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Messages - DougMacG

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Politics & Religion / Re: Mona for Amy
« on: February 21, 2020, 09:47:51 PM »

I think Doug would have something to say about Amy being best
and a solid "centrist" midwesterner who wins by double digits
whose only flaw is she is tough on her staff.


I am traveling with some centrist midwesterners , non-Trumpers and there is a general liking of Amy among them.  One, a CEO, preferss Bloomberg, a Bloomberg-Buttigieg ticket.  I think she is not centrist but right where the Pelosi-Reid party was when she was first elected in 2006, at the peak of the economy owning her share of bringing it down.  She is centrist compared to Stalin, Mao and Sanders but you wouldn't think any of those would be elected to anything in the US.

I wouldn't say "she is tough on her staff".  More like she is a b*tch, female version of a**hole, one of those people who treats people badly when she thinks the cameras are off, meaning her public personna is phony and that will someday show through.

I don't expect her to be of much significance through the rest of the primaries but we will see.  Her 'success' so far is a reflection of the fact no one else running is catching on.  She is on the short list for VPs depending on who the eventual nominee is.

She has not accomplished anything I know of before or after the federal pool drain safety law of 2007.
" indulges in sexism tropes even as she goes damsel in distress."

Yes, she is trying to play the gender card for all its worth, not exactly gender neutral.  Yet it's not okay to say a man should be President, go figure.

"I could swear she was about to cry at one point in the debate"

Mayor Pete called her out for not knowing who the President of Mexico is and not having anything of substance to answer about US Mexico policy.  I'm guessing that was the moment.  She couldn't deny the charge so she said, 'Pete, are you calling me dumb?'  Awkward moment for sure.

"...who wins by double digits."  She is not going to win this year for President by double digits, she beat a nice schoolteacher for Senate, not Trump, and no one outside MN will vote for her just because her father wrote local stories in the monopoly star and sickle newspaper in the 1900s.

Back to my Midwestern friends who like Amy, oddly they all are sure Trump will win.  That is real change from 2016 when no Democrats thought that.

Politics & Religion / Re: Mini Mike Bloomie Bloomberg in the debate
« on: February 19, 2020, 06:40:42 AM »
Mike Bloomberg qualified for the debate ...

David Burge
Much like Lori Laughlin's daughter qualified for USC

Politics & Religion / Re: Political Economics - The Obama Expansion? NOT!
« on: February 19, 2020, 06:01:43 AM »
Barack Obama
 · Feb 17
Eleven years ago today, near the bottom of the worst recession in generations, I signed the Recovery Act, paving the way for more than a decade of economic growth and the longest streak of job creation in American history.



Real after-tax income was virtually flat from the 2008 recession to the end of Obama's first term, despite temporary tax giveaways in 2009-12.  GDP briefly grew by ~2.7% in 20014-15 (with Fed's QE) but only 1.6% in 2016.  The 2009 spend-spree can't get credit for 2 out 8 years.   - Alan Reynolds

President Bush passed the Economic Stimulus Act in February 2008 and the Troubled Asset Relief Act in October. Whatever Bush & Obama did was of late and largely irrelevant.  What the Fed did (take rates from 5 1/4% to zero) is what mattered.


I might have mentioned this once before.  If Barack Obama wants to talk aboutthe  timing and cause and effect of economic outlook and Presidents' policies:

The end of the previous economic expansion coincided exactly to the month with Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John Kerry and Joe Biden being elevated to the majority in Congress.  The financial collapse coincided exactly with the market reaction to the reality that Barack Obama will be the next President, The markets knew Democrats would control all levers of government, tax rates especially on capital will be going up, healthcare will be socialized, and the business climate will be going to hell.  And we had financial collapse as smart money pulled out.  Business expansion ended and nbew business startups basically went to zero.

That is when "the worst recession in generations" began.  Congratulations to Obama for not making policies any worse than the markets expected.
Obama is also the only president in U.S. history to have never had a single year of 3.0 percent or greater GDP growth.

Politics & Religion / Re: Tax Policy
« on: February 19, 2020, 05:53:11 AM »
"Most Democrat presidential candidates want to at least double the capital gains tax.  The #top1percent would then stop selling assets and thus APPEAR poorer the income tax data Piketty & Saez habitually abuse.  Not selling assets doesn't make the rich poorer - only the Treasury."   - Economist Alan Reynolds

Lawrence Hamtil
 · Feb 15
The top 1% realize more capital gains (remember, it's a voluntary tax) when rates have been lower

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: February 18, 2020, 12:52:44 PM »
Yes, my point on Stop and Frisk is that a) this will not unite his side, and b) the reckless way he talked about it should end his chances, offensive to all.   And what is this apology crap; is he proud of his record or running from it?

Good point about Rudy and the distinction.  My understanding was they enforced the little crimes, ticketing litterers, and that led to a drop in major crimes, even if cause and effect are not proven.  Looking for people who just look young, black and male to bother is offensive to all races.  White libertarians believe in a right to be left alone too, for all.  In my inner city neighborhoods some people just toss whole their fast food waste out the door or window into the street.  Going after some of that might lead LE to people who also do much worse.

