Author Topic: The US Congress; Congressional races  (Read 195797 times)

DougMacG

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Re: Don't believe this for even a millisecond
« Reply #700 on: January 06, 2020, 08:42:19 AM »
https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/aoc-to-lose-her-congressional-district-after-2020-census/
but it is nice to dream

They don't lose their seat, but they will see districts redrawn and could have two incumbents in one new district.

She (and 'Omar') lose their seat when a different democrat beats them in a primary.  All these wackos come from far-Left districts.

ccp

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DougMacG

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Re: Meet Dalia al-Aqidi
« Reply #702 on: January 17, 2020, 04:34:23 PM »
https://pjmedia.com/election/meet-dalia-al-aqidi-the-patriotic-republican-muslim-who-wants-to-defeat-ilhan-omar/

 :-D  8-) :-)

Thank you for this.  A republican can't win, but to run hard, present an alternative, work to change minds and close the gap is crucially important.  People said a Democrat couldn't be elected Senator in Alabama, but if the ruling party candidate is weak enough or the field is divided, you never know.

ccp

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A Republican not likely to win
« Reply #703 on: January 17, 2020, 05:05:01 PM »

Dough wrote:
"A republican can't win, but to run hard, present an alternative, work to change minds and close the gap is crucially important"


But she win or lose ----
Would it not be great for DJT to go and campaign in her district for her and America?



DougMacG

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US Congressional races, Trump (and Pelosi) Nationalizes the House Race
« Reply #705 on: February 07, 2020, 09:50:43 AM »
First this, ccp regarding Rep. Ilhan Omar in Minneapolis: 
Doug wrote:  "A republican can't win, but to run hard, present an alternative, work to change minds and close the gap is crucially important"
But she win or lose ---- Would it not be great for DJT to go and campaign in her district for her and America?

  - Yes!  Minnesota the almost purple state, not her district the far Left city, is embarrassed of Omar.  When Trump fills Target Center downtown Mpls. with election excitement, he draws from the entire state and region.  Keep in mind that conservative western (swing state) Wisconsin is part of the Greater Twin Cities area and media market. 

The Twin Cities area includes two suburban Congressional Districts that flipped R to D in 2018.  Trump winning MN and Republicans winning back these two districts are closely related challenges.  Those supposed moderates joined with Pelosi, Omar, Tlaib and AOC on impeachment, resistance and policy.  That is not what voters were promised.  Meanwhile Trump brought peace and prosperity, not what they were told would happen if he was elected.  Trump's rise with suburban women, if true, flips these two seats and others like them possibly winning the House, also clinches the Presidency.  The Presidential race and the House races are deeply intertwined.

The city is also a great place to break the bond between blacks and Democrats. Omar can't be beat by a Republican conservative in a far Left district, and Trump won't carry California or NY, but every split between her party and the constituent groups they exploit for votes is a win.

The impeachment vote and the tear up of the speech frames the House contest.  Trump's ego says he has to be a great, two term President.  Greatness requires winning back the House, otherwise that loss is forever part of his legacy, as it was with Obama who lost his legacy.  Winning back the House negates impeachment and is needed to advance any agenda. It's a national race now.

Related:  http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-republicans-house-chances-its-on-trump/

ccp

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Dershowitz : Schumer and Pelosi have to go
« Reply #706 on: February 09, 2020, 04:58:06 PM »
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/nancypelosi-chuckschumer-alandershowitz-2020/2020/02/09/id/953273/

agree but we may get someone like a socialist next

best option
Republicans win back the House
in '20. and then pressure will be on Pelosi.

I don't know if either can be dislodged while both alive though - they and their mob are not just going to walk off into the sunset
They NEVER do

they have to be dragged out kicking and screaming

DougMacG

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Congressional races, AOC meet MCC, Former CNBC anchor Michelle Caruso-Cabrera
« Reply #707 on: February 11, 2020, 10:25:27 AM »
https://nypost.com/2020/02/11/former-cnbc-anchor-michelle-caruso-cabrera-to-take-on-aoc-in-primary/

"What I've learned from the BP oil disaster, the housing debacle and the financial collapse is that government is over-regulating our lives and yet is never going to protect us."  - MCC  2010
https://www.amazon.com/You-Know-Right-Prosperity-Government/dp/1400169623?tag=nypost-20






Crafty_Dog

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President's power to adjourn Congress
« Reply #713 on: April 16, 2020, 07:39:02 PM »
1)

https://reason.com/2020/04/15/noel-canning-redux-justice-scalia-wrote-that-the-president-could-use-the-adjournment-power-to-block-senate-intransgience/


