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1  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / The Value of your personal data on: February 19, 2018, 09:18:11 PM
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=dW7k_GZYLwk

Watch it all.

Very important.
2  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / What they are for on: February 18, 2018, 01:19:07 PM
http://i.imgur.com/uPzKR.jpg

3  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Zero net growth of Islam in America on: February 18, 2018, 01:06:49 PM

Good. Now end all muslim immigration to the US.
4  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: 8 Rivers Generate Most of Plastic in Oceans on: February 17, 2018, 09:09:45 AM

So the PRK's plastic bag ban was more Kalifornian feel good stupidity?
5  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: When the excrement hits the fan, mass killings, etc on: February 16, 2018, 08:00:12 PM
China has had mass shootings as well, despite being a police state. Although the biggest mass murders in history have been done by governments.
6  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Mattis kills up to 200 Russians in Syria on: February 16, 2018, 07:53:14 PM

Pretty strange, given Trump being Putin's puppet and all...
7  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: President Trump on: February 16, 2018, 07:51:20 PM
He is a bastard, but thus far he has been our bastard.
8  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Grassley about to get greased? on: February 16, 2018, 07:49:14 PM

I think the Dems should run on gun control for 2018 and 2020.
9  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: mass killings, etc. mental illness? on: February 16, 2018, 04:24:17 PM
Leftists are saying Trump blamed this on mental illness and maybe that is right. 
https://theslot.jezebel.com/trump-blames-school-shooting-on-mental-illness-while-pr-1823076101

I have a close relative with schizophrenia who wouldn't hurt anyone but perhaps shouldn't own guns and a close friend dealing with horrible bouts of panic and anxiety attacks apparently caused by prescriptions with lousy followup from psych-medical industry.  What to do with his guns, I don't know.  He would not harm others, but others who are going through mental disturbance might.  I wonder what we really have learned about the people who commit these crimes.  In addition to the obvious need to track radical Islamic terrorists better, maybe we need to put some kind of attention on people who have destructive urges for other reasons. 

Shooter of current news reportedly had psych prescriptions 12 months ago without medical followup.  I don't want to follow the ever-changing details of these events, but the larger principles are important.  Can we restrict rights without a conviction?  Without due process?  Can we give people of known risk due process and make reasonable restrictions?

Innocent until proven guilty - after the crime is completed - is not the way to stop mass killings.  You don't get to threaten the President; we have special laws for that.  How about the safety of the rest of us?

If someone is a danger to self or others, there is usually a legal process in every state allowing for involuntary commitment for a  short term psych eval.

If there is a legit basis for commitment beyond that point, after due process, any such person is restricted by federal law from firearm possession. 18 USC 922 (g)
10  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Tangent to the Mueller indictment on: February 16, 2018, 04:10:02 PM
A friend writes:

"Mueller indictment, 2 of the Russians were able to enter U.S. on travel visas which they received after applying for them through the State Dept in 2014. From June 4, 2014 – June 26, 2014 they traveled around the US. Who was head of the FBI & State Dept at this time again?"

IIRC there are a number of queer Hillary grants of visas-- anyone remember what they were?

For example:

https://www.westernjournal.com/dick-morris-humas-influence-hillary-let-islamic-scholar-now-charged-with-rape-into-the-us/?utm_source=email&utm_medium=deepsix&utm_content=2018-02-16&utm_campaign=can


Per recent legal rulings regarding DACA, the left seems to find in the Constitution the right of anyone, anywhere to enter and remain in the US, so this would be consistent with that.

11  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: President Trump, New Yorker, Karen McDougal (alleged) affair on: February 16, 2018, 04:06:20 PM
quote author=G M
https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/donald-trump-a-playboy-model-and-a-system-for-concealing-infidelity-national-enquirer-karen-mcdougal
----
Yawn.
I'm sure this will shake everyone who saw Trump as a paragon of personal morality.
----------------
I know, nothing new, but one more time we get one more reason that some people around us, wife, girlfriend, daughter, person of principle, cannot be told in a close election where we need every vote that this man or person should be their choice for President.

I succeeded in persuaded my liberal leaning girlfriend last time, who could not stand Trump and demanded a president be virtuous, to vote for neither.  My daughter who I'm sure did not vote for Trump has not said and I have not asked how she voted.

