginning one can hear her ask "why can't you get any closer" - because she is maybe 3 feet away from the steps!   Notice the slave reach for the umbrella at the top:

It didn't look like much of a stumble, looks she has high heels on, but still - very strange that she knew she would have trouble making it up the stairs with two handrails alone.

My mom was waterskiing at Hillary's age.

Probably not drunk this time, but that has been a problem:

Whatever it is that's wrong with her, she calculates it would be damaging to her election chances for us to know.  She is accusing the country of handicap-phobia?
231  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Gruber, designer of Obamacare, working as designed, need bigger penalties on: October 27, 2016, 03:07:41 PM

October 26, 2016

Obamacare Architect Jonathan Gruber: "Obamacare Is Not Imploding," "Working As Designed"
MIT professor Jonathan Gruber, a well-known architect of President Obama's Affordable Care Act, tells CNN that the law known as 'Obamacare' is working exactly as intended.

Full transcript, via CNN:

JONATHAN GRUBER: Obamacare's not imploding. The main goal of Obamacare was two-fold. One was to cover the uninsured, of which we’ve covered 20 million, the largest expansion in American history. The other was to fix broken insurance markets where insurers could deny people insurance just because they were sick or they had been sick. Those have been fixed, and for the vast majority of Americans, costs in those markets have come down, thanks to the subsidies made available under Obamacare...

The 22% increase [in health care premiums], let’s remember who that applies to. That applies to a very small fraction of people, who have to buy insurance without the subsidies that are available.

85% of people buying insurance on the exchanges get subsidies. And for those people, this premium increase doesn’t affect them.

Now, for those remaining people, that is a problem, and that’s something that we need to address, but it’s not a crisis. It doesn’t mean the system’s collapsing. And most importantly, it doesn’t affect the 150 million Americans who get employer insurance, who have actually seen their premiums fall dramatically, relative to what was expected before Obamacare.

CAROL COSTELLO, CNN: OK. So let's talk about how exactly you can fix Obamacare. And I just need you to be specific, because I think people really want answers. So Hillary Clinton says she can fix Obamacare. So what would be one fix that would drive premiums down.

GRUBER: Look, once again, there's no sense of oh it just has to be fixed. The law is working as designed; however, it could work better, and I think probably the most important thing experts would agree on is that we need a larger mandate penalty. We have individuals who are essentially free riding on the system. They're essentially waiting until they get sick and then getting health insurance. The whole idea of this plan which was pioneered in Massachusetts was that the individual mandate penalty would bring those people into the system and have them participate. The penalty right now is probably too low and that's something ideally we would fix.

COSTELLO: So somebody who is president could go to congress and say, "You know what, lawmakers, this is a fix. Can you pass this?" Is that what would have to happen to put that fix into place?

GRUBER: Basically, it's hard to know what dramatic fix we could do without congress participating in the process. We could do things like a stronger mandate is one. We could do things like increasing the pressure on states to expand their Medicade programs, a horrible act of political malpractice where states have left millions of people of their lowest income citizens uncovered. We could do things like that, but a lot of that would involve congressional participation. It's hard to know what you can do just on your own as a new administration.

COSTELLO: What about the insurers who have fled the system? How do you convince them to come back or new companies to sign on? GRUBER: Once again, I think the press here has been misleading. Some insurers are leaving. Other insurers are thriving. I think what you have is a system where we've shaken up the status quo, exactly what we expect of new innovation, disruptive innovation if you will, to do. Insurers who were thriving in the old system are finding this new system sort of hard for them. Other insurers are doing really well and what's going to happen is the natural process as the market evolves. These premiums are going to increase. That's going to allow profitable opportunities for new insurers to enter they are(ph) and bring premiums back down. So we're just seeing the ups and downs of a new market. What you have to remember is that premiums in 2014 came in way below what we expected. In fact, where they are today is exactly where they thought they'd be today. It's just they came in lower than we thought and they rose faster than we thought. And that's just some of the unpredictability of a new market. That will settle down over time. And new insurers will enter.

COSTELLO: OK. So hindsight is 20/20, right?


COSTELLO: Looking back, is there one thing that you wish was done differently?

GRUBER: I think there's really probably two things I wish was done differently. One is I wish the mandate penalty was stronger. The other, I wish the federal government had done more to get states to expand their Medicaid programs. I think that this is a fundamental flaw in our system that states are leaving so many systems uncovered and citizens who are sick who are coming into this exchange pool and making it more expensive.

COSTELLO: So realistically, you know, after the next president is put into office, what do you think will happen with Obamacare?

GRUBER: I think nothing much is going to happen, to be honest. I think that basically a system that largely works , that the flaws your seeing now or the premium increase you're seeing now are just the natural dynamics of a market as it transitions to its new state, and I think that we're just going to let it go for a couple years and it's going to get better on its own. And basically I think it's a system which largely works.

COSTELLO: What if Donald Trump becomes president, he has a republican congress, and he does repeal it? What happens then?

