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 91 
 on: August 23, 2016, 10:21:50 AM 
Started by ccp - Last post by DougMacG
Here's what I think is wrong for the Republicans:

President Obama Job Approval
Approve 51.5
Disapprove 44.6
Net Approval  +6.9

Real Clear Politics poll averages.  That approval should be at minus double digits.  Either we aren't messaging or he is doing things right and we've got it wrong. 

But people also know the country is headed in the wrong direction:

Direction of Country
Right Direction 28.0
Wrong Track 64.3
Wrong Track +36.3

Maybe Obama's approval is personal and won't hand off to his successor.  But right now it is Obama and not Bill who is the best campaigner.  Reagan helped pull GHW Bush over the line.  We haven't herd the last from Michelle O in this campaign either.

Who are the Republican power horses that can step in to support Trump-Pence to match the power of this incumbent President?  There are none in the first place and secondly the best among them are lukewarm at best on the candidate.


 92 
 on: August 23, 2016, 10:10:28 AM 
Started by Crafty_Dog - Last post by DougMacG
Regarding the previous post in the thread, Paul Ryan won his primary over a Trump challenger by 70 points, 85-15.


ccp:  "How bad do the Congressional and Senate races look?  I mean at least if Repubs can at least keep those.  Unless something changes the damage Trump has done to himself is going to result in a electoral landslide.  So say the Presidency is gone and the Sup Ct. ...."

I'm not following it closely but it seems the R's hold the House under all known scenarios and the Senate has been completely up for grabs from the beginning.

Dems need +5 in the Senate (for 51) if Trump wins and +4 (for 50-50) if Hillary wins.  Either way it is a divided Senate and the rules regarding what votes need 60 to pass will determine policy and confirmations

R's are Vulnerable in WI (Ron Johnson), IL (Kirk), IN (Coates retiring), Ohio (Portman), NH (Ayotte), North Carolina (Burr), Florida (Rubio)?  Rubio winning might be the key.  Possible pickup in Nevada, that would change everything.  Portman running very independent from Trump in Ohio. 

The big turn is Evan Bayh running in Indiana, a very possible Dem pickup.  If that seat is lost, R's need to nearly run the table on the other contested races.

Huffington Post has it as Dem victory:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/democrats-78-percent-chance-50-senate-seats_us_57b8a525e4b0b51733a3cda0

Possible flaws in their math are, 1) a Trump comeback, these polls were possibly taken at a low point,  2) the Hillary enthusiasm gap doesn't go away even if she wins a lesser of two evils race, Presidential year assumptions on turnout may be false,  3) Republican money that doesn't like Trump is largely going into these Senate races, 4) if people see a Hillary landslide they may prefer a divided ticket for a check on Clinton's abuse of power.

 93 
 on: August 23, 2016, 09:34:29 AM 
Started by Crafty_Dog - Last post by DougMacG
"... letís never forget that Bill Clinton employed Sandy Berger, the former national security adviser, who used his unique access to the National Archives to stuff highly classified documents down his pants, including the Millennium Alert After Action Report (MAAAR), believed to include President Bill Clintonís handwritten notes calling off a military strike that could have taken out Osama bin Laden years before the September 11 attacks."

This is what I have heard also, though I think we may underestimate how damaging the notes were considered the risk they took to remove and destroy them.  No doubt hiding corruption or something worse, not just policy errors and missed opportunities.

What we know about the corruption of the Clintons can only be the tip of the iceberg.  There is a whole new scandal in those notes and documents that we may never know.

 94 
 on: August 23, 2016, 09:21:43 AM 
Started by ccp - Last post by ccp
"Trust me, Putin is not going to invade (the rest of) Ukraine."

Doug,

Agreed.  A foolish statement.  Remember when Carter looked foolish when Russia invaded Afghanistan?  This is the same self set up to look like a dupe.

Similarly, Obama's "line in the sand".

Doug,

You seem to be up on the races.  How bad do the Congressional and Senate races look?  I mean at least if Repubs can at least keep those.  Unless something changes the damage Trump has done to himself is going to result in a electoral landslide.  So say the Presidency is gone and the Sup Ct. ......


 95 
 on: August 23, 2016, 09:19:59 AM 
Started by Crafty_Dog - Last post by DougMacG
1500 undocumented Americans floated into Canada, were discovered and put on buses back their country of origin.

Is there anything we can learn here?

http://www.thetimesherald.com/story/news/local/2016/08/22/nearly-1500-float-down-participants-land-canada/89092424/

If only we could slow the flow of Canadian hockey players coming here...

 96 
 on: August 23, 2016, 09:06:40 AM 
Started by Crafty_Dog - Last post by DougMacG

Their defense, she was only a figurehead.  Okay, but a figurehead for whaqt cause, WHY?  Why didn't lend her name to some food for starving children around the world cause instead of the advancement of terrorism around the world?  And what was the value of her name and credibility before her fame and fortune acquired by serving with Hillary?

Another question, what are her good qualities that make her valuable to Hillary worthy of weathering all this adverse exposure?

[Amazing similarity to the Valerie Jarrett and Obama story.  Somebody in that White House has a huge, pro-Iran bias and is calling all the shots on policy in that area.  WHY?  What's in it for him and his Presidency to be risking it all by trusting the good qualities of terror sponsoring, American killing, Islamic extremists.]

 97 
 on: August 23, 2016, 08:50:17 AM 
Started by Crafty_Dog - Last post by DougMacG

Pay to play at the Clinton State Dept has found its smoking guns.  (Does anyone care?  Is anyone surprised?)

It also proves for the many thousandth time they haven't released all the emails, as required by law and promised.

Is there a consequence?

 98 
 on: August 23, 2016, 08:39:03 AM 
Started by Crafty_Dog - Last post by DougMacG

He is taking a more electable path, a Rubio path...  That doesn't make previous statements go away. 

 99 
 on: August 23, 2016, 08:08:17 AM 
Started by DougMacG - Last post by Crafty_Dog
https://www.facebook.com/FoxNews/videos/10154544020206336/?hc_ref=NEWSFEED

 100 
 on: August 23, 2016, 07:18:10 AM 
Started by Crafty_Dog - Last post by Crafty_Dog
second post of day:

Why was this not a part of Comey's testimony?


https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/public-safety/fbi-uncovered-at-least-14900-more-documents-in-clinton-email-investigation/2016/08/22/36745578-6643-11e6-be4e-23fc4d4d12b4_story.html

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