I sadly wish we had a candidate that I could say without apologies is the best person for the job.  Maybe Mike Pence someday but he would not have won if he had run with all the others in 2016.




Really decent people avoid political office. We have to decide among those who run. I didn't like Trump at all. He has turned out to be far better than I thought possible.

12  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: President Trump, New Yorker, Karen McDougal (alleged) affair on: February 16, 2018, 02:53:57 PM
Seems like a well researched story.  He was married 2 years to Melania, Barron was one, it sets up a pattern of how people were paid for silence.  Consensual but opens the door for others who did not appreciate similar advances.  I have no idea if any of it is true.  All long before he was President.  He has never claimed a lifetime of marital fidelity.  Could be damaging or is it all defects we already knew about him.  Certainly a distraction and likely stuff that Melania didn't fully know.

https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/donald-trump-a-playboy-model-and-a-system-for-concealing-infidelity-national-enquirer-karen-mcdougal
----
Linked at Crafty's story posted while typing...


Yawn.

I'm sure this will shake everyone who saw Trump as a paragon of personal morality.

13  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Ace on the Famous But Incompetent on: February 16, 2018, 01:19:53 PM
http://ace.mu.nu/archives/373889.php

Someone Close to Nikolas Cruz Called the FBI On January 5th To Warn Them About Cruz's Gun Ownership, His Threats to Kill People, and His Disturbing Social Media Posts, but the FBI Failed to Investigate

"If you see something, say something" is pointless if the authorities don't actually do something.
14  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: social justice wars , SJW warriors, gender warriors , victimhood on: February 16, 2018, 11:12:19 AM
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/features/kareem-abdul-jabbar-black-panther-all-fuss-a-superhero-movie-1084545

that's right Kareem - we need a huge marble statue of Black Panther on the Mall in DC!    rolleyes

It’s a comic book movie. Fantasy is the only place you’ll find an African country that isn’t a 3rd world shithole.
15  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Famous But Incompetent! on: February 16, 2018, 09:57:28 AM


   
Famous But Incompetent!

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-43071710

https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2016/06/13/vennochi/MyMQCrKJ4JpasZhgHNPGiO/story.html

http://www.sentinelsource.com/news/national_world/fbi-agent-indicted-charged-with-lying-about-shooting-during-encounter/article_7f0ed153-b4b1-5c0f-a4cc-85c1494b7783.html

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/crime/2017/05/26/victim-garland-terror-attack-tormented-belief-fbi-knew-isis-plot

The FBI can't do it's job. Quick! Everyone give up your guns!
16  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Totally not corrupt on: February 15, 2018, 04:22:36 PM
http://ace.mu.nu/archives/373870.php

17  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Famous But Incompetent! on: February 15, 2018, 03:13:01 PM




http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-43071710

https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2016/06/13/vennochi/MyMQCrKJ4JpasZhgHNPGiO/story.html

http://www.sentinelsource.com/news/national_world/fbi-agent-indicted-charged-with-lying-about-shooting-during-encounter/article_7f0ed153-b4b1-5c0f-a4cc-85c1494b7783.html

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/crime/2017/05/26/victim-garland-terror-attack-tormented-belief-fbi-knew-isis-plot

The FBI can't do it's job. Quick! Everyone give up your guns!

18  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Australia's newest hero on: February 15, 2018, 07:55:32 AM
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5393069/Australian-Kim-Jong-impersonator-Seoul-Winter-Olympics.html
19  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Mattis on what to do with the captured on: February 15, 2018, 07:02:11 AM

Shoot.shovel and shhhh.
20  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Presidential smoke signals from Elizabeth "Forked Tongue" Warren on: February 14, 2018, 07:12:09 PM

If Lieawatha thinks this is going to squash this issue, I have a Manhattan island to sell her.
21  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Middle East: War, Peace, and SNAFU, TARFU, and FUBAR on: February 14, 2018, 03:00:36 PM
Sarcasm function on:

Like the payback when the Turks shot down one of his jets?

