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Messages - DougMacG

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Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: Today at 11:29:02 AM »
America's reaction to Clintons back on the national scene:

Politics & Religion / Re: Iraq
« on: Today at 07:56:02 AM »
A surrender without conditions, except for those provided by international law."
On 3 August 1990, the UN Security Council passed Resolution 660 condemning the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and demanding that Iraq unconditionally withdraw all forces deployed in Kuwait.

3 March 1991—Iraq accepted the conditions of the UN resolutions.

Iraq soldiers were waving white underwear in the air in the desert.

Gulf War I - reversed the occupation of a sovereign country, the demand of the coalition.   We did not depose Saddam or rebuild the nation.

Politics & Religion / Re: President Trump
« on: February 15, 2020, 08:50:04 AM »
Witty snark no doubt, but for the record I'd say we won the Gulf War pretty decisively and overthrew Saddam pretty decisively.

I keep looking for pictures and articles of Saddam signing an unconditional surrender document at the end of the Gulf War. I haven't found anything yet.

Google must be broken!

I believe there is such an agreement. I read it at the time. And had a printed copy of it. I believe Google is broken, can't find it.

Politics & Religion / Re: Wife Pete Buttigieg, win by Losing?
« on: February 14, 2020, 09:50:33 AM »
Unlike most of the  others, Mayor Pete can 'win' by losing.  He is very young and raised his profile.

Amy also can win by losing; she could be somebody's VP pick.  Most of the others are done rising by losing:  Bernie, Biden, Warren, Bloomberg come to mind, even if they win the nomination and lose the election.

I partly disagree on Pete.  If / when his star quits begins to fade in this weak field, his moment may have passed.  Like Marco Rubio, he will need to start over and build something real from the ground up.  Pete probably can't do that in Indiana, will need to relocate to be elected like Mitt did.

When the magic with Butti is gone we will see there is no there there.  What was his big stand?  What was he known for?  What were his accomplishments?  Nothin', nothin', nothin'.  He can stand there with his Alfred E Newman smile and say, I'm not Bernie, I'll take us  to single payer without telling you.

2021: 'With us today on Face the Nation is former Presidential contender, winner of the New Hampshire primary Paul Tsongas, er, I mean, second place finisher Pete Buttigieg'.  Whatever.

Politics & Religion / David Limbaugh on Rush
« on: February 14, 2020, 09:31:35 AM »
One aspect not mentioned yet, Rush was at "the tip of the spear", as brother David puts it, in the ideological fight.  That he never backed down to all the attacks, he inspired a whole lot of others to stand strong.

My vision for the struggle in the 'Taiwan to Singapore' Sea is that China is the bully and everyone else in the region  joins with the US to oppose them. 

This is a setback (understatement).

Chinese hackers stole the private information of 145 million Americans, meaning they can get almost anything.  Wouldn't they try even harder in their own backyard?  Any chance they have incriminating information on Duterte?  Maybe their cost to buy him off is nothing.

A free agency bidding war is a lousy basis for making a strategic alliance.

My memory was that Trump and Duterte had a spat or a feud but that is not what I am seeing as I look it up:

Maybe post-Duterte we get the Philippines back.  In the meantime, we thwart China in other ways.

Ruth Bader Ginsburg among others has put ERA back in the news.

Working to see this fail in the 70s and early 80s was my own mother's passion.  Most of what she warned against is already here, women in combat, gay marriage, the end of gender distinction.  However we feel about those issues, the equal rights amendment would end any remaining special protections girls and women enjoy.

We don't have a draft right now but if we needed one, drafting our daughters into war with equal opportunity would be a constitutional requirement if we needed to draft anyone into combat.  No distinction on the basis of gender allowed, regardless of whom the needs most.  Leftists think this prevents war, but WWII etc were not wars of our choosing.

Sports may be one of the last remaining areas of gender recognition.  This is already being screwed up by the trans movement with boys winning girls events.  Sports may seem trivial but ask the girls who benefited from girls and women's sports what it meant to their upbringing.  With ERA, LPGA is gone.  WNBA gone.  Title IX, gone.  Girls tennis, girls soccer, girls everything, mixed doubles, gone.  Girl Scouts, no longer.  Equal prize money at the US Open?  Not needed anymore, they only need one event and men will be winning it.  Federer versus Serena?  Not going to happen, she wouldn't make the qualifying round.  No distinction on gender is constitutional mandate under ERA.  Lost not just for the athletes, but those who like to watch women compete.