Trump has many other things to talk about, school choice, wage growth, record unemployment, pro-life and a lot of  things that benefit everyone.

Politics & Religion / It's the spending stupid.
« on: February 18, 2020, 12:36:39 PM »
Federal revenues "are  up 6%" and "expected to be 16.7% of GDP, not far off the 17.2% before the tax cut. The problem is that outlays are rising faster—to 21.6% of GDP this fiscal year, the most since 2012 and well above the Bush and late Clinton years."   - WSJ  2-11-2020

Politics & Religion / Re: US Economy, the stock market: Coronavirus?
« on: February 18, 2020, 12:06:43 PM »
Trying to answer my own question, here is the Shanghai index for the last 3 months:

Stocks in China kept going up at the announcement of the virus, peaked in mid January.  Bottomed out (for now) around Feb 1 and is up since then.  This tells me there is no panic now. 

What news of spread or trajectory makes this change?

There are fewer than 2000 deaths known worldwide so far.  Far lower even in China than auto accidents, cancer, etc.
The economic scare then has to do with the travel bans, quarantines and shut downs of economic activity.  I'm surprised this hasn't shown up in the numbers yet.

Politics & Religion / Re: US Economy, the stock market: Coronavirus?
« on: February 18, 2020, 11:07:37 AM »
What does everyone here think about market implications of this so-called Coronavirus?
1.  Medically, how does this end?
2.  Mathematically, how is this expanding?  Remember, information from China is likely false, understated.
3.  Economy of China:  If the economic impact only hit with a huge recession in China, how does that affect our markets, my 'growth stock funds'?
4.  If the virus hits epidemic levels elsewhere, what is that economic and market impact?
5.  If stock markets start to panic, how far does it go.

I am thinking I should be in an all cash position now and buy back in at the bottom.  That is against my nature but it is too late to panic after everyone else already has.

Ideas, advice?

His competitors are only proposing to reduce emissions by killing economic growth.
“The United States saw the largest decline in energy-related CO2 emissions in 2019 on a country basis -- a fall of 140 [million tons], or 2.9%, to 4.8 gigatons],” the Paris-based  International Energy Agency (IEA) revealed in a report Tuesday.
This is with fracking.  We haven't even started with new nuclear.

Greta is holding the US and Trump up to the world as a model how to get this done.   (?)

How much lower would global emissions be if China and India were as clean as the US?

Politics & Religion / Re: The Politics of Health Care
« on: February 18, 2020, 09:47:46 AM »
Thanks ccp.

"I think price collusion is clearly a factor"

Yes, price collusion between near monopoly players is broken only with new supplies entering the market.  They don't have to talk to each other to collude.  They just do market price studies like everyone does.

"Just like market forces have not really been able to break the stranglehold of the big tech companies that control most of the market in on line ads and data etc."

Ever since the rise of Microsoft, these big companies can't be beat because of their low price and high functionality.  Google and Facebook are mostly "free" to the user with massive functionality.  There are no barriers to entry to sell (most) products on the internet without a middleman for less, just the challenge of getting costs down and getting the word out.

Back to Insulin, something or somebody is stopping more supplies and new suppliers from entering the market.  Mayo Clinic pointing the finger at "Lobbying power of insulin manufacturers" makes me wonder...  Lobby whom?  To do what?  Government.  To block new supplies and suppliers, I presume.

Dem party division is rthe agenda for tomorrow.  The nice phase of this contest is over. 

Mini-Mike is the newcomer and he is not going to be popular with the other contestants, trying to buy his way in, and he can't talk with his announcer's voice in the debate.  Mike of stop and frisk fame.  'I'll "Xerox" you a copy of what a young black male looks like and you take away their rights.'  Explain THAT!  He's an old-time sexual harasser (allegedly), sick of female employees getting pregnant and taking time off work.  None of that will come up?

This looks like it will be a can't win battle for all participants.

How about Bernie, the frontrunner.  If you are Mike or Butti or Klob, you can't just let him run away with it, but as you attack him you are moving yourself away from his supporters that you need to win back if your attack is successful.  No win situation so you divide first and worry about the consequences later.  A number of these people are going to be irrelevant after 'super-Tuesday if they don't make a move. 

So you go with far-Left-lite, like the 'red-diaper baby'.  But if far-Left is the benchmark, then Bernie is best and lighter is weaker.

If you are Mike, your only strength is to be the real Mike Bloomberg, not the pretend one from his ads.  The real Mike would be a perfect candidate for the John Kasich, David French, Bill Krystal wing of the Democratic party - of which there is none.  Instead he will work to be what his ads say he is, extreme on abortion - same as all the rest, strongest on ending gun rights - same as everyone else, and "get it done" whatever that means.

FYI to Mike, money didn't win in 2016.