GRUBER: Well, first of all he won't repeal it. Remember, the whole argument and public debate against this law is that people didn't get to keep insurance they liked. Well, you're going to have 20 million Americans or more who are now getting insurance that they like. You're not going to take that away from them. And let's be clear, there is no replace. There is only repeal. There is no Republican alternative to this law, and the reason is because this is fundamentally a bipartisan legislation that was originally drafted on Republican principles, to be honest. And so there is no Republican alternative. And so his repeal and replace is just repeal and leave people uninsured. That's not going to happen.
232  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Corruption, Skullduggery, and Treason on: October 27, 2016, 02:51:29 PM
Great list.  The Iran example alone should do it.

Fast and Furious has elements of treason in it.  Americans died as a direct result of it.  Not even arguable as an unintended result.  Isn't that what they hoped would happen?  Mexican border gangs are enemies of the US, right?  They violate our sovereignty, kill civilians and shoot border guards.

I'm not sure if general examples of weakening our country from the inside are enemy-specific enough to prosecute under the treason statute.  The extreme examples of this like IRS targeting. Improper use (and non-use) of the FBI and DOJ are also be impeachable offenses, IMHO.

I do not support criminalizing political differences.  From the true statement you make about Iran, I don't see how sending them massive planeloads of cash, as a hostage taking bonus, that the people had no idea we were doing, is a political difference.  He was aiding and abetting an enemy.  And now they are killing us (again).  He should be prosecuted and removed.  Instead they brag of "defeating" Iran without firing a single shot.  Their theft of our language is a crime.

It takes two sides agreeing to impeach and remove from office.  I wonder what a leader on their side could do, if not any or all of these, to rise to an impeachable offense for Democrats.

How is it we can't all agree what was done in these examples is wrong, is criminal, and justifies swift action to protect the country and keep future leaders from doing more of the same or worse?!  I am astonished at how otherwise informed, intelligent, liberal friends know nothing about almost all of these scandals.  The exposure is almost all in the right leaning media, not reaching the general public.
233  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Science, Culture, & Humanities / Pathological Climate Science, How they stifle dissent, Wikileaks, Podesta,Steyer on: October 27, 2016, 12:30:11 PM
WikiLeaks Exposes Podesta-Steyer Climate McCarthyism

How the Center for American Progress campaigned to suppress speech

The latest WikiLeaks dump contains plenty of insider dirt on John Podesta, the founder of the Center for American Progress and the campaign manager for Hillary Clinton. Perhaps the tawdriest story to be exposed by Podesta’s pilfered e-mails is the bragging by an employee of ThinkProgress, an arm of the Center for American Progress, about how they got Roger Pielke Jr.’s scalp.

A July 2014 e-mail from Judd Legum, an editor at ThinkProgress, to billionaire Democratic climate activist (and former coal-mine investor) Tom Steyer exposes the climate-change McCarthyism that the Left — and its myriad allies in the liberal media — use to discredit or silence anyone who doesn’t adhere to the orthodoxy of the climate catastrophists.

In the e-mail, Legum boasted to Steyer about how ThinkProgress had silenced Pielke by preventing him from publishing at Nate Silver’s then-new website,, on the issue of climate change. Legum was also asking Steyer, indirectly, for more money. Steyer and Podesta both sit on the board of the Center for American Progress. Between 2008 and 2014, Steyer gave the Center for American Progress some $3.85 million. I’ll come back to the specifics of that e-mail shortly.

First, some background. Pielke, a professor at the University of Colorado since 2001, holds degrees in mathematics, public policy, and political science. He has authored or co-authored seven books. He has won several awards for his academic work. For about two decades, he was a prolific writer and speaker on climate issues. In 2013, he testified before Congress and declared that there is “exceedingly little scientific support for claims found in the media and political debate that hurricanes, tornadoes, floods and drought have increased in frequency or intensity on climate timescales either in the United States or globally.” During that same testimony, he said that global weather-related losses have not increased since 1990 as a proportion of GDP. He went on, saying that there were also no observable increases in floods, tornadoes, or droughts.

Pielke’s work was backed up by data and, in many cases, by the findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. But that didn’t matter to Podesta’s attack dogs at ThinkProgress. Long before his congressional testimony, Pielke had been the subject of a years-long smear campaign led by ThinkProgress’s Joe Romm. In fact, Romm had what can only be described as an obsession with Pielke. In a recent Twitter posting, Pielke wrote: “Propaganda works: I count more than 160 articles at the Center for American Progress trashing me over the years.”

A review of those articles shows that the vast majority of them were written by Romm. In reply to Romm’s increasingly shrill attacks, Pielke was civil, even gentlemanly. In 2010, Pielke challenged Romm to a public debate — in Romm’s hometown, at a date and venue of his choosing — offering to contribute up to $10,000 to the winner’s favorite charity. Romm, to his eternal discredit, refused. Furthermore, on his blog, Romm routinely deleted comments he didn’t like, including those that called him out for ducking Pielke’s challenge to debate.