Who does this benefit?  No one.

Gender discrimination is not what holds women back in the workplace.  But even if it is, it's already against federal law.  My mom was an aeronautical engineer in the 40s. She entered when there was one woman in the field. Girls weren't kept out of engineering; they wanted out of engineering.  That has (partly) changed.  A constitutional amendment would not affect wrongful discrimination, but it would end any remaining preferences girls and women still enjoy.

Equal means the same and the TWO genders are not the same.  Some of us enjoy the differences.

Politics & Religion / Reason: Bloomberg Video, 4 min.
« on: February 14, 2020, 06:11:16 AM »

It's so hard to find anything negative on mike.    :wink:

China to cut tariffs in half on $75 billion of U.S. goods
Feb 6, 2020



I wonder if Bloomberg reads Bloomberg...

FYI,  Cutting fiberglass with a diamond blade causes dust inhale risk.
Companies are searching for ways to deal with the tens of thousands of blades that have reached the end of their lives.
February 5, 2020, 4:00 AM CST Updated on February 7, 2020, 10:54 AM CST

A wind turbine’s blades can be longer than a Boeing 747 wing, so at the end of their lifespan they can’t just be hauled away. First, you need to saw through the lissome fiberglass using a diamond-encrusted industrial saw to create three pieces small enough to be strapped to a tractor-trailer.

The municipal landfill in Casper, Wyoming, is the final resting place of 870 blades whose days making renewable energy have come to end. The severed fragments look like bleached whale bones nestled against one another.

“That’s the end of it for this winter,” said waste technician Michael Bratvold, watching a bulldozer bury them forever in sand. “We’ll get the rest when the weather breaks this spring.”

Tens of thousands of aging blades are coming down from steel towers around the world and most have nowhere to go but landfills. In the U.S. alone, about 8,000 will be removed in each of the next four years. Europe, which has been dealing with the problem longer, has about 3,800 coming down annually through at least 2022, according to BloombergNEF. It’s going to get worse: Most were built more than a decade ago, when installations were less than a fifth of what they are now.

Built to withstand hurricane-force winds, the blades can’t easily be crushed, recycled or repurposed. That’s created an urgent search for alternatives in places that lack wide-open prairies. In the U.S., they go to the handful of landfills that accept them, in Lake Mills, Iowa; Sioux Falls, South Dakota; and Casper, where they will be interred in stacks that reach 30 feet under.

“The wind turbine blade will be there, ultimately, forever,” said Bob Cappadona, chief operating officer for the North American unit of Paris-based Veolia Environnement SA, which is searching for better ways to deal with the massive waste. “Most landfills are considered a dry tomb.”

Politics & Religion / Re: Wife Pete Buttigieg - Platitude Generator
« on: February 13, 2020, 09:44:59 AM »
ccp: A student butti  (2020 Pres)
saw him speaking in suit and VERY Obamanesque

he surely is copying the "one".  another slickster - not fooling anyone but he knows the media will cover for him.

Now this:
Mayor Pete Platitude Generator
Click "Inspire" and Pete will generate random wisdom.

Politics & Religion / Climate Agenda for Republican
« on: February 13, 2020, 09:33:53 AM »
One or two interesting ideas here.  Why not put carbon capture on natural gas instead of coal?  It's far easier and more efficient because NG starts many times cleaner than coal.

"With a new generation of advanced, smaller nuclear reactors poised to begin coming online in the next five years, nuclear energy is one key area where Republicans can demonstrate their commitment to innovation outside basic science."
Just because climate change is two and a half to seven times overstated, not fully human caused and not catastrophic doesn't mean humans aren't emitting or that CO2 levels aren't rising.

Good to be thinking about this and important to get out in front of it.  Prosperity and innovation are how we win, not prohibitions, infrastructure blocking or doing without.