===============

2)  Yes, Trump Can Close Congress
The Constitution gives him the power to resolve a ‘disagreement’ over the ‘time of adjournment.’
By Sai Prakash
April 16, 2020 7:01 pm ET

Every president eventually reaches into a bag of tricks. Donald Trump is no different. On Wednesday he demanded that Congress adjourn so that he can make recess appointments—temporary appointments permissible when the Senate is recessed. If Congress fails to adjourn, he threatens to close it, using constitutional authority no president has ever deployed. The president has it right. And he has James Madison, the father of the Constitution, on his side.

For decades, presidents abused their Article II recess appointment power, bypassing Senate consent. During George W. Bush’s presidency, then-Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid devised a gambit to stop it. Every three days two senators would gavel open the Senate and then quickly close it. Mr. Reid insisted that this ritual meant that the Senate was in session, meaning Mr. Bush couldn’t make recess appointments. After Republicans deployed the maneuver against President Obama, the Supreme Court endorsed it. The court concluded that if the Senate says it is ready to do business, it is in session. This was dubious, for if almost all senators are hundreds of miles away from the Capitol, the Senate can’t really be in session.


Mr. Trump’s counter-maneuver should win the grudging respect of the wily Mr. Reid. “If the House will not agree to [an] adjournment, I will exercise my constitutional authority to adjourn both chambers of Congress. The current practice of leaving town while conducting phony pro forma sessions is a dereliction of duty that the American people cannot afford,” the president said Wednesday. “It is a scam what they do.”

It may seem odd that the president is able to close another branch of government. But Article II of the Constitution empowers him to assert that there is a “case of disagreement” between the chambers “with respect to the time of adjournment” and adjourn Congress himself. If the Senate resolves to adjourn and the House refuses to do so, Mr. Trump can shutter Congress.

So said James Madison. In 1788, Madison observed: “Were the Senate to attempt to prevent an adjournment, it would but serve to irritate the Representatives, without having the intended effect, as the President could adjourn them.” This is the converse of our situation. If the House were “to prevent an adjournment,” it would serve no purpose, “as the President could adjourn” Congress.

We should feel no sympathy for Congress. The House pretends to be open for the sake of preventing recess appointments. Yet as things stand, because neither chamber is actually meeting in any real sense, nothing can pass. Hence the Senate is in a de facto recess. Under current rules, when legislators go home, we have a Potemkin Congress.

If Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell wants to cooperate, the Senate should agree to adjourn for 10 days or more. If after a few days the House refused to pass an adjournment resolution, Mr. Trump could cite the disagreement and adjourn Congress and make recess appointments. Neither Speaker Nancy Pelosi nor Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer could force the Senate back into session.

Any recess appointments would be challenged. But the courts would be hard-pressed to deny that there was a disagreement, especially since James Madison supports the president’s invocation of an express constitutional power.

Mr. Prakash is a law professor and Miller Center fellow at the University of Virginia and author of “The Living Presidency: An Originalist Argument Against Its Ever-Expanding Powers.
« Last Edit: April 16, 2020, 07:53:18 PM by Crafty_Dog »

Crafty_Dog

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DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #715 on: April 20, 2020, 05:46:01 AM »
Republicans who care had better step it up  right now or LOSE.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/19/house-elections-cash-rich-democrats-tighten-grip-194570
 
Recruitment flops and lackluster fundraising have weakened Republicans’ chances in over a dozen competitive House districts, leaving them with an increasingly narrow path back to power.

Though GOP strategists feel confident they will see some gains this cycle, the latest fundraising reports out last week painted a bleak picture of their odds of netting the 18 seats needed to recapture the House, particularly with campaigning frozen by a global pandemic.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #716 on: April 20, 2020, 07:14:57 AM »
Doug,

Why do you think that is?
I hate to say it but Trump is not inspiring during this epidemic
yes I know the media is nearly 100% against him but his briefings are not helping to me
right after last nights initiation into his talk where he holds up a WSJ and discusses how it compliments HIM, I fell to sleep
and of course I read later that CNN and the rest continue to badger him and of course he reacts the way he always does and will

Is there really more than a few who are not just tired of all this

His best chance of winning is he give Biden a mini mental status test during the next debate showing Biden is in early stages of dementa

Just my 2 cents

if it ain't trump fatigue then what is it with Republicans?

DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #717 on: April 20, 2020, 07:53:55 AM »
Doug,
Why do you think that is?
I hate to say it but Trump is not inspiring during this epidemic
yes I know the media is nearly 100% against him but his briefings are not helping to me
right after last nights initiation into his talk where he holds up a WSJ and discusses how it compliments HIM, I fell to sleep
and of course I read later that CNN and the rest continue to badger him and of course he reacts the way he always does and will

Is there really more than a few who are not just tired of all this

His best chance of winning is he give Biden a mini mental status test during the next debate showing Biden is in early stages of dementia

Just my 2 cents

if it ain't trump fatigue then what is it with Republicans?

The worry is November, not what people are thinking in April.  But what happens in April greatly affects November.  Democrats are now stuck with Biden, short of some combination of miracles for them.  Republicans are stuck with the congressional candidates they recruit and select now.  Incumbents used to have a 98% success rate.  To disrupt that, you need everything to go right for you.

What the country needs is not only a Republican sweep of House, Senate and White House, but it has to be the right ones, running for the right reasons, and courageousluy sticking to their principles.  A rare find.  Republicans won House, Senate and White House through most of 2001-2006 - and governed like Democrats.  They had some tax cuts and some temporary economic growth, but grew government terribly and  left all the destructive forces in Washington untouched.

Another two years of Trump sharing power with Pelosi-Omar-AOC will mean more of the same.  The fight with each other prevents a win against all that is wrong, such as the screwed up FDA and CDC, not to mention government taking over housing, healthcare and everything else.

Recruiting a top, smooth talking Democrat to move to Washington and help the Left rule the country is a dream job for him or her, in a dream place with dream powers.  Recruiting a common sense, limited government supporting conservative to leave family, community and private sector behind and move to Washington to be treated like dirt and be called racist and worse, just to try to save their country while swimming upstream, is a nightmare requiring enormous personal sacrifice, just to take the blame for all that goes wrong - because no one has ever really cut the size and scope of government.

Similar problems exist for recruiting the best conservative minds to go into education and journalism.  We are at a gigantic disadvantage because that is not what these kinds of people aspire to do.


ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #718 on: April 20, 2020, 08:18:29 AM »
appreciate the response
but you kind of side stepped part of my question while answering the more general concept also on the mark.

but

is there Trump fatigue and is this spilling over to the Congessional races or are they more local phenomena?

 :|





DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #719 on: April 22, 2020, 08:07:53 AM »
kind of side stepped part of my question...
is there Trump fatigue and is this spilling over to the Congessional races or are they more local phenomena?


I do not know on Trump fatigue.  Stories of huge viewership of his daily briefings seem to come from March.  I think people have virus fatigue.  Strangely, some of us long for the return of more conventional political issues.

Trump wanted to run against Sanders and socialism.  By getting Biden he doesn't get the clear ideology to run against but most likely eliminates the threat of a serious third contender, Howard Schultz or Bloomberg.

For the congressional races he wants to nationalize against AOC, Omar and the gang.

6 BIG Senate races will be local in nature, but the national mood matters.

One issue left behind by the virus is that these pretend moderates in their suburban swing districts all voted for impeachment based on nothing that was going nowhere.  Washington spun its wheels while the trouble of the century was brewing.  Democrat supported institutions failed.  Trump, at some point, needs to get back to calling them out and running against the Democrat House, their obstructionism, their failures and their screwed up agenda.  Individual R. candidates will not be able to fully make that case.

But for now, Trump was right to be the face of the virus fight.  Trump fatigue on that front is far preferable to the Bush Katrina charge that was sure to otherwise come his way.  He is the uniter, not the rich guy out playing golf on his own closed golf courses while the scientists lock down the nation.  Make America great again is what everyone is thinking right now, if he didn't hold the copyright on it.

If people blame trump for the virus hitting the US so hard, Trump loses.  If people rightfully blame  China, Trump is the number one person in the world standing up to China, without question.

Nine out of 10 Americans now see China as a threat, Pew Research
https://qz.com/1842150/what-americans-think-are-the-greatest-threats-from-china/

In the end, the question of Trump fatigue is binary.  We are sick of a lot of things, but the alternative to Trump is Biden. 