"YOU DIDN"T BUILD THAT!" is Elizabeth Warren's line and it applies to all of them except Bloomer, but he is the one they will aim it against.  Amy, Pete, Bernie, Biden, Liz, you haven't built anything, ever - and you want to run against a builder!  What Mike built (8th riches man in the world?) is all about Wall Street making more money and from their point of view is a disqualifier, not an accomplishment.

Romney couldn't defend capitalism or his role in it in a Republican primary.  How is Mike going to do it with a far Left audience?  He can't.  All he can try to do is apologize for what he achieved.

Politics & Religion / Re: Latins for Bernie
« on: February 18, 2020, 08:41:13 AM »

Of course the all flood over here in the last 30 yrs
now want the rest of us to pay for their "free" benefits

who would have guessed?

wonder if the DEms have noticed?
wonder if the repubs and their business backers have noticed or care?
 The Atlantic › February 17, 2020
Latino Support for Trump Is Real
Kristian Ramos
... When Democrats reach out to Latino voters, they are too focused on immigration, and say too little about other issues these voters prioritize. If they want to win over enough Latino votes to retake the White House, Democrats must continue to fight for the immigrant community, but they must also offer a positive, aspirational narrative that embraces Latinos as a vibrant part of America.

I would rather win the voters than support of the radical group leaders.

One party offers you welfare and free stuff if you stay poor enough to qualify.  The other party just brought you the lowest unemployment rate in history and the best wage growth in a generation.

The author (a concerned Dem) estimates that Dems need to 70% of the Hispanic vote to win and they are not getting that.

Politics & Religion / Re: high costs of insulin
« on: February 18, 2020, 08:23:07 AM »
and how we foot the bill for the rest of the world
where insulin sells for 10 times less

and despite insulin being around since 1921
the cost keeps going endlessly higher even for basic insulins

and how the pharmacy benefits managers , drug companies are ripping off the patients and their insurances:

There is no possibility there is not some form of collusion and price fixing .

Even if not a direct agreement it is an unsaid fact that all the drug companies are keeping their prices high in tandem.

I remember after Katrina oil prices spiked with the closing of refineries and shipping lanes and a Dem leaning friend commented on the greed of the oil companies.  But in fact, oil company greed was the only factor that held constant during that supply interruption and price spike up and back down. 

The economics of insulin is simple, same as every other commodity or manufactured good or service - UNLESS something is standing in the way of market forces working.

When the price and profits go up, the incentive to produce more goes up and the new supply and competition brings down the price.  I can only guess why that isn't happening, government interference in the market, probably at every step and every level.

I know nothing about insulin but one crazy idea would be to legalize it.
From the Mayo Clinic article:
Reasons for the High Cost of Insulin
"The number 1 reason for the high cost of insulin is the presence of a vulnerable population that needs insulin to survive (Table 1). This population, which numbers in the millions,14 is willing to pay anything to have access to a lifesaving drug. The desperate need for a lifesaving product allows insulin to be priced at high levels because it is not a luxury item that one can forego. The manufacturers of insulin know that patients who need it will spend whatever it takes to acquire it, regardless of price. It is a matter of life and death."

    - No, that isn't the reason insulin isn't a plentiful, affordable medicine in the year 2020.

Back to Mayo reason list:
1 • Vulnerable population who is willing to pay high costs to have access to a lifesaving drug
2 • Virtual monopoly/oligopoly
3 • Patent abuse and evergreening
4 • Barriers to biosimilar entry
5 • Pharmacy benefit managers and other middlemen who benefit from a high list price
6 • Lobbying power of insulin manufacturers

Note the 2nd, 4th and 6th reasons. Virtual monopoly.  Why?  Barriers to entry.  Why?  Lobbying power?  No, it's not the "lobbyists", it's the government they are lobbying.

If the government is failing you, why not get them out of the business, turn the quality certification over to something non-government such as the American Diabetes Assn,

The only barrier to entry should be you need to have a safe, pure, effective product.

I'm not diabetic but I would be happy to have a Mayo Clinic certification on a med if the government is too slow, too stupid or too corrupt to do the job.  Why is the answer to bungled government always more government or complete government takeover?  It makes no sense to me.

Politics & Religion / Re: leftist DOJ and judges against Barr
« on: February 18, 2020, 07:51:49 AM »

2000. DOJ alumni have signed on that Barr should resign.

I read there are 117,000 DOJ employees at present and over 8,000 prosecutors or attornies on staff

I can't imagine it being too hard to find 2,000 Trump haters such as the above Bush appointee and Democrat s among the alumni.

No peep amongst them about the totally political way in which the law has been applied to Trump people vs crats

Or no fed employee citizens vs fed employees who seem immune to justice with some few exceptions.

It's nice to have the enemy from within identify itself.

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: February 16, 2020, 12:28:58 PM »
"One thing I find odd
How come no mention of the stereotype "rich Jew" controlling the country?
No mention he would be first Jewish Prez.  Odd.