Sarcasm function off  grin

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/turkish-soldiers-syria-russia-air-strike-military-jet-vladimir-putin-erdogan-a7571936.html
22  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Funny this is only coming out now...Obama aid taking pictures up women's skirts on: February 14, 2018, 01:52:35 PM
http://ace.mu.nu/archives/373855.php

Hidden, for some reason.
23  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: POTP: Media ignores ties between Clintonistas and the Russkis on: February 14, 2018, 01:49:47 PM

Funny how our professional journalists make such mistakes. It almost appears that they have some sort of agenda other than the truth.
24  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Dozens of Russian killed on: February 14, 2018, 01:43:38 PM

Luckily, Putin is known for his merciful nature. I'm sure there won't be any sort of payback.
25  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Susan Rice's last minute email on: February 14, 2018, 08:11:17 AM
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2018/02/why-susan-rice-wrote-an-email-to-herself.php

26  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Michelle's portrait artist on: February 12, 2018, 09:15:19 PM
I'd want to see that better sourced before passing it along , , ,


http://dailycaller.com/2018/02/12/wiley-painted-beheaded-white-woman/
27  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The war on the rule of law on: February 12, 2018, 01:06:02 PM
Wasn't there something about how she got caught overstating her claims in this regard?

If so, I am not aware of it.
28  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Attkission v. USG on: February 12, 2018, 09:31:57 AM
https://sharylattkisson.com/2018/02/10/update-attkisson-v-us-govt-in-computer-intrusion-lawsuit/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+SharylAttkisson+%28Sharyl+Attkisson%29

Funny how this isn't newsworthy.
29  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / MSM-DNC buried Obama-Farrakhan photo on: February 11, 2018, 04:32:06 PM
http://dailycaller.com/2018/01/29/barack-obama-louis-farrakhan-media/?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=atthedcpolitics

Not newsworthy...
30  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Saudi Islamic Reform begins to gather traction on: February 11, 2018, 02:48:56 PM

Nice to see progress.
31  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Important read from Jack Dumphy on: February 11, 2018, 02:48:03 PM
https://pjmedia.com/trending/wrote-hundreds-warrants-heres-nunez-memo-troubling/
32  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: How Brennan targetted Comey on: February 10, 2018, 12:58:12 PM
Papadoulas story came from Brits not the Aussies?  Isn't Steele Brit?

"In other words, the FBI investigation didn’t start when the Australians, according to the Times—or the Brits, according to Brennan’s most recent version of the story—contacted the FBI after the Papadopoulos-Downer meeting. No, it started when the director of the CIA decided to start an investigation, when Brennan passed on information and intelligence to the FBI, and signaled that the bureau better act on it."

http://www.tabletmag.com/jewish-news-and-politics/255020/how-cia-director-john-brennan-targeted-james-comey



We may never know much, if any details, but GCHQ was surveilling Trump, and passing it to US entities. The bogus FISA warrants were probably just figleaves for the intercepts.

33  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: 75% of Mexican immigrants are receiving welfare? on: February 10, 2018, 12:53:33 PM
Second post

Tucker Carlson, whom I think is a responsible player, cited this number last night-- can we find a proper citation for it?

https://cis.org/Report/Welfare-Use-Legal-and-Illegal-Immigrant-Households

But they vote democrat at even higher rates, so we have that going for us...
34  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Government programs & regulations, spending, deficit, and budget process on: February 09, 2018, 08:38:29 PM
Ok here is Leftist's rag article about the debt.

Trump mentioned first
then Reagan then HBush then Clinton under whose watch the debt rise was stalled..

Notice O "tax and spend"  Bama's name is no where to be found in the article .  Just an oversight of course.




We have always been at war with eastasia.

35  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: US Economics, the stock market , and other investment/savings strategies on: February 09, 2018, 03:16:10 PM
That is some wicked snark there GM!

Here is the problem. We all know that there are massive, and frankly unfixable problems with our political-economic system. At some point, the distortions and debt won't.be able to be postponed. Trump bought us time, but there is no political will to address the real issues.
36  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Wesbury: Just a correction on: February 09, 2018, 02:21:48 PM
http://humanevents.com/2008/02/25/brian-wesbury-sees-no-recession-ahead/



As always, Wesbury is articulate, but is he addressing the spending implications longer term of ending the Sequester and Trillion dollar deficits as far as the eye can see and the effects of all this on interest rates, the cost of servicing a $20+T debt?

=================================
This is Just a Correction...

Last year US stock markets experienced the least volatile year on record, hitting new highs seemingly every day. Then came the tax reform bill to end 2017, and a huge January with the S&P 500 rising 5.6%. Investors, especially individuals who finally became convinced that the rally would go on, piled in. It wasn't massive 1999-style euphoria, but many investors finally succumbed to the fear of missing out.