Politics & Religion / Re: Neo Nazis
« on: February 13, 2020, 09:11:34 AM »
I would just add that Nazis and Neo Nazis are not on the right side of the Left-Right political spectrum - even if they call their rally 'unite the right'.  White supremacy today is an off-shoot of Leftist identity politics.  It has NOTHING to do with equal protection under the law, free enterprise, free markets, equal opportunity, limited government, strong defense, secure borders, constitutional constraints, or anything that comprises modern conservatism.  Take a look at the founding of Planned Parenthood or their current political support for a practice that kills black babies at 5 times the rate of white babies and tell me which side has a problem with "white supremacy".

Among the proudest achievements of current conservatism are wage growth and record low unemployment rates of minorities.  There is absolutely zero crossover between these policies and white supremacy.  The Left cannot say the same.  They continue to use the phenomenon of minority poverty to empower themselves.  Go figure.

"FBI Director Christopher Wray recently stated that the FBI now views racially-motivated violent extremism as a “national threat priority.”  "

Maybe so, but meanwhile the odds of a black being killed by a black is more than ten times higher despite the smaller population.

That said, when extremists cross the line from expressing freedom of speech to intentionally inciting violence, shut them down.

Politics & Religion / Re: President Trump to visit Central Valley next week
« on: February 13, 2020, 08:35:23 AM »

Great news!  It's time to take Calif seriously.  Run a 50 state campaign.  Margin of victory (or defeat) matters.  Change the momentum.  Look at how energized the Left is to someday win Texas.  Not all Californians are Leftist, coastal elites!

Trump went into Ilhan Omar's district Leftist Mpls and called out her radicalism.  He brought out the rest of the state.  Why not call out the people who are destroying California - in California?

Republicans need wins there to take back the House and Trump needs to win back the House to have any real success in his second term.  [Losing the House was his biggest failure.]

Surrendering Calif to the Leftists helps no one.

“The North Koreans will not provoke as long as the United States does not provoke, and I think Donald Trump understands that as long as we do not provoke Kim Jong-un, he will not respond or make the first move.”

   - Same for Iran.  Some might call that winning.  Bellicose Isolationism in place of groveling appeasement and 'diplomacy' is dangerous! Terrible!  But all of the sudden it's quiet on the enemy front. 

Tough situation for NK.  Close the border where the lives-saving aid comes in.  Import a virus you have no ability to deal with, or starve and freeze to death the masses without the aid.  Choose one.

Someone should alert Thomas Friedman / NYT that the lying, suppressing, oppressing, totalitarian regimes may not be the best model for governing.

Politics & Religion / Re: VDH : on the Babe Ruth of talk radio
« on: February 13, 2020, 07:09:40 AM »

Like Babe Ruth who is credited with saving baseball after the White Sox World Series scandal in 1919

Rush saved radio; VDH:

"Even stranger still, his ascendance coincided with the presumed nadir of radio itself. It was supposedly a has-been, one-dimensional medium, long overshadowed by television. Even in the late 1980s, radio was about to be sentenced as obsolete in the ascendant cyber age of what would become Internet blogs, podcasts, streaming, and smartphone television.

Stranger still, Limbaugh has prospered through two generations and picked up millions of listeners"

We have so few people who care about us in the media
I always worried about his health. I feel he is like a family member or good friend

Same for me.  Great column, brought a tear to my eye.  On his first day of nationwide broadcast, I remember where I was, clicking through some stations, expecting nothing, and stopped and thought, WHO IS THIS?  Someone who agrees with me?!

Everyone thought television made radio obsolete but radio frees you to carry on with a lot of activities.  Television grounds you.  VDH listens with headphones in his tractor when he's not teaching at Stanford? 

Most of radio is noise.  It takes pretty amazing content to make up for all the repeated commercials, news, traffic.  But when you are tuned in, you learn of breaking news in almost real time.

(Doug) "Sanders is the vote leader after two states, getting 25% of the vote.  The not-Sanders vote looks to be 75%.  If Warren drops... that could move to 30-70 with the 70 split between [the others]."

Also leading nationwide with about 25%.

Political analyst Sean Trende calls it the Sanders Ceiling:

I think it's the Sanders Trap.  Think of AOC and the people who love her (and Bernie).  People get all excited with all this anger at the very basic foundations of our society  (fruits of your labor, private property, work hard get ahead).  They don't just come down from that when someone else is (wrongly) nominated, turn on a dime and say ok, now we back Butti or Mini-Mike with a smile on their face.