Waiting patiently for the Bloomberg endorsements from Omar and Tlaib.  Warren rails against people like Bloomberg too, (without calling them Jews).  There is going to be a very strong anti-Mike movement in the Dem party rising with his numbers. 

Gays, blacks, Jews, Muslims, Billionaires and the welfare crowd all in the same party.  Teachers unions stopping choice and people demanding school choice  - all together.  Moderates and radicals all coming together.  What could possibly go wrong?  Milwaukee 2020, here we come.

AOC does support a "rich Jew" for President, Bernie Sanders.  It's okay for far-Left to support a rich (non-observant?) Jew as long as they support the destruction of the Israeli state  (and the American economy).

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: February 16, 2020, 11:29:02 AM »
America's reaction to Clintons back on the national scene:

Politics & Religion / Re: Iraq
« on: February 16, 2020, 07:56:02 AM »
A surrender without conditions, except for those provided by international law."
On 3 August 1990, the UN Security Council passed Resolution 660 condemning the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and demanding that Iraq unconditionally withdraw all forces deployed in Kuwait.

3 March 1991—Iraq accepted the conditions of the UN resolutions.

Iraq soldiers were waving white underwear in the air in the desert.

Gulf War I - reversed the occupation of a sovereign country, the demand of the coalition.   We did not depose Saddam or rebuild the nation.

Politics & Religion / Re: President Trump
« on: February 15, 2020, 08:50:04 AM »
Witty snark no doubt, but for the record I'd say we won the Gulf War pretty decisively and overthrew Saddam pretty decisively.

I keep looking for pictures and articles of Saddam signing an unconditional surrender document at the end of the Gulf War. I haven't found anything yet.

Google must be broken!

I believe there is such an agreement. I read it at the time. And had a printed copy of it. I believe Google is broken, can't find it.

Politics & Religion / Re: Wife Pete Buttigieg, win by Losing?
« on: February 14, 2020, 09:50:33 AM »
Unlike most of the  others, Mayor Pete can 'win' by losing.  He is very young and raised his profile.

Amy also can win by losing; she could be somebody's VP pick.  Most of the others are done rising by losing:  Bernie, Biden, Warren, Bloomberg come to mind, even if they win the nomination and lose the election.

I partly disagree on Pete.  If / when his star quits begins to fade in this weak field, his moment may have passed.  Like Marco Rubio, he will need to start over and build something real from the ground up.  Pete probably can't do that in Indiana, will need to relocate to be elected like Mitt did.

When the magic with Butti is gone we will see there is no there there.  What was his big stand?  What was he known for?  What were his accomplishments?  Nothin', nothin', nothin'.  He can stand there with his Alfred E Newman smile and say, I'm not Bernie, I'll take us  to single payer without telling you.

2021: 'With us today on Face the Nation is former Presidential contender, winner of the New Hampshire primary Paul Tsongas, er, I mean, second place finisher Pete Buttigieg'.  Whatever.

Politics & Religion / David Limbaugh on Rush
« on: February 14, 2020, 09:31:35 AM »
One aspect not mentioned yet, Rush was at "the tip of the spear", as brother David puts it, in the ideological fight.  That he never backed down to all the attacks, he inspired a whole lot of others to stand strong.

My vision for the struggle in the 'Taiwan to Singapore' Sea is that China is the bully and everyone else in the region  joins with the US to oppose them. 

This is a setback (understatement).

Chinese hackers stole the private information of 145 million Americans, meaning they can get almost anything.  Wouldn't they try even harder in their own backyard?  Any chance they have incriminating information on Duterte?  Maybe their cost to buy him off is nothing.

A free agency bidding war is a lousy basis for making a strategic alliance.

My memory was that Trump and Duterte had a spat or a feud but that is not what I am seeing as I look it up:

Maybe post-Duterte we get the Philippines back.  In the meantime, we thwart China in other ways.

Ruth Bader Ginsburg among others has put ERA back in the news.

Working to see this fail in the 70s and early 80s was my own mother's passion.  Most of what she warned against is already here, women in combat, gay marriage, the end of gender distinction.  However we feel about those issues, the equal rights amendment would end any remaining special protections girls and women enjoy.

We don't have a draft right now but if we needed one, drafting our daughters into war with equal opportunity would be a constitutional requirement if we needed to draft anyone into combat.  No distinction on the basis of gender allowed, regardless of whom the needs most.  Leftists think this prevents war, but WWII etc were not wars of our choosing.

Sports may be one of the last remaining areas of gender recognition.  This is already being screwed up by the trans movement with boys winning girls events.  Sports may seem trivial but ask the girls who benefited from girls and women's sports what it meant to their upbringing.  With ERA, LPGA is gone.  WNBA gone.  Title IX, gone.  Girls tennis, girls soccer, girls everything, mixed doubles, gone.  Girl Scouts, no longer.  Equal prize money at the US Open?  Not needed anymore, they only need one event and men will be winning it.  Federer versus Serena?  Not going to happen, she wouldn't make the qualifying round.  No distinction on gender is constitutional mandate under ERA.  Lost not just for the athletes, but those who like to watch women compete.