And as if on cue, sentiment (but not fundamentals) shifted, and stock markets gave up their 2018 gains. The S&P 500 - as of the close on February 8th - was down 10.2% from its all-time closing high set on January 26th.

Everyone wants to find a "reason" for a correction, to explain what happened, especially when it takes them by surprise. And these days the prime culprit, according to the financial press, is interest rates heading higher. Some attribute this increase to rising wage pressures and inflation, some blame ballooning budget deficits. But beneath it all is a widely-held belief that stock market gains have been propped up by easy money and low interest rates – a sugar high.

Our answer to this: No! The stock market has been driven higher by earnings growth. In fact, given the recent downdraft in stock prices and the simultaneous increase in earnings estimates, the S&P 500 is now trading at roughly 16.7 times 2018 earnings estimates. That's not high by historical standards. In fact, that is lower than the 30 year average of 19.4.

More importantly, we have been expecting interest rates to go higher and have urged the Fed to raise rates more quickly. Given the pace of economic growth, the Fed is a long way from being tight. At the same time, economic data has been strengthening and earnings are booming. With 337 S&P 500 companies having reported Q4 earnings as of the 8th of February, 76.9% have beaten estimates, and earnings are up 17.0% from a year ago. This double-digit earnings growth is forecast to continue through 2018, even with higher interest rates. Corporate balance sheets are stronger than they have been in decades, spending is accelerating and the recent tax cut is an unambiguous positive.

Corrections scare the snot out of people. For many, who thought markets only go up, they feel like the end of the world. This is especially true when pundits start trying to explain the drop in stock prices by arguing that there are fundamental problems with the economy. This time is no different. But, in our opinion, this is an emotional correction, not a fundamental one. The US is not entering a recession, and higher interest rates over the next few years do not spell doom for the economy or markets.

In fact, because of better policy, economic growth this year looks set to accelerate to 3%+ (we are forecasting 4% real GDP growth in Q1). That is why interest rates are rising, because of better than expected economic growth. This is a good thing! Not a reason to sell stocks. In this case higher interest rates are a byproduct of a stronger economy, not the unwinding of QE or higher deficits.

Retail sales rose 0.4% in December, are up 9.0% annualized over the past six months and are up 5.5% year over year. January's ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing indexes just hit the highest readings for a January in seven and 14 years respectively. In January, hourly earnings were up 2.9% from a year ago, the best reading since 2009. At the same time, initial claims have been below 300,000 for 153 consecutive weeks. Private payrolls were up 196,000 in January, and the unemployment rate is down to 4.1% and headed lower. And no, this is not a "part-time" recovery. In the past twelve months, full-time employment has grown by 2.39 million jobs while part-time employment is down 92,000! With 5.8 million unfilled jobs and quit rates at the highest levels of the recovery, there should be little question why the Fed continues to hike rates.

We use a Capitalized Profits Model (the government's measure of profits from the GDP reports divided by interest rates) to measure fair value for stocks. Our traditional measure, using a current 10-year Treasury yield of 2.85% suggests the S&P 500 is still massively undervalued. The model needs a 10-year yield of 3.9% today to conclude that the S&P 500 is already at fair value with current profits. Fair value, not over-valued.

What we focus on are the Four Pillars of Prosperity: Monetary Policy, Tax Policy, Trade Policy, and Spending & Regulation. So, let's see where those stand:

1. Monetary Policy – The Fed is still easy and will be for the foreseeable future. Remember, there are still over $2 trillion in excess reserves!

2. Tax Policy – Tax policy has improved dramatically on the margin, a tailwind for growth and earnings.

3. Trade Policy - The protectionist talk coming from Washington is worrisome, but, so far, there has been much more hot air than substance. In fact, total trade (exports + imports) sits at record highs.

4. Spending & Regulation – This is a mixed, but still positive, bag. On the regulation front, 2017 saw the biggest decline in regulation, at least since the Reagan-era, and possibly in history. That's great news for growth. The spending side is still a concern. The recent budget deal reached in the U.S. Senate boosts spending at least as fast as GDP growth over the next couple of years. That's not a recipe for long-term economic acceleration, but also not an immediate threat to growth.

The bottom line shows that the fundamentals of the economy are strengthening. Higher interest rates are a byproduct of a stronger economy. And, out of the four potential threats to the economy, only one is moderately negative.

