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Messages - DougMacG

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Politics & Religion / Joe Biden, Lying, dog faced pony soldier
« on: February 10, 2020, 06:57:59 PM »

He isn't Pres Obama's insurance policy anymore.  When he called the gal a Lying Dog faced Pony Soldier, the only possible explanation for it is that he was projecting.  We should update the name of the thread accordingly.  This I believe was the gaffe that brought down old slow Joe.

Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: Wolves, Dogs and other canines
« on: February 10, 2020, 03:24:54 PM »
"8 dogs pull each sled, they run 40 miles in 2.5 hours"

16 miles per hr for 2.5 hrs

lets see ,
record marathon 26 miles in ~ 2 hrs = 13 mi per hr

put not pulling a load !
and wearing super sneakers !

And running in deep soft snow, like running the marathon barefoot in deep, soft, bottomless sand on the beach.

The dogs work so hard some wondered if the weather was too warm for them, +10 F.

Politics & Religion / Re: Pete Buttigieg
« on: February 10, 2020, 03:19:34 PM »
a. He was raised an academic Marxist.
b. Has not renounced that upon reaching his brief, post academia adulthood.
c. Like Obama, educated to the hilt, but has probably never read a book or heard a talk coming from the free market or supply side of economics.

He speaks umpteen languages and memorizes poetry, someone should ask him to quote Adam Smith, Hayek, Milton Friedman or Ibn Khaldun.

Ask him what the logic string of try the same thing and expect a different result is called.

Politics & Religion / Pete Buttigieg
« on: February 10, 2020, 03:17:31 PM »
a. He was raised an academic Marxist.
b. Has not renounced that upon reaching his brief, post academia adulthood.
c. Like Obama, educated to the hilt, but has never read a book or heard a talk coming from the free market or supply side of economics.

He speaks umpteen languages and memorizes poetry, someone should ask him to quote Adam Smith, Hayek, Milton Friedman or Ibn Khaldun.

Ask him what the logic string of try the same thing and expect a different result is called.

Key to making this argument is the baseline budgeting point:  Slowing future increases is NOT a cut!!!

That's right, but you'll never convince the other party of it.  Trump's opponents are talking about new programs in the tens of trillions along with tax rate increases that would kill growth and bring in no new revenue.  Our only chance of containing the spending is to reelect this big spending President and hope his current words mean more than his actions so far.

Politics & Religion / Re: Politico: New Electoral Map
« on: February 10, 2020, 11:11:07 AM »

Good article, considering their slant.

"a “Blue Wall,” a term applied to a northern tier of 18 states, stretching from coast to coast, that appeared to provide a structural advantage for a Democratic nominee."

The 'Blue Wall' was the 242 electoral vote count they thought they had locked up before they started, back when they loved the electoral college - and the constitution that defines it.  They only needed 28 more electoral votes to win.

Nate Silver, 2015:  There is no Blue Wall
"when commentators talk about the Democrats’ “blue wall,” all they’re really pointing out is that Democrats have had a pretty good run in presidential elections lately (2015)... The Electoral College just isn’t worth worrying about much... Clinton is no sort of lock, and if she loses the popular vote by even a few percentage points, the “blue wall” will seem as archaic as talk of a permanent Republican majority."

Or if her popular vote victory comes all from one state she already won.
Trump will win MN IF he wins a 2% improvement from suburban voters, suburban women.  But if he wins MN, he has already won IA, WI, MI, OH, PA, FL, NC etc the House, the Senate and an easy reelection.


Big event.  8 dogs pull each sled, they run 40 miles in 2.5 hours.  They came right by the house.  Not sure how to post our photos.

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election, Black voters
« on: February 10, 2020, 09:55:39 AM »
If Trump gets even 20% of the black vote in swing states such as Michigan, Florida, and Pennsylvania, then Democrats will simply have no path to victory.

Politics & Religion / The Impeachment argument has just begun
« on: February 10, 2020, 09:35:06 AM »
Through the entire process I could say impeachment was not what people out in the heartland were talking about.  It was a silent background issue.

R's and D's both knew he wouldn't be removed from office and just watched the process unfold quietly.  Markets didn't panic and foreigners never wondered who was really in charge.  The purpose was to mark and stain him for the process of defeating him. The result seems to be the opposite.  Trump can now rightly claim he was acquitted.  His popularity is up, his base is energized and the opposition is in disarray for a variety of reasons.

Socializing with friends from the Democrat side this weekend I was surprised by how front and center the impeachment aftermath is for them.  One takeaway seemed to sum it up: 'The first article, abuse of power was 100% proved.'  From their point of view: Trump did abuse his power, it was proved, everyone knows it but only one Republican Senator could stand up to him.  Digging deeper, the point was proved that he did hold up needed military aid in exchange for getting what he wanted.  Clear quid pro quo.  With a small room full of people jumping in it was hard to effectively pick that argument apart.  Some of my rebuttals taken individually sounded kind of weak.  I can take more time here.  )   The arguments have all been made here but if we are right we need to sharpen this up for the long political season.  The competing narrative is alive and well.

1.  Quid pro quo means nothing in itself; it describes every transaction , every foreign aid transaction.  The central question in impeachment: was he demanding something in his personal interest that was (unquestionably) against the public interest?

If newspapers say the whole Biden matter and everything else Trump said or thought about Ukraine was already debunked, is that so or is there still a legitimate point to be made for looking into it?  I'm afraid that is an losing point to be made to those who are informed by only those same sources.  The only real data point I could add in hindsight is that Gallup and every other poll rate the credibility of these 'mainstream sources' below Trump, meaning near zero. 

2.  Is it off limits to look into corruption if your potential opponent is part of it?  Of course not or how could they justify going after Trump for so long.  Okay, the double standard argument doesn't work on them either.

3.  The outrage about holding up needed military aid, when it comes from pro-Obama Democrats, is pure silliness.  I could not convince my friend that President Obama held up military aid to Ukraine for 8 years.  Highly informed but did not know that, nor willing to believe me.  Still not a winning point.