I have followed Pielke’s work for years. In 2007, while editing Energy Tribune, I published an interview with his father, Roger Pielke Sr., who is also a climate scientist. In 2009, I published an interview with the younger Pielke on the same subject. I find both of them to be careful observers and thoughtful writers. Last year, I reviewed one of Roger Jr.’s books for The Weekly Standard.

This week I spoke to Pielke by phone. Asked for his initial reaction to the ThinkProgress e-mail, he replied, “I was just a professor with a blog. I had no funding. Really? They are going to go brag to a billionaire to shut down a professor with a blog? If that’s the case, I guess I was doing some pretty good stuff.”

Pielke went on to say that Romm had waged a “campaign of personal destruction” against him. “Nothing less than removing my voice from the public space was acceptable.” That campaign was carried out by Romm and other members of the Green Slime Machine at liberal media outlets like the Daily Kos and Huffington Post. Among other things, those outlets labeled Pielke a “disinformer” and “climate confusionist.” They did so even though Pielke’s views on climate are decidedly mainstream: He favors a carbon tax, increased energy efficiency, and a global effort at “removing incentives for fossil fuels and creating incentives for carbon neutral sources, including both nuclear and renewable.”

ThinkProgress’s smear efforts reached an apogee in 2014, after Pielke published a single article on — the website Silver had launched with the goal of using data and statistics to inform a new style of journalism. Pielke’s article addressed the inflation-adjusted cost of hurricanes. “I made the fairly mundane but obvious observation that disaster costs are not increasing because of extreme weather events,” Pielke said. ‘I made the fairly mundane but obvious observation that disaster costs are not increasing because of extreme weather events,’​ Pielke said.

Nevertheless, Pielke’s article met a storm of protest, led by the bloggers at ThinkProgress, who published not one but two articles on the same day (March 19, 2014) that Pielke’s article was published on The first person quoted in both of ThinkProgress’s articles was none other than Penn State climate scientist Michael Mann, one of the originators of the much-disputed “hockey stick” graph. It is worth noting that four years ago this month (October 22, 2012, to be precise), Mann sued National Review, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, Rand Simberg, and Mark Steyn for defamation. That litigation is still pending. (For Steyn’s paint-blistering take on Mann, the lawsuit, and climate McCarthyism, read his December 15, 2015, testimony before a U.S. Senate committee.)

And it wasn’t just ThinkProgress. Immediately after Pielke’s article appeared on, the Green Slime Machine went into overdrive. The Daily Kos expressed dismay that “Silver would hire as one of his science writers the egregious purveyor of disinformation on climate change, Roger Pielke, Jr.” Pielke was also trashed by writers at Slate, Earth Island Journal, and the Guardian. Rather than stand behind Pielke, Silver fired him. Silver didn’t even favor him with a phone call. Pielke told me that two and a half years later, Silver still hasn’t contacted him. “You can’t have a real journalistic enterprise if your only goal is to be popular,” Pielke told me.

Now, back to WikiLeaks. In Legum’s e-mail to Steyer, he wrote that “it’s fair to say” that without ThinkProgress’s continual trashing of Pielke and his work, “Pielke would still be writing on climate change for 538.” Legum continued, “He would be providing important cover for climate deniers backed by Silver’s very respected brand. But because of our work, he is not. I don’t think there is another site on the internet having this kind of impact on the climate debate.” Legum concluded his note by writing, “Thanks for your support of this work. Looking forward to doing even more in the coming months.”

So there you have it: One of Podesta’s highest-profile operatives is bragging to one of America’s richest climate activists that he and his team have silenced a prominent academic for the sin of disagreeing with Mann and other climatologists. ThinkProgress, Romm, and their fellow travelers denigrate anyone who might be getting money from the “wrong” funders. But when it comes to soliciting big bucks from Steyer — and then bragging about how effective you are at defaming people on the other side — well, that’s okay because, you know, climate change.

The WikiLeaks story about Pielke has, predictably, been ignored by the liberal media. No stories about it have appeared in the Daily Kos, Huffington Post, or Media Matters. It doesn’t fit their narrative. A few pieces about the Podesta-WikiLeaks story have appeared in conservative outlets, include a recent piece published on Breitbart by the British journalist James Delingpole, who got it exactly right. He wrote: “If the ‘science’ is as settled as it frequently claims, why is it necessary to orchestrate attacks on any scientist who speaks even slightly out of turn?”

Since the uproar, Pielke has quit publishing about climate change. He’s gone on to become a world-leading expert on sports and doping. He now heads the Sports Governance Center at the University of Colorado, which is housed within the university’s athletics department. He has more than 8,000 followers on Twitter and is an active, maybe rabid, tweeter. “I’m having a blast,” he told me. Working on climate change, he said, “you wake up, it’s the same people arguing about the same stuff. In sports, you have no idea what idea you will be writing about. . . . There’s so much going on. There’s so much upheaval.”