It's not often you get a substantial pullback in the market when both economic and earnings growth are strengthening. Stay calm. Stay invested in equities. Don't fight the fundamentals.

Brian S. Wesbury - Chief Economist
Robert Stein, CFA – Deputy Chief Economist

37  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Fidelity, Bravery, Integrity! It appears not quite unbiased investigators on: February 08, 2018, 05:07:15 PM
http://dailycaller.com/2018/02/07/fbi-clinton-emails-marked-classified/

Fingers on the scales of Justice.
38  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Science, Culture, & Humanities / Tucker Carlson on Goolag and your phone on: February 08, 2018, 02:51:49 PM
http://dailycaller.com/2018/02/07/tucker-google-spy-on-phone/

In Soviet Union, KGB listen to phone. In Soviet Amerika, spy IS phone.
39  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Politics of Health Care on: February 08, 2018, 09:18:08 AM
Venezuela has been very effective in reducing obesity through policy.
40  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Uranium One and real Russian collusion on: February 08, 2018, 09:15:19 AM
https://www.dailywire.com/news/26891/bombshell-fbi-informant-uranium-one-scandal-ryan-saavedra

41  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Way forward for Republican party on: February 06, 2018, 10:01:19 AM

The spineless better learn to fight.

The left has no interest in compromise.
42  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: The Dossier, Steele, and Hillary on: February 06, 2018, 09:39:40 AM

So Hillary, by means of multiple cutouts, colluded with the Russians to defame Trump.
43  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: President Trump can be a stupid anus sometimes: "Treason"?!? on: February 06, 2018, 09:00:49 AM
Yawn. Slow clap for the virtue signalling rinos at the WSJ.

 rolleyes





Trump Drops the T-Word

Democrats who fail to applaud him aren’t betraying the country.
 


 




By
The Editorial Board
 
Updated Feb. 5, 2018 7:47 p.m. ET

 274 COMMENTS   
















































































Treason by any other name is not defined by refusing to applaud Donald Trump during his State of the Union speech last week. Still, at a discursive speech Monday in Cincinnati that was nominally about the strong economy, President Trump decided to drop the T-word on the Democratic hand-sitters. “They were like death, and un-American,” Mr. Trump said to the Ohio factory workers. “Somebody said treasonous. Can we call that treason? Why not? They certainly don’t seem to love our country very much.”


When politicians start accusing opponents of treason, our former Journal colleague Seth Lipsky has made it a practice to recall that “treason” is defined narrowly in Article III, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution.



President Donald Trump delivers a speech on tax reform after touring Sheffer Corporation in Blue Ash outside Cincinnati, OH, Feb. 5.
President Donald Trump delivers a speech on tax reform after touring Sheffer Corporation in Blue Ash outside Cincinnati, OH, Feb. 5.   Photo:  jonathan ernst/Reuters 
.
Perhaps we should be grateful to Mr. Trump for giving us the opportunity to quote the Founding Fathers: “Treason against the United States, shall consist only in levying war against them, or in adhering to their enemies, giving them aid and comfort. No person shall be convicted of treason unless on the testimony of two witnesses to the same overt act, or on confession in open court.”

Watching Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer scowl through the State of the Union speech, several words occurred to us: churlish, grumpy, resentful. But treasonous didn’t spring to mind. Mr. Trump’s mind no doubt is filled with smoldering anger because opponents have called him authoritarian, totalitarian, Hitler and insane.


Voters may be getting turned off by the hyperbolic rhetoric of politics, but they’d better expect more of the same. Mr. Trump tweeted Monday that Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff of the House Intelligence Committee “must be stopped,” whatever that means for a duly elected Member of Congress, while Mr. Schiff accuses Mr. Trump of colluding with Russia based on little evidence. The real treason here, in the non-constitutional meaning, is against normal political debate and reason.