4.  The biggest point: what is the level of seriousness of what was alleged, committed or discovered.  If true, is this an impeachable offense?  We have vague testimony, implied conclusions, minor delay, alleged words and actions, doubt that Biden is even the opponent, uncertainty about where  the corruption really was, but then the consequence demanded was to not only remove him from office, but to ban him from ever seeking or holding any public office ever again.  In other words, Democrats sought to decide who Republicans can or can't vote for this year.  63 million people and likely way more, in impeachment, would be denied having their choice on the ballot, and more than that perhaps would be denied the right to vote against him.  To Democrats, this proposed interference in the next election is how we keep Trump from interfering with the next election.  That makes no sense, absent real proof of truly working against US interests.

The people, in this case, ought to have the right to over-ride a mistake made by Congress in the next election.  Since the impeachment / Conviction / Removal verdict does not allow that, the bar for that must be EXTREMELY high.  This didn't come close.

Politics & Religion / Bloomberg plagiarized part of at least 8 of his plans
« on: February 10, 2020, 08:00:27 AM »

Details at the link.  Much of it got deleted, changed on discovery.  The Bloomberg campaign did not deny the plagiarism.

His own entity Bloomberg News, takes a hard line against plagiarism in its style guide, “The Bloomberg Way.” “Plagiarism—the unattributed copying of others’ work—is inexcusable,” the style guide, which was updated in 2017, reads. “Plagiarism is theft. Be prepared to lose your job if you plagiarize.

Can you lose your job as a Presidential candidate?

Politics & Religion / Pete Buttigieg - End Electoral College? HOW?
« on: February 10, 2020, 07:13:18 AM »
I hear Mayor Pete is SO smart, but he wastes his time in debates and on national television on ending the electoral college.  I have problems with that:

1. It's a bad idea.  It's there for a reason.  You're not smarter than the Founders.  The US is not a state or a city and we don't want a leader who is not popular in multiple areas and regions.

2.  Recounts would go from crooked to impossible.

3.  It can't happen.  The states that would lose influence would have to consent.

4.  Since you know it can't happen, your insistence on repeatedly bringing it up has some kind of duplicity in it.  Red meat for the Trump derangement crowd, but if you admit you can't win through the electoral college, you are the wrong 'man' for the job.

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election - New Hampshire
« on: February 10, 2020, 07:01:38 AM »
NH primary tomorrow.  No one knows what to think of it. 

"Trump's opponent in the general election" Joe Biden is running fifth?

Klobuchar is passing up Biden and Warren, but already lost her lane to Buttigieg.

Bloomberg is not on the ballot.  Ummm, "MURKOWSKY" won her statewide race with a write-in.  New Hampshirers can't spell "Bloomberg"??  Mini-Mike couldn't afford the entry fee, didn't know the deadline?  Is too clever by half?

All except those leading in NH have declared that NH doesn't matter.

Bernie leads.  Buttigieg already declared victory. Thinking of Butti, there's this:

"The only people who think that real world experience doesn't matters are those who never had real world experience." - @nntaleb

Suffolk: Sanders 27, Buttigieg 19, Klobuchar 14, Warren 12, Biden 12
Emerson: Sanders 30, Buttigieg 23, Klobuchar 14, Warren 11, Biden 10


China likely is putting the whole world at risk by covering up the true scope of the outbreak

Who can believe anything the Chicoms say ?

There should be world outrage

China's Ambassador to the US came on Face the Nation yesterday, to reassure us of ... something.  Should be a friendly forum for him.  He said the million plus Muslims being held in concentration camps in China "are happy".  And liberals here aren't outraged?!

No, we can't believe anything they say.

Two weeks ago it was 1000 infected.  Now it is 40,000.  Neither number is accurate.  How do we do the math or know the danger level?

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: February 09, 2020, 08:56:27 AM »
She... 'is lurking in the shadows, waiting for a brokered convention'.   (from Bloomberg thread)

She... is the most popular woman in Democratic politics over the last 12 years, maybe ever.

She... wrote a memoir that sold 10 million copies last year.

She... was first lady of the United States. 

She... Is Michelle Obama.
Seriously:  The first job of the 'brokered convention' is for losing candidates to concede and get behind the leading candidates.  Put the one who was leading going in over the top and unite, not negate the voice of the primary voters.  If getting behind number one is not possible, nominate the one who is everyone's second choice. I don't see how they unite behind someone who was not one of the top 3 going in.  Really, it needs to to be the leading vote-getter or they won't be unified.

Will Bernie voters be satisfied if he is the leader from all the primaries and Hillary is anointed?  Ha!  It would be more like civil war. 

They will fight in Milwaukee.  Then Trump will carry Wisconsin.

Politics & Religion / Re: Wesbury predicts 2020
« on: February 07, 2020, 10:59:51 AM »

Good analysis.  I agreed with his optimism all the way through, then wondered what could bring it down?

An economic collapse in China and Asia could.

In Hubei province, a population the size of Italy’s is under lockdown

First this, ccp regarding Rep. Ilhan Omar in Minneapolis: 
Doug wrote:  "A republican can't win, but to run hard, present an alternative, work to change minds and close the gap is crucially important"
But she win or lose ---- Would it not be great for DJT to go and campaign in her district for her and America?

  - Yes!  Minnesota the almost purple state, not her district the far Left city, is embarrassed of Omar.  When Trump fills Target Center downtown Mpls. with election excitement, he draws from the entire state and region.  Keep in mind that conservative western (swing state) Wisconsin is part of the Greater Twin Cities area and media market. 

The Twin Cities area includes two suburban Congressional Districts that flipped R to D in 2018.  Trump winning MN and Republicans winning back these two districts are closely related challenges.  Those supposed moderates joined with Pelosi, Omar, Tlaib and AOC on impeachment, resistance and policy.  That is not what voters were promised.  Meanwhile Trump brought peace and prosperity, not what they were told would happen if he was elected.  Trump's rise with suburban women, if true, flips these two seats and others like them possibly winning the House, also clinches the Presidency.  The Presidential race and the House races are deeply intertwined.