What lessons did he learn from his stint in the climate-change discussion? He replied that the debate is “almost religious in its intensity.” Instead of having a rational discussion about the best ways to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, the debate has become solely “about power, about who gets to speak and whose voices are deemed legitimate.” The smear campaign against him by Romm and ThinkProgress was designed “to make public speech costly.”

In a concluding thought, he told me: “After all this, I’m a big supporter of academic tenure. I have no doubt that if I didn’t have tenure, I’d be doing landscaping now.” — Robert Bryce is a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute.

Read more at:
234  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: For the Record... on: October 27, 2016, 11:33:35 AM
18 U.S. Code § 2381 - Treason (Hillary Clinton... talking to you)

"Whoever, owing allegiance to the United States, levies war against them or adheres to their enemies, giving them aid and comfort within the United States or elsewhere, is guilty of treason and shall suffer death, or shall be imprisoned not less than five years and fined under this title but not less than $10,000; and shall be incapable of holding any office under the United States."

(June 25, 1948, ch. 645, 62 Stat. 807; Pub. L. 103–322, title XXXIII, § 330016(2)(J), Sept. 13, 1994, 108 Stat. 2148.)

This is specific to aiding our enemies, applies to Hillary on the Uranium deal for example.  The Obama crimes like IRS targeting are more internal to subverting our constitution and imploding our country.  I would like to see the federal law applying to that.  It might come down to simply violating his oath of office.
235  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Politically (In)correct on: October 27, 2016, 11:29:59 AM
"Trump is opening a new hotel in DC??..."

Yes.  It seems like quite an accomplishment, converting an old federal building into something modern and profitable, something Hillary and the government have no idea how to do.  What did she get done on her day job while running for President, sell access and state secrets?

Maybe Fox and Friends, National Review and others are just as intolerant of dissent as those on the other side.
236  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Fascism, liberal fascism, progressivism, socialism, crony capitalism, SJW: on: October 26, 2016, 09:39:30 AM
There can really only be ONE reason he feels the need to tell the world who he is going to vote for:

I say it is because of the fifth thing in this title of this thread.

Say it ain't so Colin.  [sell out]   I mean, as  a Bush alum he can vote for whomever he wants, but why he feels the need to announce it to the PUBLIC NOW to me says it all.

Isn't it strange how long they keep calling him a Republican even though he hasn't ever supported the party or recently voted for any of their candidates.  Did he support pro-life, tax cuts, deregulation, defend the constitution when the administration tromped all over it, what?  Nothing.  Romney was too conservative and Obama perfectly competent, but Powell has judgment we could all learn from.    (
237  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Media, Ministry of Truth Issues, Wash Post fact check Russian Uranium deal on: October 26, 2016, 09:30:12 AM
Sorry, no link.  Instead of reporting on the true story told in 'Clinton Cash' about the Clintons accepting huge speech and Foundtion money in exchange for the go-ahead for Russia to buy American Uranium assets, the Washington Post writes it as a 4 Pinocchio story about how well or poorly Donald Trump worded the accusation.  At the end they suggested a wording that State was one of 9 agencies...  Anyone who has followed the story knows that and among those 9, the State Dept was the lead agency.  

The questioned whether Trump had proof that the Secretary of State had any involvement with a highest level, national security decision that was made by her department.  I would hope she did.  Good grief.

I wonder if they question whether she really ran her department because she is a woman, or because she took a pretty hard hit to the head.

Quid, Pro. And Quo, all proven in this story, so the Wash Post can't find what the meaning of the word is is and gives politicians their 4 Pinocchio rating to point to innoculating themselves from their party's and administration's corruption.

"Fact Check" has become a contrary indicator with these institutions.
238  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: No corruption here. Move along folks. FBI tried to cover Obama's tracks. on: October 26, 2016, 09:15:03 AM

Even though he lies and gets caught all the time, this one is a big deal.  It explains why they didn't prosecute her.

His personal and political mis-use of the agencies, Fast and Furious - ATF, Attorney General, IRS targeting - IRS Commissioner, and now this, FBI, Dept of Justice, comprises RICO level crimes and impeachable acts.

To the Lois Lerner's in the agencies who know, you can come forward and tell us what you were directed to do and by whom or you can be prosecuted as part of the corruption conspiracy.
239  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 Presidential on: October 25, 2016, 11:46:51 AM
"We have lost unless by some miracle Trump pulls this out."

Outlier polls that had Trump leading today have Hillary by one.  This is still soooo winnable based on all fundamentals - except the quality of our candidate.  The Obamacare crisis should be filling the news from now until election day.  The failures emerging from our foreign policy and economic woes too.  Trump is connecting on some points with some people.  Now it's a matter of numbers.  I wish this underfunded billionaire would use the last two weeks to put his positive message out in a creative way and reach people.
240  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Money, the Fed, Banking, Monetary Policy, Dollar & other currencies, Gold/Silver on: October 25, 2016, 11:20:20 AM
"The Fed doesn't follow its own rules."