Who does this benefit?  No one.

Gender discrimination is not what holds women back in the workplace.  But even if it is, it's already against federal law.  My mom was an aeronautical engineer in the 40s. She entered when there was one woman in the field. Girls weren't kept out of engineering; they wanted out of engineering.  That has (partly) changed.  A constitutional amendment would not affect wrongful discrimination, but it would end any remaining preferences girls and women still enjoy.

Equal means the same and the TWO genders are not the same.  Some of us enjoy the differences.

Politics & Religion / Reason: Bloomberg Video, 4 min.
« on: February 14, 2020, 06:11:16 AM »

It's so hard to find anything negative on mike.    :wink:

China to cut tariffs in half on $75 billion of U.S. goods
Feb 6, 2020



I wonder if Bloomberg reads Bloomberg...

FYI,  Cutting fiberglass with a diamond blade causes dust inhale risk.
Companies are searching for ways to deal with the tens of thousands of blades that have reached the end of their lives.
February 5, 2020, 4:00 AM CST Updated on February 7, 2020, 10:54 AM CST

A wind turbine’s blades can be longer than a Boeing 747 wing, so at the end of their lifespan they can’t just be hauled away. First, you need to saw through the lissome fiberglass using a diamond-encrusted industrial saw to create three pieces small enough to be strapped to a tractor-trailer.

The municipal landfill in Casper, Wyoming, is the final resting place of 870 blades whose days making renewable energy have come to end. The severed fragments look like bleached whale bones nestled against one another.

“That’s the end of it for this winter,” said waste technician Michael Bratvold, watching a bulldozer bury them forever in sand. “We’ll get the rest when the weather breaks this spring.”

Tens of thousands of aging blades are coming down from steel towers around the world and most have nowhere to go but landfills. In the U.S. alone, about 8,000 will be removed in each of the next four years. Europe, which has been dealing with the problem longer, has about 3,800 coming down annually through at least 2022, according to BloombergNEF. It’s going to get worse: Most were built more than a decade ago, when installations were less than a fifth of what they are now.

Built to withstand hurricane-force winds, the blades can’t easily be crushed, recycled or repurposed. That’s created an urgent search for alternatives in places that lack wide-open prairies. In the U.S., they go to the handful of landfills that accept them, in Lake Mills, Iowa; Sioux Falls, South Dakota; and Casper, where they will be interred in stacks that reach 30 feet under.

“The wind turbine blade will be there, ultimately, forever,” said Bob Cappadona, chief operating officer for the North American unit of Paris-based Veolia Environnement SA, which is searching for better ways to deal with the massive waste. “Most landfills are considered a dry tomb.”

Politics & Religion / Re: Wife Pete Buttigieg - Platitude Generator
« on: February 13, 2020, 09:44:59 AM »
ccp: A student butti  (2020 Pres)
saw him speaking in suit and VERY Obamanesque

he surely is copying the "one".  another slickster - not fooling anyone but he knows the media will cover for him.

Now this:
Mayor Pete Platitude Generator
Click "Inspire" and Pete will generate random wisdom.

Politics & Religion / Climate Agenda for Republican
« on: February 13, 2020, 09:33:53 AM »
One or two interesting ideas here.  Why not put carbon capture on natural gas instead of coal?  It's far easier and more efficient because NG starts many times cleaner than coal.

"With a new generation of advanced, smaller nuclear reactors poised to begin coming online in the next five years, nuclear energy is one key area where Republicans can demonstrate their commitment to innovation outside basic science."
Just because climate change is two and a half to seven times overstated, not fully human caused and not catastrophic doesn't mean humans aren't emitting or that CO2 levels aren't rising.

Good to be thinking about this and important to get out in front of it.  Prosperity and innovation are how we win, not prohibitions, infrastructure blocking or doing without.

Politics & Religion / Re: Neo Nazis
« on: February 13, 2020, 09:11:34 AM »
I would just add that Nazis and Neo Nazis are not on the right side of the Left-Right political spectrum - even if they call their rally 'unite the right'.  White supremacy today is an off-shoot of Leftist identity politics.  It has NOTHING to do with equal protection under the law, free enterprise, free markets, equal opportunity, limited government, strong defense, secure borders, constitutional constraints, or anything that comprises modern conservatism.  Take a look at the founding of Planned Parenthood or their current political support for a practice that kills black babies at 5 times the rate of white babies and tell me which side has a problem with "white supremacy".

Among the proudest achievements of current conservatism are wage growth and record low unemployment rates of minorities.  There is absolutely zero crossover between these policies and white supremacy.  The Left cannot say the same.  They continue to use the phenomenon of minority poverty to empower themselves.  Go figure.

"FBI Director Christopher Wray recently stated that the FBI now views racially-motivated violent extremism as a “national threat priority.”  "

Maybe so, but meanwhile the odds of a black being killed by a black is more than ten times higher despite the smaller population.