The city is also a great place to break the bond between blacks and Democrats. Omar can't be beat by a Republican conservative in a far Left district, and Trump won't carry California or NY, but every split between her party and the constituent groups they exploit for votes is a win.

The impeachment vote and the tear up of the speech frames the House contest.  Trump's ego says he has to be a great, two term President.  Greatness requires winning back the House, otherwise that loss is forever part of his legacy, as it was with Obama who lost his legacy.  Winning back the House negates impeachment and is needed to advance any agenda. It's a national race now.


Politics & Religion / Re: Romney
« on: February 07, 2020, 08:42:55 AM »
He is running for something, but getting endorsement of the Republican Party can't be part of it, not even of Utah. 

His Senate votes are about as responsible as Trump's tweets, his version of Pelosi tearing up the speech.

He is only 72 but is trying in retirement, like post-President Carter, to repair the damage he did in his career.  He is trying to impress and appease someone, must be the mainstream media.

I don't like changing the rules in midstream or looking backward, but it would help right-size his ego to have his political career end by being recalled by the voters of Utah.

Truly bizarre that he wanted to be Trump's Secretary of State.  True to the deep state establishment, his purpose could only have been to undermine the President and his policies.

Not one Democrat voted for him when it mattered.  Now almost no Republican would.

Is this the one where the wisdom and charisma of Tom Steyer will finally shine through?

Can record low viewership go any lower?

Will they break (brake?) for Bloomberg commercials?

Will people across the fruited plain call up their neighbors to turn on their television sets to see who is this Bootie-judge who broke out in Bettendorf?  But instead see a madman named Sanders giving Castro speeches as the current leader in the clubhouse of JFK's old party.

Will one questioner ask one tough question of one candidate about ANY of the at least 56 Trump accomplishments laid out in the State of the Union, almost none of which would have happened if they were in office?  Or will uttering the label, Manifesto of Mistruths, suffice?

How about just a simple show of hands: Are you for or against economic growth?  Yes?  No?

Then why do you oppose everything that leads to that?!!!

Below I have excerpted and separated accomplishments listed in the State of the Union. I would like to go through them one by one for link and fact check but the list is soooo long.
From the instant I took office, I moved rapidly to revive the United States economy -- slashing a record number of job-killing regulations, enacting historic and record-setting tax cuts, and fighting for fair and reciprocal trade agreements. Our agenda is relentlessly pro-worker, pro-family, pro-growth, and, most of all, pro-American. We are advancing with unbridled optimism and lifting high our citizens of every race, color, religion, and creed. [All true.]
Since my election, we have created 7 million new jobs -- 5 million more than Government experts projected during the previous administration.
The unemployment rate is the lowest in over half a century.
Incredibly, the average unemployment rate under my Administration is lower than any administration in the history of our country. If we had not reversed the failed economic policies of the previous administration, the world would not now be witness to America’s great economic success.
The unemployment rates for African-Americans, Hispanic-Americans, and Asian-Americans have reached the lowest levels in history. African-American youth unemployment has reached an all-time low.
African-American poverty has declined to the lowest rate ever recorded.
The unemployment rate for women reached the lowest level in almost 70 years -- and last year, women filled 72 percent of all new jobs added.
The veterans’ unemployment rate dropped to a record low.
The unemployment rate for disabled Americans has reached an all-time low.
Workers without a high school diploma have achieved the lowest unemployment rate recorded in United States history.
A record number of young Americans are now employed.
Under the last administration, more than 10 million people were added to the food stamp rolls. Under my Administration, 7 million Americans have come off of food stamps, and 10 million people have been lifted off of welfare.
In 8 years under the last administration, over 300,000 working-age people dropped out of the workforce. In just 3 years of my Administration, 3.5 million working-age people have joined the workforce.
Since my election, the net worth of the bottom half of wage-earners has increased by 47 percent -- 3 times faster than the increase for the top 1 percent. After decades of flat and falling incomes, wages are rising fast -- and, wonderfully, they are rising fastest for low-income workers, who have seen a 16 percent pay-increase since my election. This is a blue collar boom.
Real median household income is now at the highest level ever recorded!
Since my election, United States stock markets have soared 70 percent, adding more than $12 trillion to our Nation’s wealth, transcending anything anyone believed was possible -- this, as other countries are not doing well. Consumer confidence has reached amazing new heights.
All of those millions of people with 401(k)s and pensions are doing far better than they have ever done before with increases of 60, 70, 80, 90, and even 100 percent.
Jobs and investment are pouring into 9,000 previously-neglected neighborhoods thanks to Opportunity Zones, a plan spearheaded by Senator Tim Scott as part of our great Republican tax cuts. In other words, wealthy people and companies are pouring money into poor neighborhoods or areas that have not seen investment in many decades, creating jobs, energy, and excitement. This is the first time that these deserving communities have seen anything like this. It is all working!
Our roaring economy has, for the first time ever, given many former prisoners the ability to get a great job and a fresh start. This second chance at life is made possible because we passed landmark Criminal Justice Reform into law. Everybody said that Criminal Justice Reform could not be done, but I got it done, and the people in this room got it done.
Thanks to our bold regulatory reduction campaign, the United States has become the number one producer of oil and natural gas in the world, by far. With the tremendous progress we have made over the past 3 years, America is now energy independent, and energy jobs, like so many elements of our country, are at a record high. We are doing numbers that no one would have thought possible just 3 years ago.
we are restoring our Nation’s manufacturing might, even though predictions were that this could never be done. After losing 60,000 factories under the previous two administrations, America has now gained 12,000 new factories under my Administration with thousands upon thousands of plants and factories being planned or built. We have created over half a million new manufacturing jobs. Companies are not leaving; they are coming back. Everybody wants to be where the action is, and the United States of America is, indeed, where the action is.
One of the single biggest promises I made to the American people was to replace the disastrous NAFTA trade deal. In fact, unfair trade is perhaps the single biggest reason that I decided to run for President. Following NAFTA’s adoption, our Nation lost one in four manufacturing jobs. Many politicians came and went, pledging to change or replace NAFTA -- only to do absolutely nothing. But unlike so many who came before me, I keep my promises. Six days ago, I replaced NAFTA and signed the brand new United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) into law.