Doug,  I am ignorant of such matters.  Why is this?  Is it politics?

Crafty and I have both warned here of the danger of the Fed's dual mission that came out of the Humphrey Hawkins Act signed into law in 1978.  What happens out of it is the attempt to solve things that are not monetary in nature with monetary policy.

In the late 1970s it was believed that unemployment and inflation are offsetting phenomenon and that the Fed shouldn't just fight inflation but also take into consideration the pursuit of full employment in the economy.  But in fact, the Fed contracted monetary policy curbing inflation and Reagan cut tax rates ending the stagnation and unemployment.

Having a second mission for the Fed means not paying full attention to their primary mission.  Yes there is a time and place for monetary policy to coordinate with other policies, such as in the crisis of 2008, but not coordinate with the politicians every day, every year and in every situation.  It makes Fed policies become political, the exact opposite of the intent of having an independent Fed.

As a consequence of this, we had expansionist monetary policies after the crisis and recession of 2001, perhaps wisely, but it continued all the way through to the financial crisis of 2008 and was most certainly one of the major causes of the bubble that became certain to burst.  Our monetary policy was also expansionary all the way through the Obama years even though we are told by the highest authority this already is full employment, a contradiction I have been pointing out.

Humphrey–Hawkins Full Employment Act, 1978  (Thank you Hubert Humphrey...)
"Mandates the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve to establish a monetary policy that maintains long
-run growth, minimizes inflation, and promotes price stability.  ...
Requires the Chairman of the Federal Reserve to connect the monetary policy with the Presidential economic policy

The Fed's Bipolar Mandate

Lawmakers seek to change Federal Reserve's
Bove Opposes QE2, Supports Cutting U.S. Deficit and Debt
Nov. 15 (Bloomberg) -- Richard Bove, an analyst at Rochdale Securities, talks about his opposition to the Federal Reserve's policy of quantitative easing. Bove, in a group including former Republican government officials and economists, urged Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke in a letter to stop his expansion of monetary stimulus, saying it risks an inflation surge.

Washington Post  Tuesday, November 16, 2010
Two influential Republican lawmakers called Tuesday for a fundamental remaking of the Federal Reserve's mission, arguing that the central bank should stop trying to reduce unemployment and instead focus solely on keeping inflation low.
   The proposal by Sen. Bob Corker (Tenn.) and Rep. Mike Pence (Ind.) would end the three-decade-old "dual mandate" of the Fed, its legal charge from Congress to simultaneously aim for maximum employment and price stability.

George Will: The Fed falls into a dual-mandate trap
241  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Our Productivity is Declining! on: October 25, 2016, 10:50:19 AM
If this election was about economics (and why isn't it?), wouldn't you want to be able to make the people and the country more prosperous?  One set of policies advances that and the other set of polices diminishes it.

Pointed out previously, wage growth was 8 times better under Clinton after tax rate cutting than in the early years when he was raising taxes and working on national healthcare.

Why don't results of policies matter over sounds good ideology?

It is Year 8 for the Obama Administration and productivity is declining.  This isn't about Bush; this is either a bug or a  feature of their economic design.  They put their distorted definition of fairness ahead of growth and got neither.  Income inequality widened.  Program dependency broadened.  Workforce participation continued to decline.  Entrepreneurism nearly vanished.  And wage growth, for the most part, ended.

You can't launch an attack on capital, essential to labor, without hurting labor.  These issues are as old as the hills, and we (at least half the electorate) keep learning nothing.  The economy is interconnected, and the rhetoric that some policy like tax hikes will only hurt the top 1 or 2% is always complete BS, whether out of ignorant or intentionally deception.

One article noting the decline in productivity - and the reasons for it:

In his Saturday Wall Street Journal essay “Why the Economy Doesn’t Roar Anymore”—illustrated with a big lion with its mouth shut—Marc Levinson offers the answer that the “U.S. economy isn’t behaving badly. It is just being ordinary.”  But there is nothing ordinary (or secular) about the current stagnation of  barely 2 percent growth. The economy is not roaring because it’s muzzled by government policy, and if we take off that muzzle—like Lucy and Susan did in “The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe”—the economy will indeed roar.