Sanders could win Nevada, win California big time and win many other states with his clear message of tear it all down, while these others get tangled up with each other with their slick, pretend moderation.  His 25-30% ceiling might be 40% of the delegates at the convention.  (Candidates getting below 15% in a state receive no delegates.) 

If Sanders is the leader coming into the convention, either they nominate him and drive away the moderates, or they step over him (again) and drive away the radicals.  Which will it be?

Defeating Trump is what unites them?  Not when what is stopping them is the establishment of their own party.

The big Academia-Media complex created and fueled all this Leftism, especially in young people.  The rich are making you poor and the world is going to end!  Now they have no idea how to rein it in and defeat Trump and the Republicans with a sensible centrist.

Politics & Religion / Re: Stratfor Decade Forecast
« on: February 13, 2020, 05:51:23 AM »
We should all do our 10 year forecast.
6 Reasons for Optimism in 2020
1. Extreme Poverty Is Plummeting
2. More Than Half the World Is Middle Class
3. Global Life Expectancy Is Rising
4. Climate-Related Deaths Are Falling
5. Life Is Getting Better in the World’s Poorest Countries
6. The Cost of Starting a Business Has Plummeted in Developing Economies
(much more at link)

Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: Sarah Lawrence College
« on: February 13, 2020, 05:48:06 AM »
I went to Sarah Lawrence for my first two years of college.

Most disturbing story I have seen in a very long time.

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: February 12, 2020, 03:08:01 PM »
NH:  Sanders, Buttigieg, Klobuchar

Yang out, Michael Bennett out, Deval Patrick out. Steyer out. Only 5 people have won any delegates.  It would seem that Warren is out too having lost in both lanes and no path forward.  I guess it depends on how much money she has left and how best to time the humility of admitting failure.  She really thought she was going somewhere.
Biden also should drop out.  We'll see if his lead holds up in SC.  Isn't he already out of money?

If Biden fails, none of the remaining have any appeal to the "black and brown" people.  [I hate those grouping.  They aren't hyphenated-voters; they are voters.]

I didn't agree that Bloomberg would catch on.  The importance of NYC is )IMO) between small and contrary indicator in the heartland and he's wrong on the issues.  But it is now a race with none of the above winning so why not Mike?   (

I listened more carefully to a Bloomberg spot today.  It all sounds so good, a really dynamic narrator tells you how great this man is for most of the minute.  Then a monotone, aging, uncharismatic candidate says a couple of sentences in his own words, negating all the excitement.  Let's get that narrator in the race!

Sanders is the vote leader after two states, getting 25% of the vote.  The not-Sanders vote looks to be 75%.  If Warren drops or gets any more irrelevant, that could move to 30-70 with the 70 split between Butti, Biden, Bloomberg and Klob-mentum.  Will one of these set themselves apart?  So far that one is Butti, but it is 2 states of 50 and he is just starting to face resistance.  Much more to come.

Politics & Religion / Re: Second American Civil War
« on: February 12, 2020, 02:12:28 PM »
The good news, I guess, is they aren't being subtle about it anymore.  It's now right there out in the open.

The Democrats' impeachment included "disqualification to hold and enjoy any Office...[in] the United States."

They sought to ban Trump from ever appearing on a ballot again, most significantly to not appear on this year's Presidential ballot.

They are nominally aimed at one man Trump but in fact hitting 63-85 million people, preventing them from being able to exercise the right to vote for the candidate of their choice.

Instead of being so murky, they should propose what they really mean, ban Republicans from voting.  They did it with slaves, why not Republicans?

Leftist Math: 1. Republicans voted wrong in the first place, 2016.  2. Failed to remove him from office when the facts against him were proved,2020, and 3. that makes three strikes.  Out.  That's how you make sure it doesn't happen again.

Politics & Religion / Re: Klobuchar
« on: February 12, 2020, 01:36:02 PM »

From the article:
"Klobuchar “is campaigning for an economy-destroying policy of net-zero emissions by 2050 and a ‘more robust public option’ in healthcare. In other words, socialized medicine.” She also supports eliminating the Electoral College, ending offshore oil drilling, and banning semiautomatic rifles." “It is a testament to how far left the Democrat Party has veered that Klobuchar could be considered a centrist.