That said, when extremists cross the line from expressing freedom of speech to intentionally inciting violence, shut them down.

Politics & Religion / Re: President Trump to visit Central Valley next week
« on: February 13, 2020, 08:35:23 AM »

Great news!  It's time to take Calif seriously.  Run a 50 state campaign.  Margin of victory (or defeat) matters.  Change the momentum.  Look at how energized the Left is to someday win Texas.  Not all Californians are Leftist, coastal elites!

Trump went into Ilhan Omar's district Leftist Mpls and called out her radicalism.  He brought out the rest of the state.  Why not call out the people who are destroying California - in California?

Republicans need wins there to take back the House and Trump needs to win back the House to have any real success in his second term.  [Losing the House was his biggest failure.]

Surrendering Calif to the Leftists helps no one.

“The North Koreans will not provoke as long as the United States does not provoke, and I think Donald Trump understands that as long as we do not provoke Kim Jong-un, he will not respond or make the first move.”

   - Same for Iran.  Some might call that winning.  Bellicose Isolationism in place of groveling appeasement and 'diplomacy' is dangerous! Terrible!  But all of the sudden it's quiet on the enemy front. 

Tough situation for NK.  Close the border where the lives-saving aid comes in.  Import a virus you have no ability to deal with, or starve and freeze to death the masses without the aid.  Choose one.

Someone should alert Thomas Friedman / NYT that the lying, suppressing, oppressing, totalitarian regimes may not be the best model for governing.

Politics & Religion / Re: VDH : on the Babe Ruth of talk radio
« on: February 13, 2020, 07:09:40 AM »

Like Babe Ruth who is credited with saving baseball after the White Sox World Series scandal in 1919

Rush saved radio; VDH:

"Even stranger still, his ascendance coincided with the presumed nadir of radio itself. It was supposedly a has-been, one-dimensional medium, long overshadowed by television. Even in the late 1980s, radio was about to be sentenced as obsolete in the ascendant cyber age of what would become Internet blogs, podcasts, streaming, and smartphone television.

Stranger still, Limbaugh has prospered through two generations and picked up millions of listeners"

We have so few people who care about us in the media
I always worried about his health. I feel he is like a family member or good friend

Same for me.  Great column, brought a tear to my eye.  On his first day of nationwide broadcast, I remember where I was, clicking through some stations, expecting nothing, and stopped and thought, WHO IS THIS?  Someone who agrees with me?!

Everyone thought television made radio obsolete but radio frees you to carry on with a lot of activities.  Television grounds you.  VDH listens with headphones in his tractor when he's not teaching at Stanford? 

Most of radio is noise.  It takes pretty amazing content to make up for all the repeated commercials, news, traffic.  But when you are tuned in, you learn of breaking news in almost real time.

(Doug) "Sanders is the vote leader after two states, getting 25% of the vote.  The not-Sanders vote looks to be 75%.  If Warren drops... that could move to 30-70 with the 70 split between [the others]."

Also leading nationwide with about 25%.

Political analyst Sean Trende calls it the Sanders Ceiling:

I think it's the Sanders Trap.  Think of AOC and the people who love her (and Bernie).  People get all excited with all this anger at the very basic foundations of our society  (fruits of your labor, private property, work hard get ahead).  They don't just come down from that when someone else is (wrongly) nominated, turn on a dime and say ok, now we back Butti or Mini-Mike with a smile on their face.

Sanders could win Nevada, win California big time and win many other states with his clear message of tear it all down, while these others get tangled up with each other with their slick, pretend moderation.  His 25-30% ceiling might be 40% of the delegates at the convention.  (Candidates getting below 15% in a state receive no delegates.) 

If Sanders is the leader coming into the convention, either they nominate him and drive away the moderates, or they step over him (again) and drive away the radicals.  Which will it be?

Defeating Trump is what unites them?  Not when what is stopping them is the establishment of their own party.

The big Academia-Media complex created and fueled all this Leftism, especially in young people.  The rich are making you poor and the world is going to end!  Now they have no idea how to rein it in and defeat Trump and the Republicans with a sensible centrist.

Politics & Religion / Re: Stratfor Decade Forecast
« on: February 13, 2020, 05:51:23 AM »
We should all do our 10 year forecast.
6 Reasons for Optimism in 2020
1. Extreme Poverty Is Plummeting
2. More Than Half the World Is Middle Class
3. Global Life Expectancy Is Rising
4. Climate-Related Deaths Are Falling
5. Life Is Getting Better in the World’s Poorest Countries
6. The Cost of Starting a Business Has Plummeted in Developing Economies
(much more at link)

Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: Sarah Lawrence College
« on: February 13, 2020, 05:48:06 AM »
I went to Sarah Lawrence for my first two years of college.

Most disturbing story I have seen in a very long time.