It is of course true, as Levinson states, that “faster productivity growth” is “the key to faster economic growth.” But it’s false, as he also states,  that it has all been downhill since the “long boom after World War II” and “there is no going back.” The following chart of productivity growth drawn from my article in the American Economic Review shows why Levinson misinterprets recent history. Whether you look at 5 year averages, statistically filtered trends, or simple directional arrows, you can see huge swings in productivity growth in recent years.  These movements—the productivity slump of the 1970s, the rebound of the 1980s and 1990s, and the recent slump—are closely related to shifts in economic policy, and economic theory indicates that the relationship is causal, as I explain here and here and in blogs and opeds. You can also see that the recent terrible performance—negative productivity growth for the past year—is anything but ordinary.  Productivity Growth

Writing about the 1980’s and 1990s, Levinson claims that “deregulation, privatization, lower tax rates, balanced budgets and rigid rules for monetary policy—proved no more successful at boosting productivity than the statist policies…” The chart shows the contrary: productivity growth was generally picking up in the 1980s and 1990s.  It is the stagnation of the late 1960s, the 1970s, and the last decade that is state-sponsored.  To turn the economy around we need to take the muzzle off, and that means regulatory reform, tax reform, budget reform, and monetary reform.
242  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Money, the Fed, Monetary Policy, Rules versus Discretion, Prof John B Taylor on: October 25, 2016, 10:23:13 AM
In Venezuela they found the point where it is too late to prevent disaster and money buys nothing.  Unable to learn from their experience, we copy them.  Our economy is too great to be thrown into crisis?  Does anyone remember 2008?

Money matters and maybe we should be managing according to some set of rules.  Instead and because of the so-called dual mission of the Fed, our Fed is trying to fix flat tires by putting more gasoline in the carburetor, when they should be  minding our currency - with some fairly consistent set of rules.

For what little any of us know about money including the Fed Chair and governors, there are some models and rules out there with varying experiences with accuracy and reputation.  Best and state of the art today is the "Taylor rule". 

The Fed doesn't follow its own rules.  In the place of rules and rationality we see from the central banks, quantitative easing, zero interest rates, negative interest rates, and the next tool coming, "helicopter money".

  "Last month Janet Yellen presented a policy framework for the future centered around a Taylor rule, noting that the Fed has deviated from such a rule in recent years.  A week later, her FOMC colleague, Jeff Lacker, also showed that the Fed has deviated from a Taylor rule benchmark, adding that now is the time to get back."

One place to look at the Taylor Rule is in the writings of Prof John B Taylor of Stanford Univ.  There are formulas to use as guideposts to policy for setting the Fed Funds and the like.  In this paper, he talks about the balance between discretion and rules:
243  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Hillbillary Clintons long, sordid, and often criminal history on: October 24, 2016, 12:15:17 PM
(Hillary's support) "but always at less than 50%. "

"Bill won both elections under 50% as well."

Yes he did!  If we take today's polls forward, she wins with under 50% of the vote and way under 50% of the country.  Consolidating the opposition to Hillary is the only alternative to being ruled by Hillary.  We don't avoid permanent leftism any other way.

It isn't going to be easier to get her out after 4 years than it is now, major understatement.  In 4-8 years we will have 11-30 million new voters leaning left and owing their citizenship to her.  There is no waiting or next time around strategy.  The opportunity to take the country back doesn't come around again in our lifetimes, if ever.
244  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 2016 Presidential, You can vote in America more than once - LEGALLY on: October 24, 2016, 11:50:41 AM
The answer to that is PERSUASION.  Elections matter and elections have consequences.  People ARE influenced by people close to them even though the process is so slow that it seems impossible.

To all the people we all know, especially women and including my daughter and my girlfriend, those from the moderate middle or reasonably persuadable left or even from the right, the answer to their objection to Trump:

IF Trump is a despicable human being, then Hillary is too.  Launching a campaign to DESTROY her husband's accusers only to find out what they all were saying was true, and never repent or try to make these wrongs right makes her a personally despicable human being, a rapist and a groper no further removed from it than the husband she enabled to do it - over a period of DECADES.  She blamed the "right wing conspiracy" for the "attacks on her husband" when all of the accusers were Democrats and supporters of his.  On policy, she lies to the country more often than she tells the truth - and in private, she admits it! You CANNOT base your choice on some kind of personal or political morals and then pull the lever for Hillary.  If you can't cross that moral line to vote Trump, then you can't vote for Hillary either - or else you HAVE crossed it!

For leftists that want to see leftism, loss of sovereignty, declining incomes, absent borders continue, for those 43% or so according to the polls who buy that, HRC is the right choice for them and no amount of last minute persuasion is going to change that.  This is not the time to argue with pure leftists.

For those in the middle and the right who want a change of direction - for the good, Trump-Pence is your only valid choice.  It doesn't mean you endorse his private comments or like his personality.  It means you recognize the republic is in big trouble and if you don't make this choice for change of direction, right now, someone else will make the choice for you.

A friend known to be Republican has already voted absentee.  He told to a group of friends, mostly Democrats, he held his nose and voted.

Hold you nose and vote. 

And spread the word.  We all reach only a relatively small number of people for a relatively short period of time.  Use what influence you have on others wisely.

If Trump is elected and then becomes deserving of removal from office, he can be removed and we end up with President Mike Pence, highly qualified and fully ready.

Hillary cannot be removed from office no matter what laws she breaks.  Democrats have proven that over and over.