Even The Washington Post admits that “every major Democratic candidate is running on an agenda to the left of [Barack] Obama’s.” That includes Klobuchar.

   - Precisely.


"What I've learned from the BP oil disaster, the housing debacle and the financial collapse is that government is over-regulating our lives and yet is never going to protect us."  - MCC  2010

Politics & Religion / Re: Obama's life insurance policy: Joe Biden
« on: February 11, 2020, 08:23:56 AM »
Apparently a quote from a 1952 Tyrone Power movie.

Even that is bungled.  Nothing about "lying dog faced" in 'Pony Soldier'.  It's a Joe-ism.  You don't tell a serious questioner / potential supporter they're lying.  You don't tell a plain looking college girl she's dog faced.  She put herself out there asking a serious political question in front of 7 people.  He was joking around.  Like the the trees being just the right height in Michigan, Romney - inside joke, someone tell what's funny about it.  Romney lost Michigan.

If it was true or funny, still, how old was the median 2020 voter in 1952?  "Turn on the record player."  Talk about going off-script.  The argument is that he won't say stupid stuff like Trump does.

Politics & Religion / 2020 Presidential, Biden ad rips Butti
« on: February 11, 2020, 08:03:24 AM »

Politics & Religion / European matters - Germany at the Crossroads
« on: February 11, 2020, 07:45:50 AM »
Merkel's chosen successor drops out of Chancellor race

Past prediction:  EU is screwed "greatly changed" if Britain leaves.

With Britain gone, the remaining balance of EU power changes.  More protectionist, hurting Germany's exports, and only the Mediterranean group can get 35% support to block initiatives.  With Britain out the northern countries no longer can block initiatives they oppose.

Deutsch-xit: Germany should leave the EU.   Germany should pass free trade agreements with US, UK, Europe if they want it.  Germany should protect its borders, manage its immigration.  Establishment shouldn't need their hated outsiders to figure that out.

Germany fears its far right.  Germany's policy of wilkommenskultur built the far right.
Crime spike:

Teaching Germany to migrants:
"From a list of holidays that includes Easter, Christmas and Labour Day, they must identify which ones are Christian; they must determine whether foods like white sausage, pizza and doner kebabs are German or foreign; and they must pick out the types of insurance they need here."  [All in conflict with Sharia Law, right?]

What could possibly go wrong?

Politics & Religion / Bernie Baffled, Babylon Bee
« on: February 11, 2020, 07:16:01 AM »
Bernie Sanders Confused By New Hampshire State Motto 'Live Free Or Die' — 'Both Of Those Options Sound Horrible'

Politics & Religion / Government Budget Politics - Thomas Sowell
« on: February 11, 2020, 07:11:33 AM »
Tomas Sowell:  "Back in my teaching days, many years ago, one of the things I liked to ask the class to consider was this: Imagine a government agency with only two tasks: (1) building statues of Benedict Arnold and (2) providing life-saving medications to children. If this agency’s budget were cut, what would it do? The answer, of course, is that it would cut back on the medications for children. Why? Because that would be what was most likely to get the budget cuts restored. If they cut back on building statues of Benedict Arnold, people might ask why they were building statues of Benedict Arnold in the first place."

Dan Mitchell:
The “fireman first principle” – Describes how local government bodies (often coordinating with local politicians) will claim that firemen will have to be laid off and/or firehouses will have to close if there is any budgetary discipline. You can replace firefighters with cops or teachers if you want. The key point is to divert attention from the countless ways that local governments waste money by focusing on the few things that voters actually care about.

The “Washington Monument syndrome” – Based on a real-world example during the 1970s of the National Park Service claiming it would have to shut down tourist access to popular Washington-area sites if it was subject to fiscal restraint, the modern-day equivalent is President Obama scaring people with hysterical assertions about threats to food safety and airline operations.

Politics & Religion / Baseline Budgeting
« on: February 11, 2020, 06:50:27 AM »
Key to making this argument is the baseline budgeting point:  Slowing future increases is NOT a cut!!!

Famous people caught reading the Forum, Dan Mitchell of Cato / Heritage background follows up on Crafty's post:

"Here are the three things you need to know.

1. The politicians created a system that automatically assumes big increases in annual spending, called a baseline.
2. When there’s a proposal to have spending grow slower than the baseline, the gap between the proposal and the baseline is called a cut.
3. It’s like being on a diet and claiming progress because you’re gaining two pounds each month rather than five pounds.