The USMCA will create nearly 100,000 new high-paying American auto jobs, and massively boost exports for our farmers, ranchers, and factory workers. It will also bring trade with Mexico and Canada to a much higher degree, but also to a much greater level of fairness and reciprocity. This is the first major trade deal in many years to earn the strong backing of America’s labor unions.
I also promised our citizens that I would impose tariffs to confront China’s massive theft of American jobs. Our strategy worked. Days ago, we signed the groundbreaking new agreement with China that will defend our workers, protect our intellectual property, bring billions of dollars into our treasury, and open vast new markets for products made and grown right here in the United States of America. For decades, China has taken advantage of the United States, now we have changed that but, at the same time, we have perhaps the best relationship we have ever had with China, including with President Xi. They respect what we have done because, quite frankly, they could never believe what they were able to get away with year after year, decade after decade
As we restore American leadership throughout the world, we are once again standing up for freedom in our hemisphere. That is why my Administration reversed the failing policies of the previous administration on Cuba. We are supporting the hopes of Cubans, Nicaraguans, and Venezuelans to restore democracy. The United States is leading a 59-nation diplomatic coalition against the socialist dictator of Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro. Maduro is an illegitimate ruler, a tyrant who brutalizes his people. But Maduro’s grip of tyranny will be smashed and broken. Here this evening is a man who carries with him the hopes, dreams, and aspirations of all Venezuelans. Joining us in the gallery is the true and legitimate President of Venezuela, Juan Guaidó. Mr. President, please take this message back to your homeland. All Americans are united with the Venezuelan people in their righteous struggle for freedom! Socialism destroys nations. But always remember, freedom unifies the soul.
To safeguard American Liberty, we have invested a record-breaking $2.2 trillion in the United States Military. We have purchased the finest planes, missiles, rockets, ships, and every other form of military equipment -- all made in the United States of America.
I have raised contributions from the other NATO members by more than $400 billion, and the number of allies meeting their minimum obligations has more than doubled.
we created a new branch of the United States Armed Forces, the Space Force.
Pass the Education Freedom Scholarships and Opportunity Act -- because no parent should be forced to send their child to a failing government school.
My Administration is determined to give our citizens the opportunities they need regardless of age or background. Through our Pledge to American Workers, over 400 companies will also provide new jobs and education opportunities to almost 15 million Americans.
Tonight, I ask the Congress to support our students and back my plan to offer vocational and technical education in every single high school in America.
To expand equal opportunity, I am also proud that we achieved record and permanent funding for our Nation’s Historically Black Colleges and Universities.
 Before I took office, health insurance premiums had more than doubled in just 5 years. I moved quickly to provide affordable alternatives. Our new plans are up to 60 percent less expensive.
I have also made an ironclad pledge to American families: We will always protect patients with pre-existing conditions -- that is a guarantee.
 I signed an Executive Order requiring price transparency. Many experts believe that transparency, which will go into full effect at the beginning of next year, will be even bigger than healthcare reform. It will save families massive amounts of money for substantially better care.
a long, tall, and very powerful wall is being built. We have now completed over 100 miles and will have over 500 miles fully completed by early next year.
My Administration is also taking on the big pharmaceutical companies. We have approved a record number of affordable generic drugs, and medicines are being approved by the FDA at a faster clip than ever before. I was pleased to announce last year that, for the first time in 51 years, the cost of prescription drugs actually went down.
And working together, the Congress can reduce drug prices substantially from current levels. I have been speaking to Senator Chuck Grassley of Iowa and others in the Congress in order to get something on drug pricing done, and done properly. I am calling for bipartisan legislation that achieves the goal of dramatically lowering prescription drug prices. Get a bill to my desk, and I will sign it into law without delay.
With unyielding commitment, we are curbing the opioid epidemic -- drug overdose deaths declined for the first time in nearly 30 years. Among the States hardest hit, Ohio is down 22 percent, Pennsylvania is down 18 percent, Wisconsin is down 10 percent -- and we will not quit until we have beaten the opioid epidemic once and for all.
We have launched ambitious new initiatives to substantially improve care for Americans with kidney disease, Alzheimer’s, and those struggling with mental health challenges. And because the Congress funded my request, we are pursuing new cures for childhood cancer, and we will eradicate the AIDS epidemic in America by the end of the decade.
Ellie reminds us that every child is a miracle of life. Thanks to modern medical wonders, 50 percent of very premature babies delivered at the hospital where Ellie was born now survive. Our goal should be to ensure that every baby has the best chance to thrive and grow just like Ellie. That is why I am asking the Congress to provide an additional $50 million to fund neo-natal research for America’s youngest patients. That is also why I am calling upon the Members of Congress here tonight to pass legislation finally banning the late-term abortion of babies.
As we support America’s moms and dads, I was recently proud to sign the law providing new parents in the Federal workforce paid family leave, serving as a model for the rest of the country. Now, I call on the Congress to pass the bipartisan Advancing Support for Working Families Act, extending family leave to mothers and fathers all across the Nation.
Forty million American families have an average $2,200 extra thanks to our child tax credit. I have also overseen historic funding increases for high-quality child care, enabling 17 States to serve more children, many of which have reduced or eliminated their waitlists altogether. And I sent the Congress a plan with a vision to further expand access to high-quality childcare and urge you to act immediately.
Last year, our brave ICE officers arrested more than 120,000 criminal aliens charged with nearly 10,000 burglaries, 5,000 sexual assaults, 45,000 violent assaults, and 2,000 murders.
Senator Thom Tillis has introduced legislation to allow Americans like Jody to sue Sanctuary Cities and States when a loved one is hurt or killed as a result of these deadly policies. I ask the Congress to pass the Justice for Victims of Sanctuary Cities Act immediately. The United States of America should be a sanctuary for law-abiding Americans -- not criminal aliens!
In the last 3 years, ICE has arrested over 5,000 wicked human traffickers -- and I have signed 9 pieces of legislation to stamp out the menace of human trafficking, domestically and around the globe.
Before I came into office, if you showed up illegally on our southern border and were arrested, you were simply released and allowed into our country, never to be seen again. My Administration has ended Catch-and-Release. If you come illegally, you will now be promptly removed. We entered into historic cooperation agreements with the Governments of Mexico, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala. As a result of our unprecedented efforts, illegal crossings are down 75 percent since May -- dropping 8 straight months in a row. And as the wall goes up, drug seizures rise, and border crossings go down.
Last year, I traveled to the border in Texas and met Chief Patrol Agent Raul Ortiz. Over the last 24 months, Agent Ortiz and his team have seized more than 200,000 pounds of poisonous narcotics, arrested more than 3,000 human smugglers, and rescued more than 2,000 migrants. Days ago, Agent Ortiz was promoted to Deputy Chief of Border Patrol -- and he joins us tonight. Chief Ortiz: Please stand -- a grateful Nation thanks you and all the heroes of Border Patrol.
we are working on legislation to replace our outdated and randomized immigration system with one based on merit, welcoming those who follow the rules, contribute to our economy, support themselves financially, and uphold our values.
we have confirmed a record number of 187 new Federal judges to uphold our Constitution as written.
This includes two brilliant new Supreme Court Justices, Neil Gorsuch, and Brett Kavanaugh.
My Administration is also defending religious liberty, and that includes the Constitutional right to pray in public schools.
I will always protect your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms.
Last week, I announced a groundbreaking plan for peace between Israel and the Palestinians.
Three years ago, the barbarians of ISIS held over 20,000 square miles of territory in Iraq and Syria. Today, the ISIS territorial caliphate has been 100 percent destroyed, and the founder and leader of ISIS -- the bloodthirsty killer Al‑Baghdadi -- is dead!
last month, at my direction, the United States Military executed a flawless precision strike that killed Soleimani and terminated his evil reign of terror forever.
we are working to end America’s wars in the Middle East.