Funny that rule of law favors the guy who took advantage of private takings, out-sourced labor, used liberal bankruptcy laws, depreciation, carried interest and loss deductions.  On all these examples  he was complying with the laws as bad as they are.  It's time to change a few laws - and then enforce them for a change.  Hold leaders accountable.  Voting established power out is the only remedy left.
245  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: POTH: Is Newt Trump's heir? on: October 24, 2016, 11:00:02 AM
quote author=Crafty_Dog If Donald loses, the question arises-- does someone else succeed him to lead the movement, and if so, who?  Here Pravda on the Hudson offers its take: ...Gingrich...

Newt is a great American, has been a great supporter of Trump, probably designed and wrote Trump's new Contract with the American Voter.  He is a great surrogate and behind the scenes adviser.  That said, as a candidate and a player, he had his time and he had his chance.  He isn't the leader or the successor.  As youthful as he comes across he is older than both Hillary and Trump.  He had his own women and fidelity issues.  He worked for Fannie Mae as a "historian" when he should have been lobbying for its demise.  There isn't a successor to Trump and his hardest core supporters aren't coming back to merge with the other wings.  We have to replay this whole, rotten ordeal having learned nothing and with a side that is small and even more divided.

246  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Cyberwar, Cyber Crime, and American Freedom on: October 24, 2016, 10:50:11 AM
quote author=Crafty_Dog Techie question:  Does our recent diminishment of control of the internet to some international body lessen our ability to defend ourselves in the event of cyberattacks such as these/cyberwar?

I don't know the tech answer to that, just speculate that of course it does.  Leave the broader question open to be addressed as the evidence comes in, what are all the ill-effects of this disgraceful, anti-American policy?
247  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Donald Trump, 6 point Contract with the American Voter on: October 24, 2016, 10:43:20 AM
FIRST, propose a Constitutional Amendment to impose term limits on all members of Congress;
SECOND, a hiring freeze on all federal employees to reduce federal workforce through attrition (exempting military, public safety, and public health);
THIRD, a requirement that for every new federal regulation, two existing regulations must be eliminated;
FOURTH, a 5 year-ban on White House and Congressional officials becoming lobbyists after they leave government service;
FIFTH, a lifetime ban on White House officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government;
SIXTH, a complete ban on foreign lobbyists raising money for American elections.

(Drain the swamp.)

On the same day, I will begin taking the following seven actions to protect American workers:

FIRST, I will announce my intention to renegotiate NAFTA or withdraw from the deal under Article 2205
SECOND, I will announce our withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership
THIRD, I will direct my Secretary of the Treasury to label China a currency manipulator
FOURTH, I will direct the Secretary of Commerce and U.S. Trade Representative to identify all foreign trading abuses that unfairly impact American workers and direct them to use every tool under American and international law to end those abuses immediately
FIFTH, I will lift the restrictions on the production of $50 trillion dollars’ worth of job-producing American energy reserves, including shale, oil, natural gas and clean coal.
SIXTH, lift the Obama-Clinton roadblocks and allow vital energy infrastructure projects, like the Keystone Pipeline, to move forward
SEVENTH, cancel billions in payments to U.N. climate change programs and use the money to fix America’s water and environmental infrastructure

Additionally, on the first day, I will take the following five actions to restore security and the constitutional rule of law:

FIRST, cancel every unconstitutional executive action, memorandum and order issued by President Obama
SECOND, begin the process of selecting a replacement for Justice Scalia from one of the 20 judges on my list, who will uphold and defend the Constitution of the United States
THIRD, cancel all federal funding to Sanctuary Cities
FOURTH, begin removing the more than 2 million criminal illegal immigrants from the country and cancel visas to foreign countries that won’t take them back
FIFTH, suspend immigration from terror-prone regions where vetting cannot safely occur. All vetting of people coming into our country will be considered extreme vetting.

Next, I will work with Congress to introduce the following broader legislative measures and fight for their passage within the first 100 days of my Administration:

1. Middle Class Tax Relief And Simplification Act. An economic plan designed to grow the economy 4% per year and create at least 25 million new jobs through massive tax reduction and simplification, in combination with trade reform, regulatory relief, and lifting the restrictions on American energy. The largest tax reductions are for the middle class. A middle-class family with 2 children will get a 35% tax cut. The current number of brackets will be reduced from 7 to 3, and tax forms will likewise be greatly simplified. The business rate will be lowered from 35 to 15 percent, and the trillions of dollars of American corporate money overseas can now be brought back at a 10 percent rate.

2. End The Offshoring Act Establishes tariffs to discourage companies from laying off their workers in order to relocate in other countries and ship their products back to the U.S. tax-free.

3. American Energy & Infrastructure Act. Leverages public-private partnerships, and private investments through tax incentives, to spur $1 trillion in infrastructure investment over 10 years. It is revenue neutral.

4. School Choice And Education Opportunity Act. Redirects education dollars to gives parents the right to send their kid to the public, private, charter, magnet, religious or home school of their choice. Ends common core, brings education supervision to local communities. It expands vocational and technical education, and make 2 and 4-year college more affordable.