Please read the whole thing.  This probably won't be re-printed in the NYT / Wash Post.

NASA's experimental X-59 supersonic jet could be built by the end of 2020
The team behind the plane is confident that the craft will be ultrafast and ultraquiet.

Politics & Religion / The Truth about Media, Ministry of Truth Issues
« on: February 11, 2020, 06:34:22 AM »
Ironically, the media's softball treatment of the Dems has weakened them and the media's harsh treatment of Republicans has strengthened them to the point where it's no longer a fair fight.

Today we head into the first primary of the quadrennium and people are just now discovering the weaknesses of these weak candidates in a historically weak field.

Joe Biden, a buffoon?  Who knew?  They've been playing montages of his nonsense on conservative media for decades.

Bloomberg reduced crime in NYC by profiling perps in the hood by RACE and ordering the frisk of people who look like them?  Who saw that coming?

Bernie was pulling for the Soviets worldwide in the Cold War.  Butti fired the first black police chief in his town.

Next they'll tell us sweet Amy is a total bitch behind the scenes, put innocent blacks in prison for life without a witness, and Liz Warren's breakthrough academic research was a fraud (exposed on the forum).  Say it's not all so.

Politics & Religion / Re: Mini Mike Bloomie Bloomberg
« on: February 11, 2020, 06:10:23 AM »

Politics & Religion / Mini Mike Bloomberg, Stop and Frisk Blacks 16 to 25
« on: February 11, 2020, 04:02:43 AM »
Whites aren't the problem.

Law enforcement should target minorities “because that’s where all the crime is.”

The audio was released by podcast host Benjamin Dixon, who encouraged people to share it “far and wide.”

In the audio, Bloomberg allegedly says, “95% of your murders – murderers and murder victims fit one M.O. You can just take the description, Xerox it and pass it out to all the cops. They are male, minorities, 16-25. That’s true in New York, that’s true in virtually every city and that’s where the real crime is.”

“You’ve got to get the guns out of the hands of the people that are getting killed,” Bloomberg continued. “You want to spend the money on a lot of cops in the streets. Put those cops where the crime is, which means in minority neighborhoods.”

“So, one of the unintended consequences is people say, ‘oh my God, you are arresting kids for marijuana that are all minorities.’ Yes, that’s true. Why? Because we put all the cops in the minority neighborhoods,” Bloomberg continued. “Yes, that’s true. Why do we do it? Because that’s where all the crime is. And the way you get the guns out of the kids’ hands is to throw them up against the walls and frisk them. And then they start say[ing], ‘Oh I don’t want to get caught.’ So they don’t bring the gun. They still have a gun, but they leave it at home.”

“get the guns out of the hands of the people that are getting killed.” ??

Is this backwards?  Blame the victim?  Disarm victims?  Transcribed wrong?  Mike, you're a journalist, release the video, let's take a look.

Politics & Religion / Joe Biden, Lying, dog faced pony soldier
« on: February 10, 2020, 06:57:59 PM »

He isn't Pres Obama's insurance policy anymore.  When he called the gal a Lying Dog faced Pony Soldier, the only possible explanation for it is that he was projecting.  We should update the name of the thread accordingly.  This I believe was the gaffe that brought down old slow Joe.

Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: Wolves, Dogs and other canines
« on: February 10, 2020, 03:24:54 PM »
"8 dogs pull each sled, they run 40 miles in 2.5 hours"

16 miles per hr for 2.5 hrs

lets see ,
record marathon 26 miles in ~ 2 hrs = 13 mi per hr

put not pulling a load !
and wearing super sneakers !

And running in deep soft snow, like running the marathon barefoot in deep, soft, bottomless sand on the beach.

The dogs work so hard some wondered if the weather was too warm for them, +10 F.

Politics & Religion / Re: Pete Buttigieg
« on: February 10, 2020, 03:19:34 PM »
a. He was raised an academic Marxist.
b. Has not renounced that upon reaching his brief, post academia adulthood.
c. Like Obama, educated to the hilt, but has probably never read a book or heard a talk coming from the free market or supply side of economics.