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: February 12, 2020, 03:08:01 PM »
NH:  Sanders, Buttigieg, Klobuchar

Yang out, Michael Bennett out, Deval Patrick out. Steyer out. Only 5 people have won any delegates.  It would seem that Warren is out too having lost in both lanes and no path forward.  I guess it depends on how much money she has left and how best to time the humility of admitting failure.  She really thought she was going somewhere.
Biden also should drop out.  We'll see if his lead holds up in SC.  Isn't he already out of money?

If Biden fails, none of the remaining have any appeal to the "black and brown" people.  [I hate those grouping.  They aren't hyphenated-voters; they are voters.]

I didn't agree that Bloomberg would catch on.  The importance of NYC is )IMO) between small and contrary indicator in the heartland and he's wrong on the issues.  But it is now a race with none of the above winning so why not Mike?   (

I listened more carefully to a Bloomberg spot today.  It all sounds so good, a really dynamic narrator tells you how great this man is for most of the minute.  Then a monotone, aging, uncharismatic candidate says a couple of sentences in his own words, negating all the excitement.  Let's get that narrator in the race!

Sanders is the vote leader after two states, getting 25% of the vote.  The not-Sanders vote looks to be 75%.  If Warren drops or gets any more irrelevant, that could move to 30-70 with the 70 split between Butti, Biden, Bloomberg and Klob-mentum.  Will one of these set themselves apart?  So far that one is Butti, but it is 2 states of 50 and he is just starting to face resistance.  Much more to come.

Politics & Religion / Re: Second American Civil War
« on: February 12, 2020, 02:12:28 PM »
The good news, I guess, is they aren't being subtle about it anymore.  It's now right there out in the open.

The Democrats' impeachment included "disqualification to hold and enjoy any Office...[in] the United States."

They sought to ban Trump from ever appearing on a ballot again, most significantly to not appear on this year's Presidential ballot.

They are nominally aimed at one man Trump but in fact hitting 63-85 million people, preventing them from being able to exercise the right to vote for the candidate of their choice.

Instead of being so murky, they should propose what they really mean, ban Republicans from voting.  They did it with slaves, why not Republicans?

Leftist Math: 1. Republicans voted wrong in the first place, 2016.  2. Failed to remove him from office when the facts against him were proved,2020, and 3. that makes three strikes.  Out.  That's how you make sure it doesn't happen again.

Politics & Religion / Re: Klobuchar
« on: February 12, 2020, 01:36:02 PM »

From the article:
"Klobuchar “is campaigning for an economy-destroying policy of net-zero emissions by 2050 and a ‘more robust public option’ in healthcare. In other words, socialized medicine.” She also supports eliminating the Electoral College, ending offshore oil drilling, and banning semiautomatic rifles." “It is a testament to how far left the Democrat Party has veered that Klobuchar could be considered a centrist.

Even The Washington Post admits that “every major Democratic candidate is running on an agenda to the left of [Barack] Obama’s.” That includes Klobuchar.

   - Precisely.


"What I've learned from the BP oil disaster, the housing debacle and the financial collapse is that government is over-regulating our lives and yet is never going to protect us."  - MCC  2010

Politics & Religion / Re: Obama's life insurance policy: Joe Biden
« on: February 11, 2020, 08:23:56 AM »
Apparently a quote from a 1952 Tyrone Power movie.

Even that is bungled.  Nothing about "lying dog faced" in 'Pony Soldier'.  It's a Joe-ism.  You don't tell a serious questioner / potential supporter they're lying.  You don't tell a plain looking college girl she's dog faced.  She put herself out there asking a serious political question in front of 7 people.  He was joking around.  Like the the trees being just the right height in Michigan, Romney - inside joke, someone tell what's funny about it.  Romney lost Michigan.

If it was true or funny, still, how old was the median 2020 voter in 1952?  "Turn on the record player."  Talk about going off-script.  The argument is that he won't say stupid stuff like Trump does.

Politics & Religion / 2020 Presidential, Biden ad rips Butti
« on: February 11, 2020, 08:03:24 AM »

Politics & Religion / European matters - Germany at the Crossroads
« on: February 11, 2020, 07:45:50 AM »
Merkel's chosen successor drops out of Chancellor race

Past prediction:  EU is screwed "greatly changed" if Britain leaves.

With Britain gone, the remaining balance of EU power changes.  More protectionist, hurting Germany's exports, and only the Mediterranean group can get 35% support to block initiatives.  With Britain out the northern countries no longer can block initiatives they oppose.

Deutsch-xit: Germany should leave the EU.   Germany should pass free trade agreements with US, UK, Europe if they want it.  Germany should protect its borders, manage its immigration.  Establishment shouldn't need their hated outsiders to figure that out.

Germany fears its far right.  Germany's policy of wilkommenskultur built the far right.
Crime spike:

Teaching Germany to migrants:
"From a list of holidays that includes Easter, Christmas and Labour Day, they must identify which ones are Christian; they must determine whether foods like white sausage, pizza and doner kebabs are German or foreign; and they must pick out the types of insurance they need here."  [All in conflict with Sharia Law, right?]