Politics & Religion / Re: Romney
« on: February 07, 2020, 07:06:53 AM »
My rant yesterday on the impeachment (weasel) thread:
I don't want to waste more time on Romney.  Byron York puts the issue to bed nicely here:
What has he ever been politically but an opportunist - and he admits it.  The life of the unborn depends on the constituency you are working.

Just look at his current position, junior Senator from Utah.  He's not from Utah.  He leveraged his religion for political opportunism and used his money to buy a house there.  Did he sell his other houses?  Does he live there?  He couldn't get elected nationwide and he couldn't get elected ever again in Mass.  He is taking up a place of high profile and experience that should go to the future leader that he is not.

BTW Mitt, there is no such thing as "severely conservative".  Try "Common Sense Conservative" and tell me how much of it is too much.

Politics & Religion / Re: BMI discriminates
« on: February 07, 2020, 06:28:59 AM »
"  body mass index (BMI) is discriminatory to gender nonbinary students."  WHAT??????????

 :-o :-(

Forget about discrimination, what is a "gender nonbinary" student?  The ones who don't know which bathroom to use? 

"Hey Joe (Biden), How many genders are there?" "I know there are at least two.  Wait, is that a trick question?"

Back to BMI, did anyone think there was a perfect number for everyone?  We can't even judge by credit score or criminal background anymore.

I'm sorry, did they just say, highest such finding Gallup has ever recorded?
Gallup finds that 59% say they are better off than they were a year ago, as opposed to only 20% who say they are worse off. Those are great numbers–interestingly, we are so divided that political affiliation makes a big difference even on a simple question about one’s own finances–but that isn’t the data point I mean.

The most striking finding is this one: 74% say they expect to be better off a year from now than they are today, the highest such finding Gallup has ever recorded

This came out before today's big positive employment news.

No idea what's causing it, the WashPost fact checkers call it, the best three years of the Obama expansion!

Politics & Religion / Cognitive Dissonance of the Nancy
« on: February 06, 2020, 11:38:58 AM »
Glenn Reynolds writes:

Pelosi keeps saying that Trump’s speech was full of lies, and that not one word was true. So the tremendous economic growth didn’t happen? Black workers aren’t doing better? The bottom quartile hasn’t progressed faster than the top 1%? Gen. McGee wasn’t really a Tuskeegee Airman? If you’re going to denounce lies, maybe name one? If we had an actual press, maybe someone would ask her about that.

Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: How flying messes with your mind
« on: February 06, 2020, 10:33:00 AM »

Very interesting article.

"the air pressure (in the plane) is similar to that atop an 8,000ft-high mountain."

Vail, Colorado (the town) is at 8000 ft.  (8000' is the bottom of the mountain there.)  People love it there.  (The skiing is all above that.)  The median price of homes currently listed in Vail is $2,350,000. (Zillow)

Summit County Colorado is higher, 9600' in Breckenridge.  13k at the top of the Imperial lift. 
"Summit County Has Highest Life Expectancy in US"

My house in CO is at 10,200'.  The mountains around it are 14.1k.  Endurance athletes come from all over the world to train and compete there.

Djokovic (and Jagger?) train in simulated altitude:

I was talking with a scientist who works on magnetic levitation travel.  I asked him
what it felt like to be in a capsule traveling through a vacuum tube at hundreds of miles per hour?

He replied, how do you feel now (we were standing in a yard on a beautiful blue sky day)?  You're flying around the sun at 67,000 mph right now. 

It's all relative.   )

1. Acquittal - That wasn't a certainty with what Chair Schiff called the drip drip drip.  He now beat the whole Russia and Ukraine charges.  Any guess what the next charges will be?

2.  I'm not a believer in 'trade deficits', but it's down and he promised that.

3.  Need to go through SOTU fact checking and post all valid claims coming out of the speech.  What did Pelosi call it, "A Manifesto of Mistruths"?  I don't think so.