He speaks umpteen languages and memorizes poetry, someone should ask him to quote Adam Smith, Hayek, Milton Friedman or Ibn Khaldun.

Ask him what the logic string of try the same thing and expect a different result is called.

Politics & Religion / Pete Buttigieg
« on: February 10, 2020, 03:17:31 PM »
a. He was raised an academic Marxist.
b. Has not renounced that upon reaching his brief, post academia adulthood.
c. Like Obama, educated to the hilt, but has never read a book or heard a talk coming from the free market or supply side of economics.

He speaks umpteen languages and memorizes poetry, someone should ask him to quote Adam Smith, Hayek, Milton Friedman or Ibn Khaldun.

Ask him what the logic string of try the same thing and expect a different result is called.

Key to making this argument is the baseline budgeting point:  Slowing future increases is NOT a cut!!!

That's right, but you'll never convince the other party of it.  Trump's opponents are talking about new programs in the tens of trillions along with tax rate increases that would kill growth and bring in no new revenue.  Our only chance of containing the spending is to reelect this big spending President and hope his current words mean more than his actions so far.

Politics & Religion / Re: Politico: New Electoral Map
« on: February 10, 2020, 11:11:07 AM »

Good article, considering their slant.

"a “Blue Wall,” a term applied to a northern tier of 18 states, stretching from coast to coast, that appeared to provide a structural advantage for a Democratic nominee."

The 'Blue Wall' was the 242 electoral vote count they thought they had locked up before they started, back when they loved the electoral college - and the constitution that defines it.  They only needed 28 more electoral votes to win.

Nate Silver, 2015:  There is no Blue Wall
"when commentators talk about the Democrats’ “blue wall,” all they’re really pointing out is that Democrats have had a pretty good run in presidential elections lately (2015)... The Electoral College just isn’t worth worrying about much... Clinton is no sort of lock, and if she loses the popular vote by even a few percentage points, the “blue wall” will seem as archaic as talk of a permanent Republican majority."

Or if her popular vote victory comes all from one state she already won.
Trump will win MN IF he wins a 2% improvement from suburban voters, suburban women.  But if he wins MN, he has already won IA, WI, MI, OH, PA, FL, NC etc the House, the Senate and an easy reelection.


Big event.  8 dogs pull each sled, they run 40 miles in 2.5 hours.  They came right by the house.  Not sure how to post our photos.

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election, Black voters
« on: February 10, 2020, 09:55:39 AM »
If Trump gets even 20% of the black vote in swing states such as Michigan, Florida, and Pennsylvania, then Democrats will simply have no path to victory.

Politics & Religion / The Impeachment argument has just begun
« on: February 10, 2020, 09:35:06 AM »
Through the entire process I could say impeachment was not what people out in the heartland were talking about.  It was a silent background issue.

R's and D's both knew he wouldn't be removed from office and just watched the process unfold quietly.  Markets didn't panic and foreigners never wondered who was really in charge.  The purpose was to mark and stain him for the process of defeating him. The result seems to be the opposite.  Trump can now rightly claim he was acquitted.  His popularity is up, his base is energized and the opposition is in disarray for a variety of reasons.

Socializing with friends from the Democrat side this weekend I was surprised by how front and center the impeachment aftermath is for them.  One takeaway seemed to sum it up: 'The first article, abuse of power was 100% proved.'  From their point of view: Trump did abuse his power, it was proved, everyone knows it but only one Republican Senator could stand up to him.  Digging deeper, the point was proved that he did hold up needed military aid in exchange for getting what he wanted.  Clear quid pro quo.  With a small room full of people jumping in it was hard to effectively pick that argument apart.  Some of my rebuttals taken individually sounded kind of weak.  I can take more time here.  )   The arguments have all been made here but if we are right we need to sharpen this up for the long political season.  The competing narrative is alive and well.

1.  Quid pro quo means nothing in itself; it describes every transaction , every foreign aid transaction.  The central question in impeachment: was he demanding something in his personal interest that was (unquestionably) against the public interest?

If newspapers say the whole Biden matter and everything else Trump said or thought about Ukraine was already debunked, is that so or is there still a legitimate point to be made for looking into it?  I'm afraid that is an losing point to be made to those who are informed by only those same sources.  The only real data point I could add in hindsight is that Gallup and every other poll rate the credibility of these 'mainstream sources' below Trump, meaning near zero. 