What could possibly go wrong?

Politics & Religion / Bernie Baffled, Babylon Bee
« on: February 11, 2020, 07:16:01 AM »
Bernie Sanders Confused By New Hampshire State Motto 'Live Free Or Die' — 'Both Of Those Options Sound Horrible'

Politics & Religion / Government Budget Politics - Thomas Sowell
« on: February 11, 2020, 07:11:33 AM »
Tomas Sowell:  "Back in my teaching days, many years ago, one of the things I liked to ask the class to consider was this: Imagine a government agency with only two tasks: (1) building statues of Benedict Arnold and (2) providing life-saving medications to children. If this agency’s budget were cut, what would it do? The answer, of course, is that it would cut back on the medications for children. Why? Because that would be what was most likely to get the budget cuts restored. If they cut back on building statues of Benedict Arnold, people might ask why they were building statues of Benedict Arnold in the first place."

Dan Mitchell:
The “fireman first principle” – Describes how local government bodies (often coordinating with local politicians) will claim that firemen will have to be laid off and/or firehouses will have to close if there is any budgetary discipline. You can replace firefighters with cops or teachers if you want. The key point is to divert attention from the countless ways that local governments waste money by focusing on the few things that voters actually care about.

The “Washington Monument syndrome” – Based on a real-world example during the 1970s of the National Park Service claiming it would have to shut down tourist access to popular Washington-area sites if it was subject to fiscal restraint, the modern-day equivalent is President Obama scaring people with hysterical assertions about threats to food safety and airline operations.

Politics & Religion / Baseline Budgeting
« on: February 11, 2020, 06:50:27 AM »
Key to making this argument is the baseline budgeting point:  Slowing future increases is NOT a cut!!!

Famous people caught reading the Forum, Dan Mitchell of Cato / Heritage background follows up on Crafty's post:

"Here are the three things you need to know.

1. The politicians created a system that automatically assumes big increases in annual spending, called a baseline.
2. When there’s a proposal to have spending grow slower than the baseline, the gap between the proposal and the baseline is called a cut.
3. It’s like being on a diet and claiming progress because you’re gaining two pounds each month rather than five pounds.

Please read the whole thing.  This probably won't be re-printed in the NYT / Wash Post.

NASA's experimental X-59 supersonic jet could be built by the end of 2020
The team behind the plane is confident that the craft will be ultrafast and ultraquiet.

Politics & Religion / The Truth about Media, Ministry of Truth Issues
« on: February 11, 2020, 06:34:22 AM »
Ironically, the media's softball treatment of the Dems has weakened them and the media's harsh treatment of Republicans has strengthened them to the point where it's no longer a fair fight.

Today we head into the first primary of the quadrennium and people are just now discovering the weaknesses of these weak candidates in a historically weak field.

Joe Biden, a buffoon?  Who knew?  They've been playing montages of his nonsense on conservative media for decades.

Bloomberg reduced crime in NYC by profiling perps in the hood by RACE and ordering the frisk of people who look like them?  Who saw that coming?

Bernie was pulling for the Soviets worldwide in the Cold War.  Butti fired the first black police chief in his town.

Next they'll tell us sweet Amy is a total bitch behind the scenes, put innocent blacks in prison for life without a witness, and Liz Warren's breakthrough academic research was a fraud (exposed on the forum).  Say it's not all so.

Politics & Religion / Re: Mini Mike Bloomie Bloomberg
« on: February 11, 2020, 06:10:23 AM »

Politics & Religion / Mini Mike Bloomberg, Stop and Frisk Blacks 16 to 25
« on: February 11, 2020, 04:02:43 AM »
Whites aren't the problem.

Law enforcement should target minorities “because that’s where all the crime is.”

The audio was released by podcast host Benjamin Dixon, who encouraged people to share it “far and wide.”

In the audio, Bloomberg allegedly says, “95% of your murders – murderers and murder victims fit one M.O. You can just take the description, Xerox it and pass it out to all the cops. They are male, minorities, 16-25. That’s true in New York, that’s true in virtually every city and that’s where the real crime is.”

“You’ve got to get the guns out of the hands of the people that are getting killed,” Bloomberg continued. “You want to spend the money on a lot of cops in the streets. Put those cops where the crime is, which means in minority neighborhoods.”

“So, one of the unintended consequences is people say, ‘oh my God, you are arresting kids for marijuana that are all minorities.’ Yes, that’s true. Why? Because we put all the cops in the minority neighborhoods,” Bloomberg continued. “Yes, that’s true. Why do we do it? Because that’s where all the crime is. And the way you get the guns out of the kids’ hands is to throw them up against the walls and frisk them. And then they start say[ing], ‘Oh I don’t want to get caught.’ So they don’t bring the gun. They still have a gun, but they leave it at home.”

“get the guns out of the hands of the people that are getting killed.” ??

Is this backwards?  Blame the victim?  Disarm victims?  Transcribed wrong?  Mike, you're a journalist, release the video, let's take a look.

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