Still not final!  Essentially Sanders and Butti are tied.  Then there is 1st and second round voting. Just what we need (sarc), ranked choice voting.

Peter Buttigieg  42,235  26.2%
Bernard Sanders 44,753  26.1%
click link to update

Besides Biden, the losers are Warren and Klobuchar (and all the others).  Warren lost to Biden and Klobuchar lost to Buttigieg in the less socialist lane.  In both cases, the woman was equally or better qualified.  If these results matter, they have no blacks left, no women left, no Hispanics left, no Asian Americans left if you count Yang's zero as being out.  It's by their definition this makes them sexist and racist.

Tepid turnout is a cause for some concern among Democrats.
Sean Trende, Senior elections analyst, RealClearPolitics.

Politics & Religion / Re: Soft Coup 3.0: Impeachment
« on: February 06, 2020, 07:35:04 AM »
"Manchin acquittal vote ...
did not happen
all dems vote to remove from office"

Wow, did I get that wrong.  Trump carried WV by 40 points and Manchin sides with his buddies in Washington over the people back home.  Unless one believes there was merit to the case but we already ripped that to shreds.

"Well, we should have good shot at flipping AL and WV , , ,"

I have to guess Jones figured he couldn't win again in Alabama anyway.  He is a sharp guy, can easily land in Washington/media.  Future Meet the Press panelist former US Senator Doug Jones. 

Manchin in effect announced his retirement with this vote.

Reminds me, I used to play tennis with Ahmad Rashad, then wide receiver for the Vikings.  One Sunday, still in his prime, the ball was thrown to him high over the middle on a big 3rd down they needed to convert.  There were two defenders coming at him from two directions ready to crush him as he would make the catch.  Rashad (Bobby Moore) was a big rebounder in college basketball.  Making that kind of big catch (and taking the hit) was what he did for a living.  Ahmad (Akmad as Bud Grant called him) didn't go up and didn't make the catch.  The two defenders crushed each other and laid there on the field.  I said to my TV, I guess he's moving on to life after playing football.  He announced his retirement that week.

Good Bye Joe Manchin.  You needed to go up and make that catch.
The Romney vote is likewise shocking but of no matter.  It still goes down as a party line vote; Willard Mitt Romney is a man without a party.

A few days ago Romney said he could not make an informed decision without hearing from more witnesses, John Bolton in particular.  Losing the witness vote he now believes the case of abuse of power is proven anyway.  If so Mitt, why the vote to waste our time with more witnesses?  I know the answer to that.  He just wanted every minute possible of making President Donald Trump look bad.  It was nothing to do with getting it right or removal from office.  The majority of the Senate including ALL on his side believed the charge if true was not an impeachable offense.

The whole pretense that Joe Biden was known to be Donald Trump's general election opponent was nonsense from the start.  He has run three times and has yet to win a single delegate.

I learned something HUGE this week from Romney.  I never before believed that we are better off to have a Democrat win than to elect a lousy Republican.  Not true in 2012.  Romney losing made Trump possible.  Romney losing made tax reform and deregulation possible.  Romney made Trump wage growth possible, four years delayed.  Romney losing made Gorsuch and Kavanaugh possible and 170 other quality federal judges.  Romney losing brought down the hold China had on our economy. 

Thank you Mitt.

Politics & Religion / Re: Second American Civil War still simmering
« on: February 06, 2020, 06:46:36 AM »

These are the good old days.

Local awareness is great, but when the lights really go off I would like directions and security pass to G M's place.   ))

Small problem here for saving canned goods in remote location:
Freeze or hot sun destroy them.  "Canned goods should never be frozen and doing so can create an environment right for foodborne illness and toxic conditions."

Politics & Religion / Re: Three associates of El Chapo escape prison
« on: February 06, 2020, 06:35:36 AM »
Does this really count as an escape when you are escorted to your ride like a celebrity leaving the Four Seasons?

They went through 5 sets of doors??!!  Typically these door in maximum security don't have door handles; they are operated one set at a time by guards behind secured glass.

I don't know Mexican law but seems to me if you are a prison guard and help an inmate escape, you should serve his or her sentence until they are recaptured.

I suppose these gangs threaten to kill the families of the guards if they don't assist.

Like G M says, if you are free to go anytime you want in a limousine waiting in front, it would probably be cheaper to hold them in a Four Seasons hotel than in a prison.

Someday we will have a first-world country south of our border?

Politics & Religion / Romney votes to convict, remove
« on: February 05, 2020, 11:13:37 AM »
Does that make it bipartisan? 

Mitt's work is done.  He can resign anytime now.

Doug Jones, Alabama, voting to convict.

Manchin acquittal vote makes it bipartisan both ways.  Anyone else?

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: February 05, 2020, 11:09:54 AM »
Crafty, from Bloomberg thread:  "It sure looks like the Titanic that is the Biden campaign has hit the Iowan iceberg.  To whom are Biden supporters going to go?



That has been the question all along.  There is no one competent, qualified, attractive in that lane.  Now it is urgent if you are establishment Dem.

Iowa is apparently saying Butti over Biden, but Butti and Iowa are Midwest, now called Trump country.  What does that mean for Dem voters in Calif, NY, Texas?  We'll see.

Along with Biden, Butti kicked Amy K in the butti in her home region.  NH should finish her off if it's not already clear she's done. 

Butti is beating expectations so far, but creating nothing like the excitement like the excitement of Obama 2008.  Obama, out of nowhere, was already a sitting US Senator from a major state, a de facto leader of the Senate with major endorsements.  And he ran in a no incumbent year following Republican division and failure, nothing like now.

Yang (and the rest) also had essentially zero.  There isn't another unknown upstart coming.

Can Biden come part way back after IA, NH? Does Butti rise or fall from here? Warren did better than I expected, can she finish 1 or 2 in NH?  Can Mayor Mike get ONE endorsement?  I see him as getting only enough support to create more division, not closure.  Hillary and Kerry make sounds but can't do it either and there is no one left to dig up and put in.