5. Repeal and Replace Obamacare Act. Fully repeals Obamacare and replaces it with Health Savings Accounts, the ability to purchase health insurance across state lines, and lets states manage Medicaid funds. Reforms will also include cutting the red tape at the FDA: there are over 4,000 drugs awaiting approval, and we especially want to speed the approval of life-saving medications.

6. Affordable Childcare and Eldercare Act. Allows Americans to deduct childcare and elder care from their taxes, incentivizes employers to provide on-site childcare services, and creates tax-free Dependent Care Savings Accounts for both young and elderly dependents, with matching contributions for low-income families.

7. End Illegal Immigration Act Fully-funds the construction of a wall on our southern border with the full understanding that the country Mexico will be reimbursing the United States for the full cost of such wall; establishes a 2-year mandatory minimum federal prison sentence for illegally re-entering the U.S. after a previous deportation, and a 5-year mandatory minimum for illegally re-entering for those with felony convictions, multiple misdemeanor convictions or two or more prior deportations; also reforms visa rules to enhance penalties for overstaying and to ensure open jobs are offered to American workers first.

8. Restoring Community Safety Act. Reduces surging crime, drugs and violence by creating a Task Force On Violent Crime and increasing funding for programs that train and assist local police; increases resources for federal law enforcement agencies and federal prosecutors to dismantle criminal gangs and put violent offenders behind bars.

9. Restoring National Security Act. Rebuilds our military by eliminating the defense sequester and expanding military investment; provides Veterans with the ability to receive public VA treatment or attend the private doctor of their choice; protects our vital infrastructure from cyber-attack; establishes new screening procedures for immigration to ensure those who are admitted to our country support our people and our values

10. Clean up Corruption in Washington Act. Enacts new ethics reforms to Drain the Swamp and reduce the corrupting influence of special interests on our politics.

On November 8th, Americans will be voting for this 100-day plan to restore prosperity to our economy, security to our communities, and honesty to our government.

This is my pledge to you.

Video at link:

Where I disagree with him on some issues, it isn't a close call that his agenda would reinvigorate America and Hillary's would destroy it.  To sit out is to let others decide.  How did that go for conservatives who couldn't stomach Romney?
248  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Media, Ministry of Truth, NY Times says reject Rubio in Florida, elect the lefti on: October 24, 2016, 10:30:01 AM
I can't see the distinction between the left and the media, could go in either thread.  This is the official editorial board of the NY Times, not a leftist columnist.  And it's not about Rubio, it's about removing all alternatives to leftist rule.

Source: NY TIMES Sunday, editorial page.  I omit the link intentionally; not going to promote their shameful viewpoint.  Just would like to point out that destroying all the reasonable alternative voices on the right to Trump is a good part of what created Trump.  Once he loses, the media, establishment conspiracy has completed the entire takeover.  The only glitch is the chance that we have a 2010, 2014 type turnout year, and Trump wins and the R's carry the House and Senate by however small a margin and it is the other party that is in seemingly permanent disarray.
249  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Law Class Discussion Regarding High Levels of Corruption. on: October 24, 2016, 10:17:54 AM

Now Hillary continues to break the law.  Nothing here folks move along:

I brought this up yesterday in one of my law classes.

Turns out, the only ones who can really punish Obama, Clinton, Comey, etc., when they have that much power and Congress refuses to prosecute, is the National Secretary of Defense or a General. We all obviously know where that would go, but when the entire snake is corrupt (and it is), that is one of only two remaining options.

I just thought I would bring that up.

DDF, right.  When the corruption is that high up, the only remedy is political. More than 50% think Clinton should be prosecuted yet she still leads slightly overall in the polls, but always at less than 50%.  Clinton could be impeached if she were still Secretary, but she isn't.  The IRS chief, former Attorney General, current Attorney General, Treasury Secretary and President and VP should be impeached, but that is a political matter.  Because of super-majorities required, it only happens when their own party turns against them.  Instead the opposition is divided and the party in power is poised to win on a campaign promising that corruption in Washington will get worse.  We are screwed, unless the drain the swamp message suddenly takes the day at the ballot box but the voting has already begun.  No real time left.
250  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Obamacare Premiums Up 30% In TX, MS, KS; 50% In IL, AZ, PA; 93% In NM on: October 24, 2016, 10:03:42 AM
Obamacare Premiums Up 30% In TX, MS, KS; 50% In IL, AZ, PA; 93% In NM

Approved Hikes Just Under 20%: Colorado, Florida and Idaho
Approved Hikes 20% to 29%: Connecticut, Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland
Approved Hikes 30% to 49%: Alabama, Delaware, Hawaii, Kansas, Mississippi, Texas
Approved Hikes 50% to 92%: Arizona, Illinois, Montana, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Tennessee
Approved hikes 93%: New Mexico
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