44  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: US Economics, the stock market , and other investment/savings strategies on: February 06, 2018, 08:40:13 AM
It's now officially Trump's economy. Up until yesterday, it was Obama's. All the bad years when Obama was president? Those were Bush's, of course!
45  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / When federal prosecutors go bad on: February 06, 2018, 06:42:54 AM
http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2018/02/when_federal_prosecutors_go_bad.html
46  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Wanted illegal alien DUI manslaughters Colt linebacker on: February 05, 2018, 08:58:03 PM

The tree of diversity must be constantly watered with the blood of Innocents.
47  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: Andrew McCarthy's usual excellence; on the Nadler memo plus larger points on: February 05, 2018, 05:07:28 PM

Very good!
48  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Keep this in mind about what Comey actually testified to about the Steele dos. on: February 05, 2018, 10:43:50 AM
https://www.redstate.com/patterico/2018/01/02/comey-really-testify-entire-steele-dossier-unverified/
49  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Why the Steele dossier is bogus on: February 05, 2018, 09:15:56 AM
https://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2017/01/13/the-trump-dossier-is-false-news-and-heres-why/

Constructed for deception.
50  Politics, Religion, Science, Culture and Humanities / Politics & Religion / Re: POTH: To counter Russia, nukes are back in a big way on: February 05, 2018, 09:08:51 AM
Funny how Trump keeps doing things that aren't in Russia's best interest.


To Counter Russia, U.S. Signals Nuclear Arms Are Back in a Big Way

By DAVID E. SANGER and WILLIAM J. BROADFEB. 4, 2018

When President Trump called on Congress to modernize the nuclear arsenal, he did not mention the rationale: that Russia has accelerated a dangerous game. Credit Al Drago for The New York Times

WASHINGTON — A treaty committing the United States and Russia to keep their long-range nuclear arsenals at the lowest levels since early in the Cold War goes into full effect on Monday. When it was signed eight years ago, President Barack Obama expressed hope that it would be a small first step toward deeper reductions, and ultimately a world without nuclear weapons.

Now, that optimism has been reversed. A new nuclear policy issued by the Trump administration on Friday, which vows to counter a rush by the Russians to modernize their forces even while staying within the treaty limits, is touching off a new kind of nuclear arms race. This one is based less on numbers of weapons and more on novel tactics and technologies, meant to outwit and outmaneuver the other side.

The Pentagon envisions a new age in which nuclear weapons are back in a big way — its strategy bristles with plans for new low-yield nuclear weapons that advocates say are needed to match Russian advances and critics warn will be too tempting for a president to use. The result is that the nuclear-arms limits that go into effect on Monday now look more like the final stop after three decades of reductions than a way station to further cuts.

Yet when President Trump called on Congress to “modernize and rebuild our nuclear arsenal” in his State of the Union address last week, he did not mention his administration’s rationale: that President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia has accelerated a dangerous game that the United States must match, even if the price tag soars above $1.2 trillion. That is the latest estimate from the Congressional Budget Office, one that many experts think is low by a half-trillion dollars.

Mr. Trump barely mentioned Mr. Putin in the speech and said nothing about Russia’s nuclear buildup. His reluctance to talk about Russia and its leader during his campaign and first year in office — and his refusal to impose sanctions on Russia mandated by Congress — has fueled suspicions about what lies behind his persistently friendly stance toward Mr. Putin.


In the State of the Union speech, the president focused far more on North Korea and on battling terrorism, even though his defense secretary, Jim Mattis, had announced just days ago that “great power competition — not terrorism — is now the primary focus of U.S. national security.”

In contrast to the president’s address, the report issued on Friday, known as the Nuclear Posture Review, focuses intensely on Russia. It describes Mr. Putin as forcing America’s hand to rebuild the nuclear force, as has a series of other documents produced by Mr. Trump’s National Security Council and his Pentagon.

The report contains a sharp warning about a new Russian-made autonomous nuclear torpedo that — while not in violation of the terms of the treaty, known as New Start — appears designed to cross the Pacific undetected and release a deadly cloud of radioactivity that would leave large parts of the West Coast uninhabitable.

It also explicitly rejects Mr. Obama’s commitment to make nuclear weapons a diminishing part of American defenses. The limit on warheads — 1,500 deployable weapons — that goes into effect on Monday expires in 2021, and the nuclear review shows no enthusiasm about its chances for renewal.

The report describes future arms control agreements as “difficult to envision” in a world “that is characterized by nuclear-armed states seeking to change borders and overturn existing norms,” and in particular by Russian violations of a series of other arms-limitation treaties.

“Past assumptions that our capability to produce nuclear weapons would not be necessary and that we could permit the required infrastructure to age into obsolescence have proven to be mistaken,” it argues. “It is now clear that the United States must have sufficient research, design, development and production capacity to support the sustainment and replacement of its nuclear forces.”