What we see developing is more chaos, not clarity. 

Airbnb's top destination for 2020 is Milwaukee!  We'll be watching.

Politics & Religion / Re: Mini Mike Bloomie Bloomberg
« on: February 05, 2020, 09:10:44 AM »
"The coming weeks are make or break for Bloomie, and it looks like he has bought the DNC.  Now that he is in the debates (when is the next one?) it will be interesting to see how he does."

NH is next, in a couple of weeks.  Bloomberg cheated to get in.  Others will rip into that.  Yes, some lost Biden vote will go to Bloomberg but Bloomie is the polar opposite of the Sanders-Warren wing, making the party divide that much deeper.

I can't figure out why this back story isn't reported on

The JFK thing is mystifying.  He seems to hate or just disrespect the guy.  As I have said that JFK would be called a Republican today.  Bloomberg is certainly not.

Just the fact that Mike was in a rich person's frat at a rich person's college DECADES before most voters were born does not help him connect with the masses across the heartland.

The billionaire businessman made the remarks in the course of an interview for an oral history project conducted by the historian Mame Warren. During the course of the 30-minute interview, Bloomberg recalled that his life on campus went on uninterrupted after Kennedy was shot on November 22, 1963—aside from the fact that his fraternity, Phi Kappa Psi, wasn't getting back a deposit it put down for an appearance by singer James Brown.

"I remember in November I had planned a big fraternity dance in the gym, and we had spent all our budget hiring James Brown and the Flames to play, and then Kennedy got shot and we canceled the dance and couldn't get our deposit back," Bloomberg said. "Never got the deposit back."

Kennedy, he added, "was not popular," and is remembered positively today only because he was assassinated. "There were stories that he wouldn't even get the Democratic nomination, much less get reelected," Bloomberg said. "How quickly we forget."

Bloomberg recalled that he was in the Hamptons the day Princess Diana died when a friend called him to the television to watch the news unfold and told him, "Nothing will ever be the same again, Princess Diana has died in a crash."

"You know, it's just one life," Bloomberg recalled saying. "There's a lot of people that died today."

"No, I didn't understand the world was never going to be the same again," Bloomberg said. "Well, never the same again for Princess Diana, but everybody else went on, thank you."

Politics & Religion / Re: Mini Mike, the Oligarch
« on: February 05, 2020, 08:41:30 AM »
Let's not write off Mike, he just got a hundred votes in Iowa after spending $10 million the day before on his Super Bowl ad reaching a million homes in Iowa.

He can say he is not running until Super Tuesday and doesn't care about Iowa (the feeling is mutual!) but everyone in Iowa knows that he is one of the main choices and 99.999% of Iowans did not come out to tell their neighbors they support NYC Mike for President.

Bloomberg 157 votes so far in Iowa with 71% of precincts reporting.

Politics & Religion / Re: SOTU
« on: February 05, 2020, 08:05:14 AM »
"For me that speech was from a titan
(when he behaves himself .  :-D)
God bless announcing Rush .   A Patriot all the way!"


That took enormous guts from both of them.  One day after announcing terminal illness, the President gets him to Washington, seats him next to the First Lady and awards him the Presidential Medal of Freedom, with the biggest possible audience worldwide.

Part of it is that they are friends.  Part is that he deserves it and part is that Trump knows this cements his bond with his base.

Half the audience had no idea Rush was an "inspirational" leader.  They know him only through the hate sites quoting him out of context.  If only we could read the thought bubble over Nancy Pelosi's cartoon head during that honor.
Trump also hit hard with a ban on late term abortion and the right to prayer in public schools.  What say his general election opponent Buttigieg(?) to that?  People can't understand why 'evangelicals' support Trump.  Maybe because the other side despises them so.

Politics & Religion / Re: Media, Ministry of Truth Issues
« on: February 05, 2020, 07:41:52 AM »
Mark Steyn could be a very interesting choice.  He shines on Tucker C's show.

Mark Steyn is great.  Very, very sharp, insightful and funny.  Extremely well informed with an amazing memory for detail. 

Politics & Religion / Re: SOTU
« on: February 05, 2020, 07:27:16 AM »
I did not watch the Dem response
  why bother

I turned it off at the end too, missed the Pelosi tear up and the rebuttal.  Watched this morning.

Dem response here:

Her points are worthy of discussion too.  She really had to do extensive research to find positive things Democratic Governors are doing across the country.  Fixing pot holes, bridges, etc. Taking care of the have-nots in their states. Good presentation, good speech.  The answer to many of her points is that those things SHOULD be done by states, cities, counties.  It was not a rebuttal to what the President said: Lowest black and Hispanic unemployment ever, best wage growth in however many years, 7 million new jobs when only 1.9 million were forecasted, millions and millions off of food stamps.  That growth brings revenues to the STATES - who did NOT lower their tax rates.  Why shouldn't they use the money to fix what is broken and deteriorating in their states?  [After they pay off the teachers unions and special interests that got them elected.] But she throws in the right to slaughter their young.  Mentions impeachment, speaking of time wasted on talk, not action.  Fails to mention the Dem's strange emphasis on transgender bathrooms, girls and women's sports destroyed by social engineering, while the President works on wage growth.  Nothing said on their bought-opposition to school choice in Detroit's failed schools.  Nothing on foreign policy, the Democratic President's giveaway of lands won with sacrifice of Michiganders blood and treasure, right back to ISIS, or how her party and the establishment of the other party let China walk all over us for so many years, but not anymore.

Manufacturing came back to Michigan and she can't even give it a mention - because she opposed the policies that led to that.  Her state is on a comeback, not thanks to her.

Thank you President Trump and the Republicans in Washington who re-energized the country without any help from the other side of the aisle.

Politics & Religion / Re: Media, Ministry of Truth Issues
« on: February 04, 2020, 11:21:48 AM »
"Announcement done with great class."

   - Yes.  He told it like it is. 