Trump achieved TWICE the growth rate of Obama-Biden.  The big question for November I think is, who can lead us back to economic growth better and faster?  The only two answers to that are Trump and Trump denial.  Then for Congress the question becomes, which party in Congress can work better with President Trump to lead us back to robust economic growth.  The answer is Republicans, but expect the debate to be confused and conflated by a billion dollars of influence spent to say otherwise.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #720 on: April 22, 2020, 09:07:15 AM »

[. Nine out of 10 Americans now see China as a threat, Pew Research ]

Is pelosi ahead of this ?

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/3036017/nancy-pelosi-wants-us-be-tougher-china-donald-trump-aligning-eu-pressure

certainly not as much as she thinks,  if she is bashing Trump for his stance on China and not the Dems.
she took a few comments about Trump saying nice things about Xi out of context

Bloomberg , Feinstein , Biden family

https://qz.com/1842150/what-americans-think-are-the-greatest-threats-from-china/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nv7yVCwv6NU

DougMacG

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FBI serves warrant on senator in investigation of stock sales linked to coronavirus
MAY 13, 20206:54 PM UPDATED 7:17 PM
WASHINGTON  —  Federal agents seized a cellphone belonging to a prominent Republican senator on Wednesday night as part of the Justice Department’s investigation into controversial stock trades he made as the novel coronavirus first struck the U.S., a law enforcement official said.
Sen. Richard Burr of North Carolina, the chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, turned over his phone to agents after they served a search warrant on the lawmaker at his residence in the Washington area, the official said, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss a law enforcement action.

Sen. Burr steps aside as Intelligence Committee chair after FBI warrant in stock inquiry
May 14, 2020
The seizure represents a significant escalation in the investigation into whether Burr violated a law preventing members of Congress from trading on insider information they have gleaned from their official work.

To obtain a search warrant, federal agents and prosecutors must persuade a judge they have probable cause to believe a crime has been committed. The law enforcement official said the Justice Department is examining Burr’s communications with his broker.

Such a warrant being served on a sitting U.S. senator would require approval from the highest ranks of the Justice Department and is a step that would not be taken lightly. Kerri Kupec, a Justice Department spokeswoman, declined to comment.

A second law enforcement official said FBI agents served a warrant in recent days on Apple to obtain information from Burr’s iCloud account and said agents used data obtained from the California-based company as part of the evidence used to obtain the warrant for the senator’s phone.

https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2020-05-13/fbi-serves-warrant-on-senator-stock-investigation
-----------------------------
[Doug]
A.  On the forum we try to treat scandal on the right same as we would treat scandal on the Left.  If this were AOC, Biden or Schumer, we would be all over this.

B.  On the other side of this, I don't think it took "Inside Information" to decide to sell your stocks in the face of a virus causing outbreaks and lockdowns in a province with seven times the population of London.  He could have just been reading the forum.  I sold my stock at that time just looking at how the Chinese shutdown would hurt earnings of DOW, NASDAQ, S&P companies and knowing how panicky other investors would react to those numbers when they come out, NOT anticipating a complete shutdown of the USA and the world.

C.  The day in question was Feb 13, 2020. 
https://www.propublica.org/article/burr-family-stock
That is TWO WEEKS AFTER WHO declared coronavirus outbreak a global health emergency.  2 weeks after Trump shut down all flights to the US from China, not exactly early in this crisis.  2 weeks after articles in Hospital Review report sold out masks.  Had he done this in Nov-Dec 2019, very early January, I might suspect inside information.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/30/who-declares-coronavirus-outbreak-a-global-health-emergency/
What sold-out coronavirus face masks teach about price-gouging, January 31st, 2020
Since the coronavirus outbreak began, sales of medical face masks have spiked, especially since the government confirmed the first human-to-human transmission of the virus.
https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/supply-chain/what-sold-out-coronavirus-face-masks-teach-about-price-gouging.html

The strange thing about mid-Feb, check my posts, is that stocks had not dropped even though anyone/everyone could see that bad health and economic news was coming.

D.  The default position of an elected politician should be to be out of stocks while in public office - to avoid this kind of thing, yet they have some right like the rest of us to earn a return on their savings and investments. 

E.  As indicated in the article, this is a very serious move by DOJ/FBI.  It is either deep state running wild or it is serious people like AG Barr looking at serious indications of violation of insider trading law.

Insiders knew the least of anyone in this crisis.  He could have bought a mask, sanitizer or toilet paper stocks.  Just closing out his position while we see where this goes seems cautious, prudent, logical to me.


ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #722 on: May 15, 2020, 07:06:54 AM »
Rush pointed out we don't see the same treatment of similarly corrupt appearing Diane the Feinstein

he says no mention of seizing her phone etc

only she answered a few questions and she happily turned over a few documents in a quiet back door chat with agents.

no headlines
no "seizure"

why are crats always treated differently?

Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #723 on: May 15, 2020, 11:56:19 AM »
I'm willing to wait and see on this.

1) I'm willing to give Barr the benefit of the doubt in the absence of contrary evidence;

2) the facts could be quite different in each of the cases in ways that present distinct evidentiary issues.

Crafty_Dog

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House Proxy Voting
« Reply #724 on: May 27, 2020, 05:43:05 PM »

G M

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #725 on: May 27, 2020, 07:43:22 PM »
Deep State Barr will say the right things while the FBIDNC targets republicans.


I'm willing to wait and see on this.

1) I'm willing to give Barr the benefit of the doubt in the absence of contrary evidence;

2) the facts could be quite different in each of the cases in ways that present distinct evidentiary issues.

DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races MN
« Reply #726 on: June 22, 2020, 07:32:26 AM »
Every race for the Senate and House this year is going to matter, not just the Presidency, and margin of victory or defeat matters too.

[Copying info to this thread:]
Jason Lewis, Republican candidate for US Senate in Minnesota, Planned Parenthood's Tina Smith seat.  Lewis was a local talk show host, formerly a frequent guest host for Rush Limbaugh, former congressman in one of the suburban districts that flipped Dem in 2018.  [Give money] https://lewisformn.com/  He leans constitutionalist, libertarian and anti-hawk, maybe of the Rand Paul mold.


https://www.lacyjohnson.com/  Lacy Johnson, Republican candidate for Ilhan Omar's seat in congress. 
Does race matter?

Crafty_Dog

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The Filibuster is going, going , , ,
« Reply #727 on: June 26, 2020, 05:55:56 AM »
The Filibuster Is Going, Going . . .
Chris Coons, a key Biden ally, signals Democrats will break the 60-vote rule for legislation.
By The Editorial Board
June 25, 2020 7:21 pm ET

As progressive radicalism sweeps America’s streets and civil-society institutions, one question is whether its agenda can be translated into law. One obstacle is the Senate filibuster, which constrains partisan majorities by requiring 60 votes for most legislation. But if Democrats take control of the Senate in 2020, expect the rule to be torched as soon as it impedes the Democratic agenda.

The latest indication comes from Delaware Senator Chris Coons, a moderate Democrat with a reputation as an institutionalist who in 2017 along with Maine Republican Susan Collins led an open letter in support of the filibuster. “We are mindful of the unique role the Senate plays in the legislative process,” they wrote in a letter signed by 61 Senators.

But that was when Republicans controlled the Senate. Now Mr. Coons tells Politico, “I will not stand idly by for four years and watch the Biden administration’s initiatives blocked at every turn.” He added: “I am gonna try really hard to find a path forward that doesn’t require removing what’s left of the structural guardrails, but if there’s a Biden administration, it will be inheriting a mess, at home and abroad. It requires urgent and effective action.”

In the Democratic presidential primary, Elizabeth Warren called for getting rid of the filibuster while more moderate candidates like Sen. Cory Booker resisted. Mr. Coons’s apparent change of heart suggests the progressives will have little problem winning out once they are trying to pass legislation they deem “urgent” on a party-line vote. Notably, Mr. Coons is one of Joe Biden’s main Senate confidants.

Perhaps the filibuster’s days have been numbered since then Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid axed it for lower-court judges on a party-line vote in 2013. But the result of a unified Democratic government unconstrained by the legislative filibuster could be a dramatic redistribution of political power that most Americans don’t suspect.

Congress could pass statehood for Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico, tilting the Senate further left. A simple Senate majority could also change the composition of the federal judiciary, including the Supreme Court. The mere threat of this may already be causing Chief Justice John Roberts to move left.

President Trump has been falling in the polls, and on present trend he’ll take the GOP Senate down to defeat too. The stakes for the upper chamber are far greater than in a typical election, and Republicans will have to start making that case to the voters.

ccp

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Bongino : crats plan to get rid of fillibuster in Senate
« Reply #728 on: June 29, 2020, 05:05:51 PM »
51 will rule
you can skip the commercials:

https://bongino.com/ep-1285-who-is-really-behind-this-chaos

DougMacG

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Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #730 on: July 01, 2020, 07:33:28 AM »
I donated to Mia Love a few times, but then I saw her get snarky with President Trump.  Owens winning the primary appears to be very good news.