2.  Is it off limits to look into corruption if your potential opponent is part of it?  Of course not or how could they justify going after Trump for so long.  Okay, the double standard argument doesn't work on them either.

3.  The outrage about holding up needed military aid, when it comes from pro-Obama Democrats, is pure silliness.  I could not convince my friend that President Obama held up military aid to Ukraine for 8 years.  Highly informed but did not know that, nor willing to believe me.  Still not a winning point.

4.  The biggest point: what is the level of seriousness of what was alleged, committed or discovered.  If true, is this an impeachable offense?  We have vague testimony, implied conclusions, minor delay, alleged words and actions, doubt that Biden is even the opponent, uncertainty about where  the corruption really was, but then the consequence demanded was to not only remove him from office, but to ban him from ever seeking or holding any public office ever again.  In other words, Democrats sought to decide who Republicans can or can't vote for this year.  63 million people and likely way more, in impeachment, would be denied having their choice on the ballot, and more than that perhaps would be denied the right to vote against him.  To Democrats, this proposed interference in the next election is how we keep Trump from interfering with the next election.  That makes no sense, absent real proof of truly working against US interests.

The people, in this case, ought to have the right to over-ride a mistake made by Congress in the next election.  Since the impeachment / Conviction / Removal verdict does not allow that, the bar for that must be EXTREMELY high.  This didn't come close.

Politics & Religion / Bloomberg plagiarized part of at least 8 of his plans
« on: February 10, 2020, 08:00:27 AM »

Details at the link.  Much of it got deleted, changed on discovery.  The Bloomberg campaign did not deny the plagiarism.

His own entity Bloomberg News, takes a hard line against plagiarism in its style guide, “The Bloomberg Way.” “Plagiarism—the unattributed copying of others’ work—is inexcusable,” the style guide, which was updated in 2017, reads. “Plagiarism is theft. Be prepared to lose your job if you plagiarize.

Can you lose your job as a Presidential candidate?

Politics & Religion / Pete Buttigieg - End Electoral College? HOW?
« on: February 10, 2020, 07:13:18 AM »
I hear Mayor Pete is SO smart, but he wastes his time in debates and on national television on ending the electoral college.  I have problems with that:

1. It's a bad idea.  It's there for a reason.  You're not smarter than the Founders.  The US is not a state or a city and we don't want a leader who is not popular in multiple areas and regions.

2.  Recounts would go from crooked to impossible.

3.  It can't happen.  The states that would lose influence would have to consent.

4.  Since you know it can't happen, your insistence on repeatedly bringing it up has some kind of duplicity in it.  Red meat for the Trump derangement crowd, but if you admit you can't win through the electoral college, you are the wrong 'man' for the job.

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election - New Hampshire
« on: February 10, 2020, 07:01:38 AM »
NH primary tomorrow.  No one knows what to think of it. 

"Trump's opponent in the general election" Joe Biden is running fifth?

Klobuchar is passing up Biden and Warren, but already lost her lane to Buttigieg.

Bloomberg is not on the ballot.  Ummm, "MURKOWSKY" won her statewide race with a write-in.  New Hampshirers can't spell "Bloomberg"??  Mini-Mike couldn't afford the entry fee, didn't know the deadline?  Is too clever by half?

All except those leading in NH have declared that NH doesn't matter.

Bernie leads.  Buttigieg already declared victory. Thinking of Butti, there's this:

"The only people who think that real world experience doesn't matters are those who never had real world experience." - @nntaleb

Suffolk: Sanders 27, Buttigieg 19, Klobuchar 14, Warren 12, Biden 12
Emerson: Sanders 30, Buttigieg 23, Klobuchar 14, Warren 11, Biden 10


China likely is putting the whole world at risk by covering up the true scope of the outbreak

Who can believe anything the Chicoms say ?

There should be world outrage

China's Ambassador to the US came on Face the Nation yesterday, to reassure us of ... something.  Should be a friendly forum for him.  He said the million plus Muslims being held in concentration camps in China "are happy".  And liberals here aren't outraged?!

No, we can't believe anything they say.

Two weeks ago it was 1000 infected.  Now it is 40,000.  Neither number is accurate.  How do we do the math or know the danger level?

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