It was the number one trending story in the world yesterday, Mark Steyn said.

Politics & Religion / Will the Corona Virus spread the Democracy Virus?
« on: February 04, 2020, 09:50:10 AM »
Strategy Page:

1. The HK protest movement is aimed directly against the mainland totalitarian regime - and the protest keep getting larger instead of being put down.  The strength of the movement is noticed throughout China despite the news monopoly.

2. The anti-mainland party won big in Taiwan.  They also are standing up to the regime without consequence.

3. The Chinese government is losing credibility in its handling of the Corona virus.  Covering up their errors and protecting their own deep state is costing lives, freedom of movement, money, food and causing panic of the people.  Their GDP and their markets and investments are crashing.

4.  Getting bad information or no information from the regime forces people to get  around that in different ways which is dangerous to the health of the regime.

5.  What has been missing in my prediction since 1989 of the great fall of China is lack of a feeling of unrest in the masses, because things were still going pretty well for them if they behave.  What if that changes?

Even a totalitarian state needs a politic of legitimacy.  The subjects of the Tiananmen oppression know they are oppressed, but trade that missing basic human right for benefits such as security, safety, prosperity, and freedom of travel - that was just taken away.

What a shame it would be if the Democracy Virus were to spread to Thomas Friedman's favorite governing regime and weaken it to the point of (eventual) sudden collapse.

SOMEDAY, these recent and ongoing events will be mentioned in the obit of the ruling era of these thugs.

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election, Zogby
« on: February 04, 2020, 08:46:01 AM »

“The president continues to receive a high approval rating near or slightly above 50% for the third straight poll. He has rebounded with Independents, women, suburban voters and suburban women,”

...a resurgence of support among independents, suburbanites, suburban women, and an expansion beyond his 2016 support among black and Hispanic voters.
In the suburbs, the impeachment reaction has helped Trump. “Since the House impeachment and Senate trial, Trump’s job approval rating and numbers against his Democratic rivals have improved with Independents, suburban voters and suburban women,” said the analysis.

With black voters overall, 22% support Trump, a significant jump from the 8% he won in 2016.

And with Hispanic voters, Trump’s average is 36%, also up big from the 28% he won in 2016.

Zogby added that among Hispanic voters who feel good about the economy, support for Trump is even wider.

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election, Iowa
« on: February 04, 2020, 08:41:25 AM »
The focus last night is wrongly placed on how bad this process makes Iowa look.  The Democrats hate Iowa, too many white voters etc.  They already wanted to move the first primary out before this happened.  Now for sure they will. 

But think about it the other way around, what kind of impression did the Democrats make to Iowans? 

The only two term, swing state Governor in the race, with namesake to Iowa, Hickenlooper, came in and told a family audience about taking his mom to see Deep Throat.  Oops:

The rest came to advance coastal elite policies that will never win in a state where Jodi Ernst is sure to be reelected Senator.

6 out of 10 Iowa homes heat with clean natural gas from a neighboring state that leading Democrats want to outright ban.  [The other 4 out of 10 heat their homes with other fossil fuels, propane, that Democrats want to ban.]

Heating your home is not a political joke in the Upper Midwest.  Taking away heat in winter is not a gaffe; it is an act of war.

Politics & Religion / Re: Rush Limbaugh has advanced lung cancer
« on: February 04, 2020, 08:06:26 AM »

This is HORRIBLE news!

My term is a little out-dated but I call him the Hank Aaron of political commentary, meaning all time home run leader [before steroids spoiled that honor].

Greatest of all time.  Irreplaceable.  He gave voice to what so many people were already thinking.

[Sell short on CIGar stocks.  This is going to be VERY bad publicity for them.]

Politics & Religion / Re: President Trump: SOTU
« on: February 04, 2020, 07:38:12 AM »
Expect a GREAT State of the Union speech tonight.

Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: February 04, 2020, 07:34:16 AM »
The Sanders campaign reports it received 29.7 percent of the vote, closely followed by former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 24.6 percent. Sen. Elizabeth Warren came in at 21.2 percent, and former Vice President Joe Biden in fourth at 12.4 percent.

Accuracy unknown except that the winner has the least reason to lie.

The fall of Biden is the big story.  He needed to at least be competitive.

That is better than expected for Warren, but how do you call losing to Buttigieg a win?

Shocking, Klobuchar is not mentioned.  Dismal 5th in her must-win state?  So sad.  "On to New Hampshire!"  For what, post-campaign vacation?

It's not even a win for Sanders with the failed process stepping on his fairy tail story.  But assuming he wins NH, winning both and crushing Biden before they head into Nevada and South Carolina IS a story.

Unless people think Butti is the real deal, this opens the door a mile wide for Mini Mike, who also lacks wide appeal.  Mike didn't want to take his anti-gun message to Iowa?  He couldn't afford the media market in the big Quad Cities/Davenport?  He knows the liberal vote in Iowa is in the college towns and Bernie strangely owns the the young skulls of mush vote.

They can't make a website work, can't name an impeachable offense -in an impeachment trial, can't tally caucus results - with turnout way down, but they want to run all of our healthcare, shutting down all alternatives.  Hopefully voters tell them to go pound sand.

I am so old I remember when the term 'stupid party' on the forum meant Republicans.  THIS is tone deaf. I've never seen anything like it, at least since the taxpayers flew the Obama's dog BO on a separate jet to Martha's vineyard.  What was his hurry?

I wondered how these Senate Democrats fly out of an impeachment hearing of their own choosing to find a last second seat on an airline to Iowa - like little people do?  But as they brag all their donations come from little people, they don't need to fly 'commercial' anymore.  They have the little people's money now.

Trying to think who it reminds me of:  "By helping the shepherd, you're helping the sheep."

More CO2 was spewed than little people emit in a lifetime.  "Driver, take me to Mason City, and step on it!"

Besides, Democrats holding an event in Iowa 2020 is about as relevant as Republicans holding their first caucus in Massachusetts.  Is it too early to call Iowa for Trump?

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