The new policy was applauded by establishment Republican defense experts, including some who have shuddered at Mr. Trump’s threats to use nuclear weapons against North Korea, but have worried that he was insufficiently focused on Russia’s nuclear modernization.

“Obama’s theory was that we will lead the way in reducing our reliance on nuclear weapons and everyone else will do the same,” said Franklin C. Miller, a nuclear expert who served in the George W. Bush administration and was an informal consultant to Pentagon officials who drafted the new policy. “It didn’t work out that way. The Russians have been fielding systems while we haven’t, and our first new system won’t be ready until 2026 or 2027.”


“This is a very mainstream nuclear policy,” Mr. Miller said of the document, arguing that new low-yield atomic weapons would deter Mr. Putin and make nuclear war less likely, rather than offer new temptations to Mr. Trump. “Nothing in it deserves the criticism it has received.”

A senior administration official, who would discuss the policy only on the condition of anonymity, said Mr. Trump had been briefed on the new nuclear approach, but was leaving the details to Mr. Mattis and to his national security adviser, Lt. Gen. H. R. McMaster. The president, the official said, was primarily concerned about staying ahead in any nuclear race with Russia, and to a lesser degree with China.

Even Mr. Trump’s harshest critics concede that the United States must take steps as Russia and China have invested heavily in modernizing their forces, making them more lethal. The administration’s new strategy describes the Russian buildup in detail, documenting how Moscow is making “multiple upgrades” to its force of strategic bombers, as well as long-range missiles based at sea and on land. Russia is also developing, it adds, “at least two new intercontinental-range systems,” as well as the autonomous torpedo.


Russia has violated another treaty, the United States argues, that covers intermediate-range missiles, and is “building a large, diverse and modern” set of shorter-range weapons with less powerful warheads that “are not accountable under the New Start treaty.” Yet Mr. Trump has not publicly complained about the alleged treaty violation or the new weapons.

Though members of the Obama administration were highly critical of the Trump administration document, there is little question that Mr. Obama paved the way for the modernization policy. He agreed to a $70 billion makeover of American nuclear laboratories as the price for Senate approval of the 2010 New Start.

The new document calls for far more spending — a program that at a minimum will cost $1.2 trillion over 30 years, without inflation taken into account. Most of that money would go to new generations of bombers and new submarines, and a rebuilding of the land-based nuclear missile force that still dots giant fields across the West.

While those systems are the most vulnerable to attack, and the most decrepit part of the force, they are also among the most politically popular in Congress, because they provide jobs in rural areas.

In some cases, Mr. Trump’s plan speeds ahead with nuclear arms that Mr. Obama had endorsed, such as a new generation of nuclear cruise missiles. The low-flying weapons, when dropped from a bomber, hug the ground to avoid enemy radars and air defenses.

Other weapons, though, are completely new. For example, the policy calls for “the rapid development” of a cruise missile that would be fired from submarines, then become airborne before reaching its target. Mr. Obama had eliminated an older version.

It also calls for the development of a low-yield warhead for some of the nation’s submarine ballistic missiles — part of a broader effort to expand the credible options “for responding to nuclear or non-nuclear strategic attack.” But critics of the low-yield weapons say they blur the line between nuclear and non-nuclear weapons, making their use more likely.

Andrew C. Weber, an assistant defense secretary during the Obama administration who directed oversight of the nation’s nuclear arsenal, called the new plan a dangerous folly that would make nuclear war more likely.

“We’re simply mirroring the reckless Russian doctrine,” he said. “We can already deter any strike. We have plenty of low-yield weapons. The new plan is a fiction created to justify the making of new nuclear arms. They’ll just increase the potential for their use and for miscalculation. The administration’s logic is Kafkaesque.”

One of the most controversial elements of the new strategy is a section that declares that the United States might use nuclear weapons to respond to a devastating, but non-nuclear, attack on critical infrastructure — the power grid or cellphone networks, for example.

All of the new or repurposed warheads would come from the National Nuclear Security Administration, an arm of the Energy Department that officials say is already stretched thin.

“We’re pretty much at capacity in terms of people,” Frank G. Klotz was quoted as saying after retiring last month as the agency’s head. “We’re pretty much at capacity in terms of the materials that we need to do this work. And pretty much at capacity in terms of hours in the day at our facilities.”
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